Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $95.6200 (1.81%) ($93.8500 - $96.8300) on Tue. Oct. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $95.6200(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(65%)    XLI(65%)    IVE(64%)    VT(64%)    XLB(64%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.67(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.16(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.94(4%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $8.729b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.19%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.48%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.48%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2016	93.34	91.94	93.16	93.67	93.59	94.23	95.62(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	97	50	85	132	2.58	67%	0.05	-8.1	1.13%	0	2.3	75	0
2	Oct_10_2016	93.29	91.74	92.75	92.97	93.04	92.94	93.92(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10	12	95	1.25	64%	0.03	-32.9	1.11%	0	1.5	72	0
3	Oct_7_2016	93.26	91.73	92.38	92.66	92.8	92.95	92.02(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	20	-15	76	0.92	65%	0.02	-45.5	1.13%	0	0.2	64	0
4	Oct_6_2016	93.24	91.77	92.17	92.92	92.86	93.15	93.32(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	20	26	95	1.19	70%	0.02	-40.3	1.13%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Oct_5_2016	93.22	91.92	91.85	92.79	92.79	92.65	93.47(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10	9	76	0.72	62%	0.03	-36.4	1.13%	0	0.7	56	0

6	Oct_4_2016	93.19	92.06	91.47	92.58	92.71	92.58	92.1(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10	-11	47	0.88	60%	0.03	-37.6	1.16%	0	0	45	0
7	Oct_3_2016	93.16	92.22	91.23	92.48	92.64	92.93	92.38(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	30	24	45	0.75	60%	0.05	-43.4	1.16%	0	0.1	49	0
8	Sep_30_2016	93.11	92.37	90.97	92.02	92.18	92.85	93.32(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	60	58	23	1.13	60%	0.03	-53.7	1.16%	0	0.4	42	0
9	Sep_29_2016	93.08	92.5	90.71	91.29	91.32	92.34	92.66(0.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	47	80	65	-9	1	65%	0.01	-64.2	1.16%	0	0.1	45	0
10	Sep_28_2016	93.07	92.68	90.61	90.76	90.57	91.52	92.43(0.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	43	70	72	-46	1.08	68%	-0.01	-70.5	1.21%	0	-0.1	31	0

11	Sep_27_2016	93.08	92.89	90.58	90.22	90.09	90.31	91.6(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	10	42	-93	1.98	61%	0	-75.9	1.25%	0	-0.5	28	0
12	Sep_26_2016	93.08	93.2	90.6	89.81	89.78	89.62	90.1(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10	-12	-140	1.38	59%	-0.03	-76.7	1.29%	0	-1	29	0
13	Sep_23_2016	93.11	93.65	90.98	89.76	89.89	89.88	89.65(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	0	-13	-139	0.95	53%	-0.03	-73.2	1.4%	0	-1.3	27	0
14	Sep_22_2016	93.14	94.14	91.33	90.05	90.19	89.93	90.03(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-20	-10	-146	1.99	53%	-0.03	-68.9	1.41%	0	-1.3	26	0
15	Sep_21_2016	93.17	94.6	91.99	90.43	90.44	89.9	89.7(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-40	-41	-150	1.56	53%	-0.04	-63.8	1.41%	0	-1.5	24	0

16	Sep_20_2016	93.21	95.08	92.7	91	91.05	90.45	89.58(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-64	-40	-39	-137	1.06	55%	-0.05	-58	1.41%	0	-1.7	23	0
17	Sep_19_2016	93.26	95.56	93.31	91.51	91.59	90.99	89.85(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-70	-40	-47	-139	1.39	55%	-0.05	-54.8	1.42%	0	-1.9	21	0
18	Sep_16_2016	93.31	96.04	93.92	92.37	92.08	91.65	91.07(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-40	-38	-131	1.53	55%	-0.05	-48.4	1.42%	0	-1.8	20	0
19	Sep_15_2016	93.36	96.42	94.48	92.79	92.69	92.19	91.93(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-65	-40	-41	-135	2.02	53%	-0.06	-47.1	1.41%	0	-1.8	22	0
20	Sep_14_2016	93.42	96.73	94.97	93.82	93.36	92.5	92.55(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-78	-80	-61	-130	1.41	53%	-0.05	-38.3	1.42%	0	-1.8	23	0

21	Sep_13_2016	93.47	96.95	95.42	94.69	94.52	93.18	92.15(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-80	-100	-66	-121	1.7	53%	-0.05	-32.2	1.42%	0	-2.3	24	0
22	Sep_12_2016	93.52	97.23	96.03	95.38	95.42	94.23	94.17(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-84	-90	-74	-114	1.15	56%	-0.04	-30.5	1.4%	0	-1.8	28	0
23	Sep_9_2016	93.56	97.39	96.55	95.7	95.94	95.86	93.16(-4.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-57	0	-45	-94	0.86	49%	-0.04	-32.5	1.42%	0	-2.7	21	0
24	Sep_8_2016	93.6	97.62	97.19	96.37	96.34	96.61	97.07(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	20	24	-50	0.88	55%	0.01	-24	1.37%	0	-0.5	41	0
25	Sep_7_2016	93.59	97.6	97.41	96.3	96.29	96.02	96.92(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-20	-3	-56	1.24	55%		-19.8	1.37%	0	-0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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