Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc)
LGND latest price $133.6000 (0.79%) ($131.6800 - $134.3100) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $133.6000(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LGND advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LGND advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LGND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(58%)    IWO(56%)    XBI(56%)    IWC(52%)    ARKG(51%)
Factors Impacting LGND price   LGND will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $132.26(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.69(3.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.9(6.12%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $2.147b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and acquisition of technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines. Its products include evomela, IV voriconazole, duavee, viviant/conbriza, nexterone, and noxafil-IV. The company was founded by Ronald M. Evans in 1987 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. LGND price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.19%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.35%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	117.08	125.9	129.69	132.26	133.08	132.88	133.6(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	10	19	107	0.25	47%	0.3	88.7	1.89%	0	1.4	69	INF
2	Jul_22_2016	116.73	124.84	128.98	130.74	131.57	133.53	132.55(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	120	45	108	0.31	47%	0.3	74.4	1.89%	0	1.3	69	INF
3	Jul_21_2016	116.38	123.97	128.3	129.43	129.79	133.29	131.96(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	132	200	129	141	0.52	47%	0.3	67.7	1.89%	0	1.4	72	INF
4	Jul_20_2016	116.03	123.06	127.47	128.78	128.11	129.62	135.12(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	127	70	123	138	1	49%	0.35	63.7	1.88%	0	2	72	INF
5	Jul_19_2016	115.62	121.98	126.28	126.74	127.02	126.3	128.05(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-30	-8	78	0.4	43%	0.32	57.4	1.75%	0	1.1	71	INF

6	Jul_18_2016	115.25	121.32	125.76	126.8	126.98	126.6	126(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-20	-48	91	0.27	43%	0.25	59.8	1.74%	0	0.9	75	INF
7	Jul_15_2016	114.96	120.66	125.41	126.95	127.77	127.75	126.03(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	20	17	149	0.27	43%	0.28	58.3	1.75%	0	1	76	INF
8	Jul_14_2016	114.64	120.13	124.78	126.92	127.47	127.36	128.72(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	10	10	163	0.68	45%	0.32	60.2	1.73%	0	1.6	72	INF
9	Jul_13_2016	114.27	119.42	124.03	125.92	126.66	127.8	124.92(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	62	80	23	179	0.44	45%	0.3	55.7	1.71%	0	1.1	70	INF
10	Jul_12_2016	113.93	118.94	123.35	125.69	125.84	127.59	128.33(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	126	100	95	218	0.4	48%	0.32	56.9	1.72%	0	1.8	77	INF

11	Jul_11_2016	113.57	118.15	121.87	124.57	124.45	125.52	126.76(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	60	68	187	0.65	48%	0.34	51.5	1.73%	0	1.8	72	INF
12	Jul_8_2016	113.19	117.47	120.41	123.65	123.41	124.08	125.86(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	79	30	49	167	0.32	48%	0.33	45.8	1.74%	0	1.9	75	INF
13	Jul_7_2016	112.82	116.89	119.31	122.33	122.47	123.37	123.73(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	50	38	144	0.29	48%	0.3	37	1.72%	0	1.8	63	INF
14	Jul_6_2016	112.48	116.57	118.32	121.87	121.6	122.74	123.75(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	80	60	59	144	0.28	54%	0.32	38	1.73%	0	2	64	INF
15	Jul_5_2016	112.12	116.11	117.32	120.64	120.82	121.57	122.77(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	85	50	73	120	0.31	54%	0.33	25.9	1.86%	0	2.1	61	INF

16	Jul_1_2016	111.75	115.77	116.48	118.71	119.23	120.47	122.12(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	71	90	64	93	0.32	57%	0.33	0	1.85%	0	2.3	64	INF
17	Jun_30_2016	111.38	115.52	115.48	116.65	117.12	120.07	119.27(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	90	190	96	70	0.43	55%	0.29	-30	1.88%	0	1.5	60	INF
18	Jun_29_2016	111.06	115.47	115.08	115.82	115.04	118	121.42(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	123	160	138	76	0.6	55%	0.29	-47.6	1.86%	0	2.5	60	INF
19	Jun_28_2016	110.74	115.24	114.35	114.3	113.75	114.17	117.64(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	57	10	70	17	0.39	52%	0.27	-76.8	1.84%	0	1.1	47	INF
20	Jun_27_2016	110.44	115.3	114.1	113.57	113.33	112.09	113.12(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-80	-47	-41	0.45	47%	0.19	-86.3	1.78%	0	-1	47	INF

21	Jun_24_2016	110.23	115.76	114.12	113.93	113.81	113.33	111.79(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-30	-47	-46	0.54	47%	0.12	-60.7	1.79%	0	-1.5	41	INF
22	Jun_23_2016	110.1	116.26	114.34	114.05	114.46	114.58	115.11(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	20	11	-33	0.24	47%	0.13	-49.8	1.75%	0	-0.4	43	INF
23	Jun_22_2016	109.96	116.61	114.32	114.17	114.26	114.28	113.83(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	0	-8	-49	0.35	52%	0.15	-41.1	1.79%	0	-0.9	38	INF
24	Jun_21_2016	109.8	116.95	114.74	114.4	114.48	114.35	113.99(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10	-6	-43	0.23	52%	0.12	-36.1	1.85%	0	-1	43	INF
25	Jun_20_2016	109.67	117.23	114.88	114.73	114.87	114.23	114.91(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-40	-6	-49	0.36	52%		-34.6	1.85%	0	-0.8	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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