Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $97.0200 (0.1%) ($96.0400 - $97.8250) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $97.0200(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(65%)    IWD(65%)    XLI(65%)    VT(64%)    XLB(64%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-17%)    IBUY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.11(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.79(2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.79(6.86%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $8.857b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 5.13% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 4.03%(54%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 8.53%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.07%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 10.44%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.56%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2016	88.78	90.79	94.79	97.11	97.21	97.07	97.02(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	46	-10	-13	222	1.36	91%	0.31	70	1.5%	0	1.3	85	0
2	Apr_25_2016	88.51	90.2	93.87	96.91	97.16	97.58	96.92(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	85	40	32	243	1.37	91%	0.34	69.2	1.52%	0	1.5	81	0
3	Apr_22_2016	88.21	89.54	92.99	95.82	96.66	97.35	98.22(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	117	80	73	248	2.31	91%	0.4	61.7	1.51%	0	2	87	0
4	Apr_21_2016	87.86	88.84	91.94	94.47	94.95	96.75	96.92(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	107	150	68	224	2	91%	0.39	56	1.53%	0	2	86	0
5	Apr_20_2016	87.52	88.23	90.77	93.32	93.6	95.97	96.49(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	158	190	136	223	2.33	91%	0.39	54.7	1.56%	0	2.3	86	0

6	Apr_19_2016	87.18	87.65	89.69	92.13	92.11	93.15	96.02(4.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	128	80	109	185	3	91%	0.41	55.1	1.59%	0	2.8	83	0
7	Apr_18_2016	86.82	87.13	88.69	90.41	90.76	91.24	91.47(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	50	37	145	1.85	87%	0.22	52.7	1.32%	0	1.9	78	0
8	Apr_15_2016	86.63	86.9	88.13	89.71	89.94	91.07	91.46(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	100	58	142	1.37	87%	0.24	0	1.35%	0	2.2	81	0
9	Apr_14_2016	86.42	86.67	87.55	88.99	89.18	90.28	91.16(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	104	90	92	140	1.57	87%	0.26	0	1.38%	0	2.6	73	0
10	Apr_13_2016	86.2	86.34	86.95	87.82	88.3	88.8	90.54(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	74	60	66	97	2.5	87%	0.23	0	1.41%	0	2.9	69	0

11	Apr_12_2016	86	86.02	86.45	86.88	87.13	88.07	87.44(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	27	65	1.6	82%	0.08	0	1.23%	0	1.3	60	0
12	Apr_11_2016	85.93	85.94	86.23	86.71	86.61	87.79	87.96(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	84	90	86	78	1.69	82%	0.13	0	1.25%	0	1.9	55	0
13	Apr_8_2016	85.82	85.94	85.83	86.31	85.98	86.19	87.87(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	10	45	18	1.3	82%	0.14	0	1.29%	0	89.7	49	0
14	Apr_7_2016	85.7	85.94	85.52	85.9	85.66	85.42	85.27(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-30	-14	-6	1.11	73%	-0.03	0	1.1%	0	96.9	37	0
15	Apr_6_2016	85.73	85.94	85.53	85.94	85.57	85.77	85.88(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	0	-3	-1	1.14	73%	0.01	0	1.13%	0	96.5	55	0

16	Apr_5_2016	85.72	85.94	85.49	85.92	85.49	85.9	86.58(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	20	30	12	1.15	73%	0.07	0	1.14%	0	94.1	60	0
17	Apr_4_2016	85.66	85.94	85.46	85.67	85.43	85.37	85.95(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10	32	13	1.06	73%	0.02	0	1.17%	0	93.4	49	0
18	Apr_1_2016	85.64	85.94	85.58	85.26	84.99	85.07	85.82(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-0	-10	-4	1.64	73%	0.01	0	1.21%	0	90.3	50	0
19	Mar_31_2016	85.63	85.94	85.72	85.09	84.86	85.48	85.45(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	40	28	11	1.15	73%	-0.01	0	1.25%	0	86.3	50	0
20	Mar_30_2016	85.64	85.94	85.68	85.07	84.66	84.9	85.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	28	11	1.14	73%	0.01	0	1.3%	0	83.3	50	0

21	Mar_29_2016	85.63	85.94	85.57	85	84.61	84.23	85.32(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-50	-19	-8	1.13	73%	-0.04	0	1.35%	0	79.7	50	0
22	Mar_28_2016	85.66	85.94	85.64	85.24	84.96	84.41	83.93(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-60	-51	-20	1.59	63%	-0.22	0	1.29%	0	74.9	50	0
23	Mar_24_2016	85.85	85.94	85.64	85.95	85.67	84.98	84.94(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-70	-46	-18	1.13	63%	-0.14	0	1.32%	0	84.1	50	0
24	Mar_23_2016	85.97	85.94	85.64	86.44	86.46	85.5	85.35(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-80	-33	-13	0.84	63%	-0.1	0	1.41%	0	84.5	50	0
25	Mar_22_2016	86.06	85.94	85.64	86.35	86.63	86.36	85.45(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10	-28	-11	1.16	63%		0	1.52%	0	81.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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