Trading Signals: KZIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: KZIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Kazia Therapeutics Ltd)
KZIA latest price $15.5400 (0%) ($14.7800 - $15.6200) on Thu. Sep. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.9% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $15.5400(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KZIA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KZIA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KZIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(8%)    EWI(6%)    EWY(6%)    EWG(5%)    EWP(5%)
Factors Impacting KZIA price   KZIA will decline at least -1.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-6%)    PCY(-1%)    XLY(0%)    XLP(1%)    JNK(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.95% (StdDev 3.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.38(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.22(2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.18(2.37%)
To recent high   -20.6%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $124m

Kazia Therapeutics Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical drug research and development. Its pipeline includes two clinical-stage drug development candidates such as GDC-0084, and Cantrixil. The company was founded by Graham Edmund Kelly in March 1994 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

$. KZIA price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 3.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.77%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2013	16.01	15.18		15.38	15.23	15.33	15.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	7	20	6	10	0.01	85%	-0.19	81.8	3.9%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Sep_18_2013	16.04	15.14	15.22	15.22	15.15	15.3	15.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.2	6	60	6	4	0.01	85%	-0.19	58.7	3.9%	0	1.5	55	0
3	Sep_17_2013	16.07	15.09	15.19	15.14	15.03	15.14	15.54(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	30	4	-1	0.01	85%	-0.25	40.1	3.91%	0	1.7	53	0
4	Sep_16_2013	16.11	15.03	15.19	15.1	14.97	15	15.14(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10	2	-1	0	85%	-0.31	18.7	3.91%	0	0.4	57	0
5	Sep_13_2013	16.16	15.01	15.15	15.07	14.99	14.93	15.14(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-40	1	-2	0.01	85%	-0.25	5.5	3.91%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Sep_12_2013	16.2	14.98	15.14	15.04	14.95	14.94	14.74(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-20	-7	-4	0	85%	-0.31	-15.5	3.96%	0	-0.8	53	0
7	Sep_11_2013	16.25	14.98	15.2	15.2	15.01	15.05	15.14(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-1	14	0	85%	-0.25	-26.6	3.95%	0	0.5	61	0
8	Sep_10_2013	16.29	14.99	15.21	15.24	15.08	14.96	15.34(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-90	1	23	0.01	85%	-0.24	-24.9	3.96%	0	1.1	62	0
9	Sep_9_2013	16.33	14.98	15.16	15.2	15.11	14.98	14.98(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-80	-5	23	0	85%	-0.37	-28	3.98%	0	0	64	0
10	Sep_6_2013	16.39	14.99	15.17	15.24	15.18	15.21	15.02(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	0	-1	31	0	85%	-0.36	-20.7	4.1%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Sep_5_2013	16.45	15.03	15.15	15.25	15.16	15.25	15.54(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	20	4	36	0	65%	-0.36	-17.1	4.13%	0	1.4	68	0
12	Sep_4_2013	16.51	15.03	15.06	15.19	15.08	15.16	15.34(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	20	2	28	0	77%	-0.36	-6.3	4.43%	0	0.6	59	0
13	Sep_3_2013	16.57	15.03	14.99	15.18	15.04	15.07	15.14(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10	2	18	0.01	79%	-0.66	-5.8	5.83%	0	0.1	47	0
14	Aug_30_2013	16.68	15.07	14.91	15.12	15.01	15.07	15.18(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-20	1	10	0	79%	-0.42	-14.4	5.91%	0	0.2	48	0
15	Aug_29_2013	16.75	15.06	14.86	15.09	14.99	15.07	15.06(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10	2	5	0	79%	-0.42	-21.1	5.91%	0	0	45	0

16	Aug_28_2013	16.82	15.09	14.8	15.03	14.95	15.01	15.22(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	4	-4	0	79%	-0.41	-24.8	5.92%	0	0.3	39	0
17	Aug_27_2013	16.89	15.09	14.75	14.9	14.89	14.97	15.3(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	40	4	-20	0	79%	-0.47	-35	5.92%	0	0.4	32	0
18	Aug_26_2013	16.97	15.1	14.74	14.77	14.75	14.9	14.82(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	70	3	-26	0	79%	-0.29	-42.6	5.95%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Aug_23_2013	17.02	15.14	14.77	14.68	14.68	14.81	15.06(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	60	4	-29	0.01	79%	-0.23	-47.8	5.95%	0	-0.2	50	0
20	Aug_22_2013	17.06	15.17	14.79	14.59	14.64	14.61	14.74(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-0	2	-32	0	79%	-0.58	-51.3	5.95%	0	-0.8	48	0

21	Aug_21_2013	17.16	15.22	14.89	14.55	14.58	14.56	14.58(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-0	-2	-36	0	79%	-0.12	-60.1	5.95%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Aug_20_2013	17.18	15.28	15.07	14.59	14.63	14.67	14.66(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	30	-3	-28	0.01	79%	-0.17	-64.7	5.95%	0	-1.2	45	0
23	Aug_19_2013	17.21	15.32	15.15	14.71	14.68	14.61	14.34(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-40	-4	-24	0	79%	-0.17	-68.1	5.95%	0	-2	42	0
24	Aug_16_2013	17.24	15.39	15.24	14.88	14.79	14.6	14.62(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-110	-5	-22	0	79%	-0.17	-64	5.94%	0	-1.8	42	0
25	Aug_15_2013	17.27	15.44	15.29	15.02	14.95	14.75	14.54(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-110	-8	-22	0	79%		-51	5.94%	0	-2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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