Trading Signals: KALV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 20, 2018

Trading Signals: KALV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Feb. 9, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(KalVista Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
KALV latest price $14.9200 (14.33%) ($13.1000 - $15.0000) on Mon. Aug. 20, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.12% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $14.9200(14.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KALV advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KALV advances 12.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KALV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWC(30%)    IWO(29%)    IBB(28%)    XBI(28%)    IWM(27%)
Factors Impacting KALV price   KALV will decline at least -2.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-10%)    VIXM(-7%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.06% (StdDev 4.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 13.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.35(11.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.95(15.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.24(32.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   91.5%
Market Cap   $267m

$. KALV price fluctuates within 18.68% (three month std-dev: 4.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 6.12%(40%) Average negative next day return: -4.23%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.77%(100%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.81%(10%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.56%(90%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2018	9.27	11.24	12.95	13.35	13.11	13.47	14.92(14.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	140	23	186	0.12	68%	0.65	65.3	4.12%	0	1.8	94	1.1
2	Aug_17_2018	9.21	10.91	12.58	12.98	12.83	12.85	13.05(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	60	-20	7	217	0.02	64%	0.33	64	3.75%	0	1.1	94	0.9
3	Aug_16_2018	9.18	10.69	12.39	12.85	12.81	12.75	12.97(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	68	-40	5	256	0.02	64%	0.44	61.6	3.76%	0	1.2	94	0.2
4	Aug_15_2018	9.14	10.47	12.15	12.74	12.71	12.81	12.76(-2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	78	50	5	298	0.02	64%	0.44	60.4	3.76%	0	1.2	95	-1.4
5	Aug_14_2018	9.1	10.26	11.91	12.62	12.61	12.87	13.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	94	140	11	341	0.04	64%	0.33	59.7	3.74%	0	1.5	95	0.4

6	Aug_13_2018	9.07	10.02	11.55	12.47	12.43	12.62	13.05(4.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	109	100	20	374	0.04	64%	0.44	59.4	3.75%	0	1.7	95	-1
7	Aug_10_2018	9.03	9.79	11.1	12.14	12.18	12.36	12.44(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	105	110	18	364	0.02	63%	0.22	58.2	3.71%	0	1.7	84	0.6
8	Aug_9_2018	9.01	9.61	10.69	11.85	11.82	12.24	12.41(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	106	240	25	350	0.02	63%	0.22	58.9	3.71%	0	1.9	82	1.8
9	Aug_8_2018	8.99	9.44	10.25	11.46	11.4	12.01	12.15(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	103	360	31	318	0.03	61%	0.22	59.1	3.71%	0	2.1	82	2.3
10	Aug_7_2018	8.97	9.27	9.84	11.07	10.91	11.41	12.3(8.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	102	280	42	281	0.08	61%	0.34	59.4	3.73%	0	2.6	80	2.3

11	Aug_6_2018	8.94	9.08	9.4	10.49	10.41	10.79	11.38(3.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	88	230	42	225	0.05	58%	0.11	59.7	3.6%	0	2.5	79	1.9
12	Aug_3_2018	8.93	8.94	9.09	9.9	9.92	10.41	11(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	73	350	43	163	0.03	58%	0.22	54	3.58%	0	2.7	74	1.1
13	Aug_2_2018	8.91	8.82	8.83	9.35	9.37	10.04	10.48(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	57	510	45	93	0.06	52%	0.11	46.1	3.54%	0	2.7	60	0.8
14	Aug_1_2018	8.9	8.72	8.62	8.85	8.85	9.43	10.2(8.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	37	460	41	26	0.07	52%	0	32.5	3.69%	0	2.9	59	0.7
15	Jul_31_2018	8.9	8.62	8.45	8.43	8.39	8.69	9.37(10.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	12	240	26	-31	0.06	48%	0	13.4	3.54%	0	2	53	0.6

16	Jul_30_2018	8.9	8.56	8.35	8.43	8.2	8.28	8.48(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	80	3	-86	0.01	41%	-0.22	-11.5	3.3%	0	-0.2	39	0.3
17	Jul_27_2018	8.92	8.55	8.36	8.16	8.16	8.1	8.21(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-50	-7	-95	0.01	45%	-0.22	-21.4	3.28%	0	-0.9	39	0.6
18	Jul_26_2018	8.94	8.54	8.46	8.24	8.24	8.12	8(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-100	-11	-79	0.01	45%	-0.33	-21.2	3.34%	0	-1.5	37	1.1
19	Jul_25_2018	8.97	8.55	8.57	8.35	8.39	8.21	8.1(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-140	-12	-58	0.02	43%	-0.22	-23.3	3.34%	0	-1.2	43	1.2
20	Jul_24_2018	8.99	8.57	8.67	8.47	8.49	8.36	8(-5.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-100	-11	-36	0.01	43%	-0.33	-8.8	3.36%	0	-1.6	43	1.2

21	Jul_23_2018	9.02	8.6	8.77	8.57	8.62	8.56	8.51(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-30	-2	-6	0.01	46%	-0.11	8.3	3.28%	0	-0.3	63	0.9
22	Jul_20_2018	9.03	8.6	8.81	8.59	8.63	8.62	8.58(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	10	-10	7	0.01	46%	-0.22	25.1	3.29%	0	-0.1	64	1.1
23	Jul_19_2018	9.05	8.62	8.81	8.72	8.7	8.67	8.56(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-30	-9	37	0	44%	-0.22	44.2	3.29%	0	-0.2	66	1.2
24	Jul_18_2018	9.07	8.64	8.83	8.84	8.86	8.65	8.69(2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-160	-6	62	0.01	44%	-0.22	67.2	3.31%	0	0.1	66	1.4
25	Jul_17_2018	9.09	8.6	8.82	8.9	8.95	8.72	8.49(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-160	-13	70	0.02	44%		64	3.3%	0	-0.3	53	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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