Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $105.0800 (1.03%) ($104.4800 - $105.5300) on Wed. Jul. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $105.0800(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(71%)    IWD(68%)    XLI(68%)    IVE(67%)    XLB(67%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-19%)    TIP(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.24(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.12(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.13(1.89%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $9.593b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(73%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(27%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.01%(55%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 2.36%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.65%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2017	92.45	103.13	104.12	104.24	104.39	104.6	105.08(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	20	20	61	0.5	68%	0.18	83	1.3%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Jul_11_2017	92.28	102.96	103.84	104.08	104.02	104.35	104.01(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	3	55	0.76	68%	0.13	101.5	1.31%	0	0.8	61	0
3	Jul_10_2017	92.16	102.76	103.73	104.08	104.08	104.18	104.67(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	0	16	63	0.97	70%	0.21	111.3	1.31%	0	1.3	53	0
4	Jul_7_2017	91.97	102.51	103.45	104.26	104.08	103.69	104.34(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-40	-6	47	0.71	70%	0.2	118.8	1.32%	0	1.2	51	0
5	Jul_6_2017	91.79	102.25	103.19	103.89	104.19	103.99	103.11(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-24	31	1.15	70%	0.19	113.7	1.32%	0	0.5	55	0

6	Jul_5_2017	91.62	101.98	102.93	103.94	104.05	104.69	104.28(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	50	25	50	0.92	70%	0.25	104.2	1.31%	0	1.2	62	0
7	Jul_3_2017	91.39	101.61	102.64	103.54	103.74	104.38	104.92(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	50	58	53	0.48	70%	0.21	80.6	1.29%	0	1.4	60	0
8	Jun_30_2017	91.2	101.18	102.46	103.11	103.15	103.41	104.65(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	20	26	45	1.06	67%	0.22	72.2	1.3%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Jun_29_2017	91	100.73	102.34	102.55	102.91	103.1	102.49(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	20	18	45	0.58	65%	0.19	69.9	1.29%	0	0.7	61	0
10	Jun_28_2017	90.83	100.41	102.28	102.39	102.59	102.89	103.35(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	30	30	60	0.45	68%	0.21	73.6	1.28%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Jun_27_2017	90.64	100.01	102.04	101.76	102.02	102.71	102.28(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	60	30	59	0.55	69%	0.19	75.4	1.3%	0	0.8	69	0
12	Jun_26_2017	90.47	99.7	101.99	101.59	101.53	102.28	102.79(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	50	37	79	0.58	69%	0.2	83	1.31%	0	1.1	73	0
13	Jun_23_2017	90.29	99.36	101.71	101.73	101.42	101.33	101.86(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-20	3	88	1.08	69%	0.19	95.1	1.31%	0	0.9	73	0
14	Jun_22_2017	90.12	98.94	101.51	102.12	101.93	100.79	101.66(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-80	-40	100	1.16	69%	0.18	97.4	1.31%	0	0.9	73	0
15	Jun_21_2017	89.96	98.4	101.25	102.16	102.45	101.51	100.22(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-23	-60	-66	108	1.27	65%	0.17	87	1.3%	0	0.5	70	0

16	Jun_20_2017	89.81	97.94	101.02	102.31	102.59	103.07	101.41(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	40	-7	148	0.94	65%	0.17	80	1.31%	0	0.9	77	0
17	Jun_19_2017	89.66	97.42	100.57	102.38	102.33	103.38	103.5(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	106	70	77	193	0.87	68%	0.2	76.2	1.28%	0	1.5	81	0
18	Jun_16_2017	89.48	96.76	99.83	101.67	101.63	102.12	103.83(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	91	30	64	170	1.59	62%	0.19	71.2	1.31%	0	1.8	83	0
19	Jun_15_2017	89.31	96.07	99	100.82	100.78	101.28	101.86(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	30	24	146	0.78	61%	0.15	67.2	1.32%	0	1.5	86	0
20	Jun_14_2017	89.18	95.47	98.39	100.22	100.34	101.15	100.97(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	60	62	171	1.14	61%	0.17	63.3	1.33%	0	1.4	88	0

21	Jun_13_2017	89.03	94.98	97.81	99.52	99.51	100.29	101.75(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	50	67	179	1.23	61%	0.19	59.9	1.33%	0	1.9	90	0
22	Jun_12_2017	88.86	94.45	97.2	98.48	98.51	99.53	99.95(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	91	70	62	178	1.31	59%	0.14	56.8	1.32%	0	1.7	88	0
23	Jun_9_2017	88.74	94	96.78	97.7	97.63	98.73	99.59(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	107	80	79	192	1.79	59%	0.17	53.3	1.32%	0	1.8	88	0
24	Jun_8_2017	88.59	93.54	96.13	96.9	96.76	97.49	98.85(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	50	59	180	2.02	59%	0.16	51.6	1.32%	0	1.8	88	0
25	Jun_7_2017	88.45	93.12	95.29	96.29	96.19	96.53	97.46(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	20	33	158	0.99	58%		52.5	1.32%	0	1.6	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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