Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $94.9100 (2.57%) ($93.2600 - $95.4900) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $94.9100(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(65%)    XLI(65%)    IVE(64%)    VT(64%)    SDY(63%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    TIP(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.87(3.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.36(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.34(6.23%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $8.664b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.72%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 3.43%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.01%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 4.74%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	90.13	89.34	90.36	91.87	92.08	93.16	94.91(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	97	90	87	127	1.98	48%	0.07	38.4	1.61%	0	2.5	55	0
2	Jul_13_2016	90.07	88.94	89.74	90.42	90.88	91.71	92.53(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	80	52	79	2.17	49%	0.03	11.5	1.58%	0	1.9	55	0
3	Jul_12_2016	90.04	88.73	89.14	89.59	89.92	91.01	91.3(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	100	57	49	0.7	49%	0.01	-9.7	1.64%	0	1.6	53	0
4	Jul_11_2016	90.03	88.61	88.49	88.83	88.98	90.04	90.39(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	90	52	12	0.7	49%	0.01	-29.9	1.63%	0	1.2	52	0
5	Jul_8_2016	90.02	88.51	88.15	88.67	88.32	88.82	90.2(2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	30	27	-5	0.79	52%	0	-44	1.63%	0	1.1	55	0

6	Jul_7_2016	90.02	88.49	88.18	88.65	88.41	87.91	87.66(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-50	-6	-5	1.09	49%	-0.03	-50	1.64%	0	-0.6	52	0
7	Jul_6_2016	90.05	88.73	88.39	88.94	88.69	87.81	88.41(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-24	-80	-32	1	1.21	49%	-0.02	-37.8	1.64%	0	-0.2	54	0
8	Jul_5_2016	90.07	88.88	88.5	88.59	88.87	88.9	87.49(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	10	-4	8	1.44	49%	-0.04	-43.3	1.64%	0	-0.7	48	0
9	Jul_1_2016	90.11	89.07	88.69	88	88.4	89.57	89.58(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	110	52	16	0.93	51%	0	-54.8	1.6%	0	0.3	50	0
10	Jun_30_2016	90.11	89.17	88.53	87.51	87.22	88.84	90.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	43	120	56	4	1.43	51%	0	-63.4	1.58%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Jun_29_2016	90.11	89.24	88.25	87.71	86.81	87.23	89.15(2.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	25	0	36	-10	0.8	53%	-0.01	-62.2	1.58%	0	-0	47	0
12	Jun_28_2016	90.12	89.38	88.06	87.85	87.5	85.61	86.66(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-160	-50	-63	0.92	50%	-0.06	-54.8	1.56%	0	-1.2	34	0
13	Jun_27_2016	90.17	89.7	88.28	88.45	88.33	86.4	84.53(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-120	-160	-128	-94	1.57	48%	-0.09	-44.5	1.53%	0	-2.4	31	0
14	Jun_24_2016	90.25	90.16	88.8	89.41	89.17	89.4	87.1(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	10	-40	-44	1.38	51%	-0.04	-31.4	1.5%	0	-1.5	38	0
15	Jun_23_2016	90.29	90.47	88.96	89.59	89.62	90.26	91.12(1.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	55	50	77	-11	1.17	57%	0.01	-23.1	1.39%	0	0.3	45	0

16	Jun_22_2016	90.28	90.57	88.83	88.84	88.83	88.94	89.83(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	10	20	-62	1.25	55%	-0.01	-28.3	1.38%	0	-0.4	41	0
17	Jun_21_2016	90.29	90.64	89.07	88.33	88.22	88.98	89.68(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	60	13	-77	1.44	55%	-0.01	-33.3	1.39%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Jun_20_2016	90.3	90.69	89.26	88.14	88.2	88.73	89.33(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	40	46	-75	1.53	55%	-0.01	-32.6	1.4%	0	-0.7	34	0
19	Jun_17_2016	90.31	90.78	89.44	88.15	88.15	87.46	88.01(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-50	-14	-110	1.34	56%	-0.03	-26.4	1.39%	0	-1.4	27	0
20	Jun_16_2016	90.34	90.93	89.82	88.25	88.38	87.68	87.33(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-50	-59	-130	1.67	56%	-0.06	-26	1.43%	0	-1.9	23	0

21	Jun_15_2016	90.39	91.15	90.28	88.82	88.85	88.83	87.32(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-58	-0	-38	-116	1.75	54%	-0.06	-20.3	1.43%	0	-2.3	22	0
22	Jun_14_2016	90.44	91.32	90.8	89.91	89.45	89.07	88.72(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-50	-20	-78	2.27	56%	-0.02	-12.4	1.43%	0	-1.8	43	0
23	Jun_13_2016	90.46	91.35	91.25	90.54	90.29	88.87	89.36(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-120	-55	-67	2.1	56%	-0.02	-8.7	1.44%	0	-1.4	48	0
24	Jun_10_2016	90.48	91.31	91.65	90.93	91.02	89.83	88.5(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-84	-90	-91	-63	1.2	56%	-0.03	-16.1	1.44%	0	-1.8	42	0
25	Jun_9_2016	90.51	91.42	92.16	91.61	91.73	91.72	90.18(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	0	-26	-8	1.8	59%		-11.1	1.43%	0	-0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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