Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: LI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jul. 31, 2020 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Li Auto Inc.)
LI latest price $34.2450 (6.05%) ($34.2450 - $34.2450) on Mon. Oct. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.96% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $34.2450(6.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LI advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LI advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(72%)    FXI(70%)    EEM(61%)    LIT(57%)
Factors Impacting LI price   LI will decline at least -1.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-8%)    TBT(-4%)    USO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.98% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.17(6.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.91(10.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.05(17.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.7%
Market Cap   $22.863b

Li Auto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures and sells premium smart electric SUVs energy vehicle. It provides safe, convenient, and cost-effective mobility solutions to families. The firm model includes Li ONE & EREV. Its passenger vehicle market categorized into sedan, SUV, and MPV segments. The company was founded by Xiang Li , Yanan Shen, Tie Li , Donghui Ma in April 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. LI price fluctuates within 8.19% (three month std-dev: 3.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.25%(54%) Average negative next day return: -2.05%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 6.43%(68%) Average negative next three day return: -4.66%(32%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 8.67%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.18%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2021	29.95	29.05	30.91	32.17	32.45	33.27	34.25(6.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	55	200	32	125	12.35	60%	0.3	61.2	3.96%	1.8	2.2	88	1.4
2	Oct_22_2021	29.86	28.66	30.29	31.41	31.65	32.18	32.29(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	140	16	111	10.16	51%	0.23	54.1	4.03%	0.8	1.7	89	1.5
3	Oct_21_2021	29.79	28.34	29.9	31.08	31.18	31.62	32.06(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	110	18	116	7.08	56%	0.27	46.9	4.03%	1.5	1.9	81	1.8
4	Oct_20_2021	29.71	28.09	29.56	30.55	30.83	31.12	31.19(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	90	16	112	4.42	56%	0.27	37.6	4.16%	0.7	1.8	79	1.7
5	Oct_19_2021	29.63	27.88	29.18	30.05	30.4	30.75	31.05(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	120	17	109	7.17	56%	0.03	25.5	4.16%	1.3	2	81	1.9

6	Oct_18_2021	29.62	27.66	28.78	29.44	29.81	30.55	30.45(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	210	18	99	6.9	56%	0.27	8.4	4.16%	0.7	1.9	75	2.1
7	Oct_15_2021	29.54	27.57	28.31	29	29.2	30.05	30.65(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	220	23	84	10.08	56%	0.24	-3.9	4.17%	1.4	2.3	68	2
8	Oct_14_2021	29.47	27.45	27.86	28.56	28.59	29.07	29.44(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	120	12	69	7.27	52%	0.24	-22	4.15%	1.5	1.7	68	1.9
9	Oct_13_2021	29.4	27.44	27.54	28.43	28.38	28.36	28.68(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10	7	59	4.47	52%	0.31	-26.3	4.24%	1.5	1	56	1.5
10	Oct_12_2021	29.31	27.47	27.24	28.18	28.4	28.1	28.01(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-50	1	43	2.87	52%	0.24	-35.1	4.22%	-1	0.4	54	1.4

11	Oct_11_2021	29.24	27.54	27.06	27.99	28.25	28.4	28.23(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	70	7	36	3.83	52%	0.27	-39	4.24%	-1	0.5	56	1.3
12	Oct_8_2021	29.16	27.62	26.92	27.47	27.97	28.69	28.47(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	230	20	16	3.27	52%	0.31	-49	4.24%	0.3	0.6	46	1.9
13	Oct_7_2021	29.07	27.71	26.67	27.03	27.22	28.09	28.77(4.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	15	240	23	-8	6.57	49%	0.31	-52.3	4.24%	1.1	0.7	48	1.4
14	Oct_6_2021	28.98	27.76	26.49	26.53	26.6	27.25	27.41(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	180	19	-36	5.19	46%	0.28	-59.4	4.23%	1	-0.2	37	0.7
15	Oct_5_2021	28.9	27.92	26.45	26.19	26.32	26.35	27.09(5.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	20	11	-61	5.4	46%	0.31	-55.8	4.24%	1.6	-0.5	36	0.5

16	Oct_4_2021	28.81	28.07	26.43	26	25.97	25.95	25.62(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10	-10	-88	3.23	43%	0.24	-56.3	4.21%	-1.3	-1.4	26	-0.2
17	Oct_1_2021	28.74	28.35	26.76	26.27	26.14	26.28	26.28(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	20	3	-80	3.24	40%	0.35	-50.3	4.26%	0.5	-1.2	26	-0
18	Sep_30_2021	28.64	28.56	27	26.24	26.32	25.99	26.28(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-80	-5	-92	3.65	40%	0.28	-50.8	4.26%	0.9	-1.3	25	-0.8
19	Sep_29_2021	28.56	28.77	27.33	26.45	26.4	26.01	25.7(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-110	-16	-94	4.5	40%	0.32	-49.3	4.26%	-1.4	-1.7	25	-1.1
20	Sep_28_2021	28.47	28.95	27.73	26.75	26.81	26.65	26.12(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-27	-40	-6	-88	3.8	44%	0.32	-49.5	4.26%	-0.6	-1.7	23	-1.1

21	Sep_27_2021	28.38	29.13	28.08	26.92	26.81	26.79	26.98(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-50	-9	-87	5.65	44%	0.32	-49.7	4.33%	-0.1	-1.4	33	1.3
22	Sep_24_2021	28.29	29.27	28.4	27.34	27.03	26.98	26.11(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-34	-50	-17	-84	5.24	44%	0.64	-39.2	4.33%	0	-2.2	23	1.8
23	Sep_22_2021	28.11	29.51	28.85	27.89	27.65	27.26	27.36(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-120	-8	-66	3.46	50%	0.29	-27	4.38%	0.6	-1.8	34	-0.6
24	Sep_21_2021	28.03	29.67	29.14	28.36	28.02	27.09	27.17(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-270	-23	-63	3.3	50%	0.29	-6.5	4.41%	-0.5	-2.3	32	-2.3
25	Sep_20_2021	27.95	29.79	29.53	28.86	28.66	28.04	27(-7.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-28	-170	-23	-43	7.05	50%		15.4	4.41%	-1.8	-3	44	-1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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