Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $99.4400 (0.4%) ($98.7400 - $100.0000) on Wed. Aug. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $99.4400(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(65%)    XLI(65%)    IVE(64%)    VT(64%)    SDY(63%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    IBUY(-9%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.98(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.09(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.23(2.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $9.078b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.56%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.17%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2016	92.84	97.23	98.09	98.98	98.98	99.3	99.44(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	21	48	0.96	56%	0.14	43.7	1.39%	0	1.5	67	INF
2	Aug_23_2016	92.71	97.03	97.8	98.61	98.67	99.05	99.04(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	30	34	50	0.65	56%	0.14	30.1	1.39%	0	1.4	70	INF
3	Aug_22_2016	92.58	96.86	97.6	98.1	98.1	98.66	99.01(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	40	29	49	0.73	56%	0.14	16.3	1.39%	0	1.6	74	INF
4	Aug_19_2016	92.45	96.72	97.49	97.72	97.62	98.29	99.07(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	40	39	56	1.06	56%	0.15	11	1.39%	0	1.9	66	INF
5	Aug_18_2016	92.31	96.64	97.4	97.3	97.36	97.53	98.35(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	10	31	53	1.03	56%	0.14	16.1	1.4%	0	1.5	59	INF

6	Aug_17_2016	92.18	96.59	97.2	97.08	97.36	96.94	97.57(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	5	-10	-6	36	0.75	58%	0.13	22.2	1.4%	0	0.9	58	INF
7	Aug_16_2016	92.06	96.61	96.98	96.89	97.05	97.18	96.52(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	10	-2	33	1.45	58%	0.14	40.2	1.41%	0	-0.1	56	INF
8	Aug_15_2016	91.93	96.65	96.77	97.01	97.05	97.17	97.09(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	6	33	1.3	58%	0.05	66.4	1.41%	0	0.4	55	INF
9	Aug_12_2016	91.88	96.58	96.58	97.21	97.09	96.93	96.98(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-20	-17	23	0.65	52%	0.13	86.7	1.45%	0	0.3	52	INF
10	Aug_11_2016	91.76	96.46	96.5	97.51	97.55	97.01	97.26(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-40	-10	27	0.69	51%	0.13	106.8	1.47%	0	0.6	46	INF

11	Aug_10_2016	91.64	96.35	96.33	97.33	97.72	97.26	96.58(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-20	-19	11	0.52	53%	0.13	110.9	1.48%	0	0.2	44	INF
12	Aug_9_2016	91.52	96.16	96.22	97.05	97.47	98.08	97.14(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	19	9	0.52	51%	0.11	98.9	1.49%	0	0.5	44	INF
13	Aug_8_2016	91.42	95.89	96.08	96.44	96.76	98.18	98.07(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	110	74	11	1.32	51%	0.12	85.1	1.5%	0	1	51	INF
14	Aug_5_2016	91.31	95.52	95.89	95.86	95.68	96.85	98.51(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	50	80	67	-2	1.03	51%	0.13	72.4	1.51%	0	1.3	61	INF
15	Aug_4_2016	91.19	95.12	95.77	95.38	95.18	95.34	96.37(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	10	31	-16	0.93	48%	0.12	58.4	1.48%	0	0.5	60	INF

16	Aug_3_2016	91.08	94.71	95.88	95.23	95.13	94.52	95.16(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-50	-21	-30	0.58	46%	0.12	49.8	1.48%	0	0.2	53	INF
17	Aug_2_2016	90.97	94.4	96.18	95.27	95.33	95.01	94.08(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-20	-36	-14	0.73	46%	0.09	48.4	1.49%	0	-0.1	60	INF
18	Aug_1_2016	90.89	94.11	96.52	95.64	95.64	95.75	95.16(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	10	-0	32	1.29	46%	0.06	55	1.48%	0	0.3	69	INF
19	Jul_29_2016	90.84	93.85	96.6	95.89	95.66	95.64	96.11(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-8	56	0.98	46%	0.06	59.2	1.49%	0	0.6	75	INF
20	Jul_28_2016	90.79	93.55	96.45	96.24	95.98	95.53	95.62(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-21	76	0.8	45%	0.06	60.6	1.5%	0	0.6	75	INF

21	Jul_27_2016	90.74	93.24	96.41	96.66	96.5	95.67	95.39(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-70	-44	108	0.87	45%	0.06	62.7	1.51%	0	0.6	80	INF
22	Jul_26_2016	90.69	92.82	96.17	97.23	97.03	96.43	95.92(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-50	-46	141	1.47	45%	0.07	60.6	1.51%	0	0.8	77	INF
23	Jul_25_2016	90.63	92.27	95.76	97.53	97.61	97.34	96.41(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	47	-20	0	187	0.75	45%	0.07	53.5	1.51%	0	1	81	INF
24	Jul_22_2016	90.57	91.81	95.2	97.37	97.22	97.63	97.84(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	20	16	198	0.81	45%	0.09	51.9	1.51%	0	1.5	74	INF
25	Jul_21_2016	90.49	91.44	94.45	96.68	96.45	97.88	97.73(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	100	57	202	1.73	45%		55.4	1.52%	0	1.6	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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