Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ KWEB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF)
KWEB latest price $37.5900 (1.7%) ($37.3000 - $37.6300) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $37.5900(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   KWEB advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KWEB advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KWEB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(92%)    FXI(88%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(67%)    LIT(56%)
Factors Impacting KWEB price   KWEB will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.61(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.91(4.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.5(5.89%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. KWEB price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(45%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(45%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2016	34.93	35.5	35.91	36.61	36.71	37.18	37.59(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	64	100	49	110	0.54	58%	0.06	74.8	1.36%	0	2.8	80	INF
2	Aug_10_2016	34.91	35.35	35.68	36.14	36.24	36.65	36.96(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	50	90	40	80	0.16	59%	0.03	82.3	1.37%	0	2.6	78	INF
3	Aug_9_2016	34.9	35.22	35.51	35.76	35.82	36.24	36.61(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	41	90	36	55	0.12	54%	0.03	95.1	1.39%	0	2.8	71	INF
4	Aug_8_2016	34.89	35.12	35.39	35.43	35.47	35.83	36.08(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	70	26	37	0.08	52%	0	114.9	1.48%	0	2.4	71	INF
5	Aug_5_2016	34.89	35.04	35.28	35.26	35.21	35.41	35.82(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	40	19	27	0.07	52%	0.03	101.6	1.48%	0	1.7	67	INF

6	Aug_4_2016	34.88	34.94	35.19	35.11	35.1	35.1	35.21(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-0	2	16	0.09	50%	0	79.9	1.46%	0	0.5	63	INF
7	Aug_3_2016	34.88	34.85	35.17	35.15	35.07	35.01	35.06(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-20	-8	15	0.07	48%	0.03	67.2	1.46%	0	0.3	54	INF
8	Aug_2_2016	34.87	34.75	35.18	35.22	35.17	35.09	34.97(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-20	-8	27	0.09	48%	0	66.2	1.48%	0	0.3	61	INF
9	Aug_1_2016	34.87	34.67	35.15	35.33	35.28	35.14	35.22(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-30	-3	36	0.08	48%	0.03	78.9	1.48%	0	0.7	56	INF
10	Jul_29_2016	34.86	34.6	35.11	35.3	35.31	35.25	35.09(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-4	36	0.12	48%	0.03	80.9	1.49%	0	0.6	59	INF

11	Jul_28_2016	34.85	34.53	35.07	35.28	35.29	35.41	35.4(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	6	51	0.03	48%	0.06	80.3	1.49%	0	1.1	73	INF
12	Jul_27_2016	34.83	34.41	35.01	35.19	35.2	35.38	35.42(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	40	11	64	0.05	48%	0.06	75	1.49%	0	1.3	75	INF
13	Jul_26_2016	34.81	34.28	34.92	35.13	35.1	35.17	35.54(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	10	13	78	0.13	48%	0.06	67.3	1.49%	0	1.5	80	INF
14	Jul_25_2016	34.79	34.1	34.84	34.96	35.03	35.02	35.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	0	4	83	0.07	48%	0.03	49.8	1.48%	0	1	73	INF
15	Jul_22_2016	34.78	33.99	34.79	34.9	34.95	35.03	35.02(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	20	4	90	0.03	48%	0.06	49.5	1.49%	0	1.1	64	INF

16	Jul_21_2016	34.76	33.92	34.65	34.82	34.88	35.04	34.92(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	7	87	0.07	48%	0.03	53.6	1.49%	0	1.1	63	INF
17	Jul_20_2016	34.75	33.82	34.51	34.81	34.81	34.88	35.11(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	10	11	93	0.13	48%	0.06	54.4	1.49%	0	1.4	70	INF
18	Jul_19_2016	34.73	33.72	34.3	34.68	34.76	34.73	34.69(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	0	-1	86	0.14	48%	0.06	53.8	1.48%	0	1.2	71	INF
19	Jul_18_2016	34.71	33.64	34.15	34.7	34.73	34.74	34.78(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	0	-1	105	1.97	48%	0.06	58.5	1.48%	0	1.4	77	INF
20	Jul_15_2016	34.69	33.53	34.04	34.65	34.77	34.79	34.6(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	10	13	119	0.02	48%	0.06	54.4	1.48%	0	1.3	63	INF

21	Jul_14_2016	34.67	33.44	33.94	34.45	34.63	34.73	34.88(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	40	18	110	0.04	48%	0.06	44.1	1.48%	0	1.9	57	INF
22	Jul_13_2016	34.65	33.35	33.76	34.15	34.29	34.75	34.43(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	110	27	96	0.02	51%	0.03	28.5	1.47%	0	1.6	59	INF
23	Jul_12_2016	34.64	33.27	33.59	33.85	33.93	34.52	34.82(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	130	45	76	0.08	51%	0.03	6.3	1.51%	0	2.4	60	INF
24	Jul_11_2016	34.63	33.17	33.29	33.52	33.43	33.84	34.54(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	30	80	28	35	1.49	51%	0.06	-26.9	1.51%	0	2.6	59	INF
25	Jul_8_2016	34.61	33.1	33.11	33.35	33.2	33.33	33.6(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	10	8	20	0.05	48%		-57.5	1.47%	0	1.2	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.