Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JPMorgan Chase )
JPM latest price $56.1829 (-4.13%) ($55.7623 - $57.4629) on Tue. Sep. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $56.1829(-4.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JPM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JPM declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JPM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(88%)    IVE(82%)    IWD(82%)    IWN(77%)    SDY(76%)
Factors Impacting JPM price   JPM will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-27%)    GLD(-13%)    IGOV(-12%)    UUP(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $60
5 Day Moving Average   $57.98(-3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.95(-3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60(-6.36%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $171.223b

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company, which provides financial and investment banking services. It offers a range of investment banking products and services in all capital markets, including advising on corporate strategy and structure; capital raising in equity and debt markets; sophisticated risk management; market making in cash securities and derivative instruments; and prime brokerage and research. It operates its business through the following segments: Consumer and Community Banking; Corporate and Investment Bank; Commercial Banking; and Asset and Wealth Management. The Consumer and Community Banking segment serves consumers and businesses through personal service at bank branches and through automated teller machine, online, mobile, and telephone banking. The Corporate and Investment Bank segment offers a suite of investment banking, market-making, prime brokerage, and treasury and securities products and services to a global client base of corporations, investors, financial institutions, government and municipal entities. The Commercial Banking segment delivers services to U.S. and its multinational clients, including corporations, municipalities, financial institutions, and non profit entities. It also provides financing to real estate investors and owners as well as financial solutions, including lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management. The Asset and Wealth Management segment provides asset and wealth management services. It offers investment management across all major asset services, including equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. JPM price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2015	60.56	60	57.95	57.98			56.18(-4.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-26	-10000	7	-124	23.64	49%	0	-46.2	1.5%	0	-1.5	34	0
2	Aug_31_2015	60.56	60.33	58.55	57.7			58.61(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	18	-141	14.22	53%	0.05	-51.1	1.41%	0	-0.7	36	0
3	Aug_28_2015	60.53	60.53	58.87	56.99			58.63(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-44	-10000	2	-180	16.69	53%	0.05	-58.6	1.41%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	Aug_27_2015	60.5	60.74	59.19	56.9			58.95(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-52	-10000	-6	-191	29.05	54%	0.05	-60.7	1.41%	0	-0.7	39	0
5	Aug_26_2015	60.47	60.94	59.45	57.16			57.52(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-65	-10000	-21	-197	33.58	50%	0.03	-59.7	1.39%	0	-1.4	33	0

6	Aug_25_2015	60.45	61.23	59.85	58.02			54.77(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-82	-10000	-41	-204	31.77	45%	0	-55.7	1.24%	0	-2.7	16	0
7	Aug_24_2015	60.45	61.64	60.66	59.54			55.09(-5.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-64	-10000	-38	-140	36.34	45%	-0.08	-52.2	1.25%	0	-3.6	18	0
8	Aug_21_2015	60.5	62.03	61.49	60.97			58.15(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-39	-10000	-24	-84	28.24	51%	0.05	-58	1.07%	0	-3.6	25	0
9	Aug_20_2015	60.47	62.29	61.93	61.75			60.29(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-20	-10000	-10	-48	20.97	56%	0.1	-62.2	0.97%	0	-2.9	32	0
10	Aug_19_2015	60.41	62.46	62.16	62.05			61.81(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	2	-36	15.2	61%	0.12	-58.2	0.93%	0	-1.1	37	0

11	Aug_18_2015	60.34	62.57	62.26	62.05			62.36(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	0	-43	10.62	61%	0.13	-56.3	0.93%	0	-0.4	42	0
12	Aug_17_2015	60.26	62.61	62.28	61.98			62.24(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-42	10.33	61%	0.13	-55.7	0.93%	0	-0.6	51	0
13	Aug_14_2015	60.18	62.66	62.32	62.13			62.07(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-28	11.25	61%	0.15	-41.4	0.93%	0	-1	50	0
14	Aug_13_2015	60.09	62.72	62.38	62.16			61.76(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-5	-32	11.93	61%	0.13	-26	0.93%	0	-1.5	40	0
15	Aug_12_2015	60.01	62.82	62.51	62.29			61.48(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-9	-32	21.15	61%	0.12	2.1	0.93%	0	-2.3	32	0

16	Aug_11_2015	59.94	62.91	62.68	62.56			62.38(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-2	-24	14.8	63%	0.13	49.4	0.91%	0	-1.1	34	0
17	Aug_10_2015	59.86	62.95	62.67	62.61			62.99(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-30	12.66	66%	0.12	69.1	0.9%	0	0.1	48	0
18	Aug_7_2015	59.79	62.92	62.59	62.54			62.22(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-3	-47	11.45	66%	0.12	59.6	0.91%	0	-1.1	40	0
19	Aug_6_2015	59.72	62.89	62.67	62.63			62.4(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-46	10.8	66%	0.12	48.4	0.92%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	Aug_5_2015	59.65	62.8	62.79	62.77			62.84(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-1	-36	11.3	66%	0.12	34.2	0.92%	0	0	42	0

21	Aug_4_2015	59.58	62.67	62.9	62.81			62.59(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-10000	2	-26	10.96	68%	0.12	26.6	0.92%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	Aug_3_2015	59.51	62.6	62.96	62.74			62.66(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	3	-29	9.98	68%	0.13	24.3	0.94%	0	0.1	46	0
23	Jul_31_2015	59.43	62.55	63.03	62.64			62.66(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-2	-27	11.91	68%	0.12	17.5	0.95%	0	0.1	55	0
24	Jul_30_2015	59.36	62.51	63.09	62.71			63.12(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-4	-7	10.2	68%	0.15	16.8	0.94%	0	0.5	66	0
25	Jul_29_2015	59.27	62.46	63.13	62.82			63.03(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-7	27	13.06	69%		18	0.95%	0	0.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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