Trading Signals: KZIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 8, 2008

Trading Signals: KZIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Kazia Therapeutics Ltd)
KZIA latest price $38.2800 (5.02%) ($35.9900 - $38.8100) on Fri. Aug. 8, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $38.2800(5.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KZIA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KZIA advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KZIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(7%)    EEM(6%)    EWI(6%)    EWP(6%)    EWY(6%)
Factors Impacting KZIA price   KZIA will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(0%)    XLP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.24(5.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.06(6.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.66(7.35%)
To recent high   -30.5%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $306m

Kazia Therapeutics Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical drug research and development. Its pipeline includes two clinical-stage drug development candidates such as GDC-0084, and Cantrixil. The company was founded by Graham Edmund Kelly in March 1994 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

$. KZIA price fluctuates within 4.32% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.13%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.43%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2008	41.98	35.66	36.06	36.24	36.33	36.9	38.28(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	120	21	12	0	47%	0.21	30.3	4.25%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Aug_7_2008	41.89	35.45	36.11	35.86	35.71	35.87	36.45(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	20	5	13	0	43%	0.22	14	4.21%	0	0.7	55	0
3	Aug_6_2008	41.8	35.37	36	35.66	35.63	35.75	35.99(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	5	15	0	43%	0.19	0.2	4.28%	0	0.4	58	0
4	Aug_5_2008	41.72	35.22	35.94	35.44	35.68	35.54	36.32(6.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10	4	16	0	43%	0.24	-19.1	4.31%	0	0.7	58	0
5	Aug_4_2008	41.62	35.12	36.01	35.19	35.6	35.51	34.15(-6.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	20	-13	14	0	40%	0.17	-33.4	4.24%	0	-0.7	52	0

6	Aug_1_2008	41.55	35.2	35.97	35.83	35.76	35.82	36.38(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	10	-10	25	0	42%	0.22	-36.6	4.18%	0	0.8	55	0
7	Jul_31_2008	41.46	35.26	35.84	36.42	36.34	35.82	35.47(1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-130	-1	45	0	42%	0.17	-28	4.2%	0	0.1	55	0
8	Jul_30_2008	41.39	35.36	35.67	36.39	36.52	35.7	34.87(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-150	-13	37	0	42%	0.12	-28.9	4.19%	0	-0.3	52	0
9	Jul_29_2008	41.34	35.5	35.56	36.49	36.05	36.98	35.07(-6.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	140	-10	44	0	42%	0.15	-29	4.21%	0	-0.2	58	0
10	Jul_28_2008	41.28	35.62	35.51	36.91	36.04	37.33	37.37(-4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	180	45	78	0	42%	0.1	-23.6	4.15%	0	1	58	0

11	Jul_25_2008	41.24	35.75	35.25	36.08	35.06	35.11	39.33(11.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-70	21	47	0	43%	0.15	-26.8	4.19%	0	1.7	58	0
12	Jul_24_2008	41.18	35.71	34.72	35.22	34.4	34.74	35.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-0	2	6	0	37%	0.05	-38.2	3.93%	0	-0.2	43	0
13	Jul_23_2008	41.16	35.86	34.65	34.85	34.41	35.01	35.33(-4.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	80	21	-8	0	37%	0.05	-48.6	3.93%	0	-0.2	43	0
14	Jul_22_2008	41.14	36.03	34.41	34.48	33.96	34.06	37.17(11.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-20	14	-39	0	39%	0.1	-57.3	3.92%	0	0.5	47	0
15	Jul_21_2008	41.1	36.06	34.11	33.95	33.64	33.81	33.24(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	10	-8	-80	0	31%	-0.02	-70.8	3.59%	0	-1.2	34	0

16	Jul_18_2008	41.11	36.32	34.34	34.29	33.85	33.85	35.01(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-40	7	-87	0	45%	0.05	-68.6	3.58%	0	-0.6	30	0
17	Jul_17_2008	41.09	36.54	34.59	34.17	33.93	33.46	33.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-31	-120	-12	-89	0	48%	0	-68.5	4.21%	0	-1.3	31	0
18	Jul_16_2008	41.09	36.96	35.02	34.42	34.5	33.85	33.5(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-120	-6	-81	0	54%	0	-59.6	4.42%	0	-1.4	34	0
19	Jul_15_2008	41.09	37.38	35.44	34.27	34.72	34.41	34.48(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-20	-6	-82	0	54%	0	-61.6	4.73%	0	-1.1	36	0
20	Jul_14_2008	41.09	37.78	35.75	34.29	34.72	35.14	34.94(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	160	-0	-82	0	54%	0.02	-58.4	4.74%	0	-1.1	40	0

21	Jul_11_2008	41.08	37.95	36.28	34.4	34.41	35.04	34.42(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	130	5	-72	0	56%	-0.02	-65.3	4.74%	0	-1.4	37	0
22	Jul_10_2008	41.09	38.2	36.77	35.12	34.48	33.68	34.74(5.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-220	-15	-67	0	58%	-0.05	-67.2	4.85%	0	-1.4	35	0
23	Jul_9_2008	41.11	38.52	37.17	35.77	35.55	33.79	32.78(-5.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-45	-370	-35	-74	0	56%	-0.05	-68.4	4.85%	0	-2.4	20	0
24	Jul_8_2008	41.13	39.04	37.82	36.78	36.9	35.28	34.55(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-41	-300	-33	-66	0	59%	-0.17	-67.8	4.82%	0	-2.1	24	0
25	Jul_7_2008	41.2	39.42	38.22	37.39	37.75	37.31	35.53(-6.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-50	-28	-65	0	59%		-80	4.82%	0	-2	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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