Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF)
KWEB latest price $74.7400 (0.78%) ($74.0500 - $74.9200) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative   Growing Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $3.19 (4.14% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.03% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.5% (StdDev 3.03%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.2%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   -0.24%
Trend   -0.36%
Trend Strength   -1.3%
Trend Clarity   -0.12(-0.5/3.19/77.02)
RSI   49
Momentum   1.4
Latest Price   $74.7400(0.78%)
Forecasted Low Price   73.62(-1.5%)
Forecasted High Price   75.34(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(5.5511151231258E-17%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   0.9% ((75.42))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   3.2%
Hourly Trend -0.2% [$74.49(-0.12), $74.64(-0.17)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   2
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   KWEB declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KWEB declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KWEB advance at 0.4% a week (93% probability)
MCHI(96%)    FXI(92%)    BOTZ(90%)    EEM(87%)    VWO(86%)
Factors Impacting KWEB price   KWEB will advance at least 0.3% in a week (55% probabilities).
UUP(-77%)    TBT(-57%)    XLF(-44%)    XLE(-39%)    OIH(-32%)
Explanation The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -1.3

Relative Volatility -1.6 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.2% (StdDev 3.03%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Next Day Open Price   $74.92(0.24%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $70.15(-6.14%)
Resistance Level   $77.02
5 Day Moving Average   $74.6(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.99(-1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.02(-2.96%)
To recent high   -27.8%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. KWEB price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 3.03% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. KWEB price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Apr_16_2021	77.02 (-0.6%)	75.99 (-0.2%)	74.6 (-0.3%)	74.64	74.49(0%)	74.74(0.78%)	74.05-74.92	-0.9(-0.7)	1	-0.2%	-0.5%	0%	-0.24%	-0.36%	-1.3%	49	1.4	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.7%)	2	-1.3	-0.3	Growing Downtrend	74.35(-0.52%)	73.97-75.13	3.38	-27.8%-0.9%
2	Apr_15_2021	77.44 (-0.6%)	76.36 (-0.2%)	74.83 (-0.9%)	74.81	74.61(0%)	74.16(0.15%)	73.92-74.83	-1(-1)	-1.5	-0.5%	-0.4%	0%	-0.47%	-0.28%	-1.4%	50	1.4	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.9%)	3	-1.4	-0.4	Growing Downtrend	73.78(-0.51%)	73.34-74.73	3.34	-28.4%-0.1%
3	Apr_14_2021	77.99 (-0.6%)	76.61 (0%)	75.52 (-0.7%)	75.25	74.79(0%)	74.05(-1.39%)	73.96-75.8	-0.9(-1.1)	-2.5	-0.6%	-0.4%	0%	-0.08%	-0.16%	-1.8%	49	1.6	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	4	-1.4	-0.5	N/A	74.86(1.09%)	73.25-76.17	4.47	-28.5%-0%
4	Apr_13_2021	78.55 (-0.6%)	76.83 (-0%)	76.03 (-1.2%)	75.98	75(0%)	75.09(0.17%)	73.96-75.7	-0.8(-0.9)	-0.7	-0.9%	-0.2%	0%	-0.58%	-0.2%	-2.2%	35	1.6	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.1%)	4	-1.3	-0.8	N/A	75.51(0.56%)	73.96-76.78	5.53	-27.5%-1%
5	Apr_12_2021	79.01 (-0.4%)	76.8 (-0.2%)	76.97 (-0.8%)	76.53	75.71(0%)	74.96(-1.21%)	74.53-75.84	-0.7(-1)	-0.9	-1.4%	-0.3%	0%	-1.24%	-0.24%	-2.8%	31	1.7	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.1%)	4	-1.5	-0.8	Rebound	76.6(2.19%)	74.2-77.64	4.35	-27.6%-0.8%

6	Apr_9_2021	79.48 (-0.4%)	76.9 (-0.2%)	77.57 (-0.7%)	77.49	76.95(0%)	75.88(-2.23%)	75.66-76.53	-0.6(-0.9)	-1	-0.6%	-0.1%	0%	-0.51%	-0.32%	-3.2%	31	1.7	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.4%)	4	-1.5	-1.2	Rebound	77.49(2.12%)	74.91-78.59	2.35	-26.7%-2%
7	Apr_8_2021	80.04 (-0.4%)	76.83 (-0.4%)	78.11 (0.3%)	78.11	77.35(0%)	77.61(1.28%)	77.41-78.01	-0.6(-0.6)	-0.1	-0.5%	0.1%	0%	-1.06%	-0.38%	-4%	38	1.7	N/A	Range(-0.4%)	4	-1.2	-1.4	Downtrend Consolidation	77.35(-0.34%)	78.65-76.92	2.13	-25.1%-4.4%
8	Apr_7_2021	80.26 (-0.4%)	76.59 (-0.6%)	77.86 (0.2%)	78.45	78.04(0%)	76.63(-3.91%)	76.36-77.5	-0.6(-0.8)	-1	-0.4%	-0.6%	0%	-0.14%	-0.6%	-4.6%	32	1.7	Growing Downtrend	Range(1%)	4	-1.4	-1.7	Downtrend	75.81(-1.07%)	75.2-77.24	5.01	-26%-3%
9	Apr_6_2021	80.68 (-0.4%)	77.08 (-0.8%)	77.7 (1.4%)	78.31	78.87(0%)	79.75(2.27%)	78.01-80.56	-0.7(-0.2)	1.2	0.7%	-0.3%	0%	0.43%	-0.7%	-4.5%	36	1.7	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.4%)	4	-0.8	-1.9	Downtrend	78.63(-1.41%)	78.05-79.96	3.61	-23%-7.2%
10	Apr_5_2021	80.62 (-0.8%)	77.42 (-1%)	76.62 (0.6%)	77.35	78.86(0%)	77.98(-0.78%)	77.57-79.68	-1(-0.6)	0.2	1.2%	-0.7%	0%	0.79%	-0.9%	-4%	35	1.7	Confirmed Rebound	Range(0.9%)	3	-1.2	-2	Downtrend	76.5(-1.9%)	75.68-78.4	2.68	-24.7%-4.9%

11	Apr_1_2021	80.96 (-0.8%)	78.05 (-1%)	76.15 (1%)	76.36	77.75(0%)	78.59(2.93%)	78.4-80.06	-1.2(-0.5)	1.4	1.9%	-0.5%	0%	1.47%	-0.96%	-3.6%	36	1.7	Confirmed Rebound	Range(1.4%)	2	-1	-2.3	Downtrend	77.1(-1.89%)	76.28-79.01	3.84	-24.1%-5.7%
12	Mar_31_2021	81.27 (-1%)	78.48 (-1.2%)	75.39 (0.3%)	75.27	75.84(0%)	76.35(0.69%)	75.83-76.91	-1.5(-1.1)	0.6	0.7%	-1%	0%	1.21%	-1.14%	-3.4%	25	1.8	Rebound	Range(-0.3%)	1	-1.3	-1.8	Downtrend	74.47(-2.46%)	73.34-77.1	2.67	-26.3%-2.7%
13	Mar_30_2021	81.89 (-1%)	79.36 (-1.2%)	75.16 (-1.7%)	75	74.97(0%)	75.83(1.96%)	74.22-76.5	-1.7(-1.3)	1.2	-0.4%	-1.1%	0%	0.55%	-1.12%	-3.1%	41	1.9	Downtrend Pop	Range(-1.5%)	1	-1.5	-2.5	Bottom	76.23(0.53%)	74.15-77.62	4.33	-26.8%-2%
14	Mar_29_2021	82.66 (-1%)	80.32 (-1%)	76.42 (-2.5%)	75.71	74.7(0%)	74.37(-1.61%)	73.52-75.51	-1.7(-1.6)	-0.6	-1.5%	-1.3%	0%	-1.11%	-1%	-2.8%	34	2	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2%)	1	-1.9	-2.3	Growing Downtrend	72.67(-2.29%)	71.15-75.52	6.38	-28.2%-0%
15	Mar_26_2021	83.61 (-0.8%)	81.36 (-0.6%)	78.38 (-2.4%)	77.68	75.02(0%)	75.59(1.04%)	71.56-76.97	-1.6(-1.6)	-0.1	-2.5%	-1.1%	0%	-2.2%	-0.72%	-2.7%	50	1.8	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-3.6%)	1	-1.9	-2	Relative Oversold	75.95(0.48%)	71.95-79.23	13.31	-27%-4.7%

16	Mar_25_2021	84.34 (-0.8%)	82.29 (-0.4%)	80.27 (-2.1%)	80.07	76.72(0%)	74.81(-0.49%)	74.5-77.04	-1.4(-2)	-1.2	-3.6%	-1.4%	0%	-3.59%	-0.56%	-2.4%	40	1.7	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-4.8%)	2	-2.1	-2.2	Growing Downtrend	73.98(-1.11%)	72.95-76.26	5.39	-27.8%-3.6%
17	Mar_24_2021	85.15 (-0.8%)	83.6 (-0.2%)	82.01 (-2.5%)	82.32	80.34(0%)	75.18(-8.47%)	75.1-81.33	-1.1(-2.3)	-2.1	-3%	-1%	0%	-2.66%	-0.36%	-1.8%	41	1.6	Breakdown	Range(0.2%)	3	-2.2	-1.8	Oversold	77.53(3.13%)	74.5-78.29	5.72	-27.4%-4.1%
18	Mar_23_2021	86.05 (-0.8%)	84.4 (-0%)	84.08 (-0.8%)	83.81	83.43(0%)	82.14(-2.45%)	82.02-82.98	-0.6(-0.9)	-1.8	-0.9%	-0.5%	0%	-0.57%	-0.28%	-1.9%	42	1.6	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.2%)	4	-1.1	-2.2	N/A	82.46(0.39%)	80.62-83.97	2.1	-20.7%-13.8%
19	Mar_22_2021	86.72 (-0.8%)	84.71 (-0%)	84.75 (-0.1%)	84.38	84.3(0%)	84.2(-0.95%)	83.58-84.78	-0.6(-0.6)	-0.5	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.09%	-0.32%	-2.3%	41	1.7	N/A	Range(0.6%)	4	-0.8	-1	Rebound	85.42(1.45%)	83.09-86.42	1.23	-18.7%-16.6%
20	Mar_19_2021	87.28 (-1%)	84.18 (-0.4%)	84.81 (0.2%)	84.72	84.2(0%)	85.01(1.8%)	83.1-85.19	-0.6(-0.4)	1.1	-0.1%	-0.2%	0%	-0.19%	-0.56%	-3.5%	40	2.1	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	4	-0.6	-0.1	Rebound	85.49(0.56%)	82.89-86.6	1.84	-17.9%-17.7%

21	Mar_18_2021	88.06 (-1%)	84.15 (-0.6%)	84.68 (-1%)	84.72	84.47(0%)	83.51(-2.35%)	83.4-84.8	-0.7(-0.8)	-0.8	-0.7%	-0.4%	0%	-0.62%	-0.64%	-4.4%	44	2.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.1%)	4	-1	-1.3	Downtrend	81.93(-1.89%)	80.95-84.22	2.33	-19.4%-15.6%
22	Mar_17_2021	88.88 (-0.8%)	84.27 (-0.6%)	85.49 (0.8%)	84.62	85.25(0%)	85.52(0.01%)	83.29-86.14	-0.7(-0.5)	1.2	0.3%	-0.5%	0%	0.51%	-0.66%	-5.2%	45	2.5	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.2%)	4	-1	-0.4	Rebound	86.09(0.67%)	82.97-87.43	2.09	-17.4%-18.4%
23	Mar_16_2021	89.73 (-0.8%)	84.57 (-0.8%)	84.78 (0.1%)	85.06	84.77(0%)	85.51(1.2%)	84.9-86.88	-0.9(-0.6)	1.1	0.7%	-0.7%	0%	0.42%	-0.78%	-5.8%	42	2.6	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	4	-1	-0.4	Downtrend	83.33(-2.55%)	82.1-86.19	2.09	-17.4%-18.4%
24	Mar_15_2021	90.59 (-0.8%)	85.09 (-0.8%)	84.66 (1.5%)	84.58	83.99(0%)	84.5(0.15%)	82.88-84.63	-1(-0.8)	0.1	-0.5%	-1%	0%	-0.87%	-0.84%	-6.1%	37	2.6	Growing Downtrend	Range(-1.5%)	5	-1.2	0.6	After Bottom	83.89(-0.72%)	79.44-87.54	2.33	-18.4%-17%
25	Mar_12_2021	91.45 (-0.8%)	85.91 (-1%)	83.42 (-0.1%)	84.41	85.36(0%)	84.37(-3.61%)	83.4-84.67	-1.2(-0.9)	-0.3	0.5%	-0.7%	0%	0.7%	-0.98%	-6.1%	37	2.7	Downtrend Consolidation	Higher(1.6%)	5	-1.3	0.1	Downtrend	81.6(-3.28%)	79.9-85.57	2.42	-18.5%-16.8%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low