Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ LGND: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: LGND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc)
LGND latest price $97.7000 (-1.64%) ($96.6100 - $101.3500) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $97.7000(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LGND advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LGND declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LGND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    XBI(57%)    IWO(56%)    IWM(52%)    ARKG(51%)
Factors Impacting LGND price   LGND will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $101.37
5 Day Moving Average   $97.52(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.1(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.37(-3.62%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $1.57b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and acquisition of technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines. Its products include evomela, IV voriconazole, duavee, viviant/conbriza, nexterone, and noxafil-IV. The company was founded by Ronald M. Evans in 1987 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. LGND price fluctuates within 5.08% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.86%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.46%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.45%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	97.78	101.37	97.1	97.52	96.82	97.47	97.7(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	12	30	35	-58	0.38	61%	0.05	-56.1	2.6%	0	-0.7	36	0
2	Jan_20_2016	97.73	101.87	97.48	97.09	96.36	96.11	99.33(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-40	0	-96	0.59	54%	0.11	-54.4	2.61%	0	-0.5	35	0
3	Jan_19_2016	97.62	102.38	97.56	96.79	96.47	96.16	94.74(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-30	-7	-111	0.55	51%	0.06	-49.8	2.73%	0	-1.4	36	0
4	Jan_15_2016	97.56	103.24	98.32	96.52	96.51	96.61	97.1(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	10	-3	-125	0.63	56%	0.03	-49.5	2.71%	0	-1.1	36	0
5	Jan_14_2016	97.53	103.95	99.37	96.69	96.35	96.78	98.72(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	20	1	-116	0.76	56%	0.08	-44.9	2.84%	0	-0.9	39	0

6	Jan_13_2016	97.45	104.34	100.24	96.67	96.86	96.42	95.55(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-30	-10	-121	0.75	54%	0.1	-47	2.82%	0	-1.6	34	0
7	Jan_12_2016	97.35	104.83	101.72	97.96	97.73	95.93	97.84(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-59	-140	-40	-115	0.49	54%	0.15	-45.8	2.84%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	Jan_11_2016	97.2	105.15	102.6	98.52	98.86	97.31	93.4(-4.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-84	-100	-69	-129	0.46	51%	0.09	-49.4	2.79%	0	-2.4	24	0
9	Jan_8_2016	97.11	105.98	104.16	100.34	100.39	99.53	97.92(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-60	-46	-109	0.44	54%	0.11	-44	2.74%	0	-2	25	0
10	Jan_7_2016	97	106.48	105.16	102.44	101.75	100.41	98.62(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-62	-110	-51	-96	0.46	54%	0.03	-33.8	2.75%	0	-2.2	28	0

11	Jan_6_2016	96.97	107.05	106.09	104.35	103.76	101.25	102.02(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-73	-190	-70	-82	0.36	54%	0.06	-21.9	2.74%	0	-1.6	45	0
12	Jan_5_2016	96.91	107.27	106.71	106.11	105.98	103.09	100.65(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-80	-190	-86	-63	0.32	54%	0.03	-9.1	2.78%	0	-2.3	48	0
13	Jan_4_2016	96.88	107.63	107.69	107.3	107.91	106.27	102.47(-5.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-53	-90	-61	-27	0.38	54%	0.12	4.3	2.77%	0	-2	53	0
14	Dec_31_2015	96.76	107.79	108.65	108.48	108.52	108.86	108.42(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	20	-11	11	0.28	63%	0.13	20	2.76%	0	0.3	50	0
15	Dec_30_2015	96.63	107.73	108.93	108.27	108.47	109.56	108.17(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	80	31	33	0.22	65%	0.16	27.6	2.77%	0	0.2	53	0

16	Dec_29_2015	96.48	107.74	108.76	108.1	108.01	108.17	110.84(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	10	23	23	0.3	65%	0.16	36	2.79%	0	1.4	52	0
17	Dec_28_2015	96.33	107.54	108.12	107.51	107.55	107.39	106.59(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-19	-2	0.15	54%	0.11	39.5	2.76%	0	-0.4	53	0
18	Dec_24_2015	96.22	107.52	107.84	108.2	108.12	107.85	108.36(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-20	-7	2	0.07	51%	0.14	56.4	3.12%	0	0.4	53	0
19	Dec_23_2015	96.09	107.34	107.84	108.9	108.68	107.72	107.38(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-70	-26	9	0.16	51%	0.11	60.8	3.12%	0	0	56	0
20	Dec_22_2015	95.98	107.11	107.88	109.7	109.75	108.4	107.33(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-80	-22	19	0.15	51%	0.14	67.7	3.12%	0	0.1	51	0

21	Dec_21_2015	95.85	106.93	108.07	109.46	110.15	109.64	107.88(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10	-12	22	0.26	48%	0.13	68.2	3.13%	0	0.4	49	0
22	Dec_18_2015	95.73	106.7	107.86	108.74	109.38	111.11	110.04(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	130	32	30	0.68	48%	0.17	65.8	3.16%	0	1.2	55	0
23	Dec_17_2015	95.57	106.31	107.56	107.34	107.64	110.65	111.85(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	58	200	66	32	0.41	51%	0.19	64.4	3.15%	0	2	59	0
24	Dec_16_2015	95.39	106	106.83	106.77	106.01	107.66	111.38(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	46	90	54	22	0.37	51%	0.19	82.8	3.21%	0	2.2	60	0
25	Dec_15_2015	95.21	105.46	106.35	105.93	105.78	104.62	106.17(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-80	-4	-1	0.32	48%		80.4	3.15%	0	0.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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