Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $90.6000 (-0.52%) ($90.3200 - $91.5800) on Mon. May. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $90.6000(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(65%)    IWD(65%)    XLI(65%)    VT(64%)    XLB(64%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $92.37
5 Day Moving Average   $90.77(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.55(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.37(-1.92%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $8.271b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(18%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.92%(9%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.05%(91%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2016	90.11	92.37	90.55	90.77	90.69	91.01	90.6(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	12	20	26	-29	1.36	61%	0.01	-55.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	40	0
2	May_20_2016	90.1	92.67	90.63	90.39	90.41	90.59	91.07(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	10	30	-52	0.78	61%	0.02	-47.3	1.49%	0	-0.6	37	0
3	May_19_2016	90.08	93.01	90.81	89.77	89.74	90.37	90.51(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	50	10	-82	1.23	61%	0.01	-42.5	1.5%	0	-0.8	37	0
4	May_18_2016	90.07	93.32	90.99	89.71	89.51	90.23	91.49(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	50	34	-89	1.97	61%	0.04	-35	1.51%	0	-0.6	36	0
5	May_17_2016	90.03	93.57	91.12	89.76	89.65	89.11	90.16(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-50	-12	-125	1.66	61%	0	-25.9	1.51%	0	-1.2	28	0

6	May_16_2016	90.03	93.87	91.45	90.36	90.38	88.78	88.73(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-95	-120	-76	-152	1.79	59%	-0.03	-7.8	1.51%	0	-1.8	26	0
7	May_13_2016	90.06	94.05	92.1	90.92	91.44	90.19	87.97(-2.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-105	-80	-90	-151	1.4	59%	-0.06	3.1	1.53%	0	-2.2	24	0
8	May_12_2016	90.11	94.28	92.8	91.96	92.28	91.98	90.18(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-58	-10	-36	-123	1.45	64%	0	22	1.49%	0	-1.7	24	0
9	May_11_2016	90.11	94.37	93.39	92.4	92.57	92.7	91.77(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	20	-0	-105	1.13	68%	0.04	39.1	1.48%	0	-1.1	34	0
10	May_10_2016	90.07	94.34	93.96	92.65	92.63	92.57	93.17(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10	1	-95	1.53	72%	0.09	44.7	1.48%	0	-0.4	39	0

11	May_9_2016	89.99	94.1	94.33	92.74	92.74	92.43	91.5(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-20	-26	-103	1.47	70%	0.04	43.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	35	0
12	May_6_2016	89.95	93.97	94.88	93.48	93.05	92.68	93.17(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-40	-31	-69	1.38	76%	0.09	50.1	1.46%	0	-0.2	59	0
13	May_5_2016	89.87	93.74	95.38	93.8	93.74	93.04	92.37(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-50	-36	-38	0.74	76%	0.08	49.7	1.47%	0	-0.4	57	0
14	May_4_2016	89.8	93.44	95.86	94.53	94.35	93.41	93.05(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-80	-65	-10	1.19	76%	0.1	51.6	1.48%	0	-0.1	61	0
15	May_3_2016	89.71	93.12	96.23	95.47	95.18	94.44	93.59(-1.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-33	-60	-56	38	1.7	76%	0.12	56	1.5%	0	0.1	65	0

16	May_2_2016	89.6	92.8	96.51	96.16	96.06	95.29	95.24(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-60	-35	100	1.79	83%	0.19	59.6	1.48%	0	0.5	78	0
17	Apr_29_2016	89.43	92.35	96.2	96.49	96.5	95.92	94.75(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-40	-49	118	1.39	83%	0.18	62.8	1.5%	0	0.5	74	0
18	Apr_28_2016	89.27	91.92	95.93	97.19	96.95	96.83	96.04(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-20	-18	166	0.86	83%	0.24	66.8	1.5%	0	0.9	80	0
19	Apr_27_2016	89.06	91.4	95.49	97.36	97.33	97.08	97.74(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	58	-20	6	214	1.11	91%	0.32	68.6	1.47%	0	1.3	90	0
20	Apr_26_2016	88.78	90.79	94.79	97.11	97.21	97.07	97.02(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	46	-10	-13	222	1.36	91%	0.31	70	1.5%	0	1.3	85	0

21	Apr_25_2016	88.51	90.2	93.87	96.91	97.16	97.58	96.92(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	85	40	32	243	1.37	91%	0.34	69.2	1.52%	0	1.5	81	0
22	Apr_22_2016	88.21	89.54	92.99	95.82	96.66	97.35	98.22(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	117	80	73	248	2.31	91%	0.4	61.7	1.51%	0	2	87	0
23	Apr_21_2016	87.86	88.84	91.94	94.47	94.95	96.75	96.92(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	107	150	68	224	2	91%	0.39	56	1.53%	0	2	86	0
24	Apr_20_2016	87.52	88.23	90.77	93.32	93.6	95.97	96.49(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	158	190	136	223	2.33	91%	0.39	54.7	1.56%	0	2.3	86	0
25	Apr_19_2016	87.18	87.65	89.69	92.13	92.11	93.15	96.02(4.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	128	80	109	185	3	91%		55.1	1.59%	0	2.8	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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