Trading Signals: KZIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: KZIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Kazia Therapeutics Ltd)
KZIA latest price $20.8500 (9.68%) ($19.3000 - $20.8500) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.65% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $20.8500(9.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KZIA advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KZIA declines -6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KZIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(4%)    EWP(4%)    EWY(4%)    FXI(4%)    OIH(4%)
Factors Impacting KZIA price   KZIA will decline at least -3.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    GLD(-1%)    XLU(-0%)    XLP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.825% (StdDev 7.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $4.54(-78.23%)
Resistance Level   $21.71
5 Day Moving Average   $19.92(4.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.54(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.71(-3.96%)
To recent high   -56.4%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $167m

Kazia Therapeutics Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical drug research and development. Its pipeline includes two clinical-stage drug development candidates such as GDC-0084, and Cantrixil. The company was founded by Graham Edmund Kelly in March 1994 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

$. KZIA price fluctuates within 8.43% (three month std-dev: 7.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.47%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.14%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.97%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.91%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2008	33.57	21.71	20.54	19.92	19.54	19.42	20.85(9.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-100	7	-50	0	40%	-0.53	-48	7.65%	0	-0.5	48	0
2	Nov_12_2008	33.75	21.84	20.96	19.6	19.47	19.08	19.01(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-160	-8	-53	0	39%	-0.59	-56.7	7.61%	0	-1.5	41	0
3	Nov_11_2008	33.95	22.08	21.36	19.88	19.71	19.66	19.67(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-40	-7	-42	0	41%	-0.56	-52.7	7.65%	0	-1.1	49	0
4	Nov_10_2008	34.14	22.47	21.7	20.21	20.14	19.86	19.73(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-110	-8	-42	0	41%	-0.52	-50.9	7.76%	0	-1.4	39	0
5	Nov_7_2008	34.32	22.47	21.81	20.75	20.61	19.76	20.32(5.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-310	-13	-45	0	42%	-0.58	-58.3	7.78%	0	-1.1	44	0

6	Nov_6_2008	34.52	22.63	22.02	21.27	21.33	20.43	19.29(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-290	-25	-43	0	42%	-0.66	-75.6	7.75%	0	-1.6	45	0
7	Nov_5_2008	34.75	22.94	22.38	22.53	22.32	21.46	20.4(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-300	-14	-18	0	43%	-0.63	-72.3	7.73%	0	-1.3	45	0
8	Nov_4_2008	34.97	23.24	22.48	23.05	23.21	22.23	21.31(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-270	-10	-15	0	42%	-0.6	-75.8	7.76%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Nov_3_2008	35.18	23.55	22.85	23.38	23.28	23.19	22.42(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-40	-2	-13	0	42%	-0.45	-77.2	7.77%	0	-0.5	41	0
10	Oct_31_2008	35.34	23.87	22.99	23	23.15	24.19	22.94(-10.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	330	9	-13	0	42%	-0.45	-71.7	7.78%	0	-0.3	54	0

11	Oct_30_2008	35.5	24.28	23	22.87	22.52	23.38	25.57(11.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	220	19	-2	0	44%	-0.45	-65	7.68%	0	0.4	64	0
12	Oct_29_2008	35.66	24.51	22.75	22.26	21.69	22.12	23.01(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	60	8	-24	0	41%	-0.56	-62.5	7.55%	0	-0.4	50	0
13	Oct_28_2008	35.86	24.98	22.8	21.86	21.68	21.66	22.94(11.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-30	-3	-44	0	40%	-0.53	-58.7	7.58%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Oct_27_2008	36.05	25.56	23.24	22.32	21.77	21.27	20.52(-7.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-230	-14	-41	0	37%	-0.58	-53.5	7.45%	0	-1.1	43	0
15	Oct_24_2008	36.26	26.17	23.49	22.98	22.54	21.71	22.29(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-320	-7	-45	0.01	41%	-0.55	-50.2	7.54%	0	-0.9	43	0

16	Oct_23_2008	36.46	26.57	23.28	23.11	22.99	22.27	22.55(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-230	-14	-79	0	40%	-0.6	-51.8	7.54%	0	-0.9	40	0
17	Oct_22_2008	36.68	27.06	23.56	23.31	24.13	23.36	20.98(-16.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-120	-9	-89	0	43%	-0.65	-49.7	7.49%	0	-1.3	39	0
18	Oct_21_2008	36.92	27.77	24.11	23.83	24.38	23.71	25.24(5.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-120	-15	-101	0	44%	-0.62	-45.7	7.36%	0	-0.6	41	0
19	Oct_20_2008	37.15	28.21	24.3	24.34	24.56	24.9	23.86(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	120	-1	-108	0	44%	-0.7	-40.6	7.35%	0	-1	36	0
20	Oct_17_2008	37.41	28.57	24.8	24.09	25.17	25.05	22.94(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	100	17	-112	0	45%	-0.77	-44.6	7.35%	0	-1.2	39	0

21	Oct_16_2008	37.7	29.09	25.66	23.44	24.34	24.23	23.53(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	80	-9	-126	0	45%	-0.71	-54.5	7.35%	0	-1.3	44	0
22	Oct_15_2008	37.97	29.58	26.37	23.83	23.82	25.28	23.6(-15.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	430	-3	-121	0	45%	-0.71	-58.5	7.36%	0	-1.4	42	0
23	Oct_14_2008	38.24	30.04	27.3	24.41	24.23	24.46	27.78(22.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	40	14	-114	0	47%	-0.29	-64.5	7.12%	0	-0.6	43	0
24	Oct_13_2008	38.35	30.2	27.98	24.36	24.48	22.36	22.62(15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-590	-35	-142	0	43%	-0.7	-74.5	6.53%	0	-1.9	34	0
25	Oct_10_2008	38.62	30.75	29.02	25.71	25.77	24	19.67(-22.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-77	-470	-58	-132	0	41%		-80.7	6.24%	0	-2.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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