Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JPMorgan Chase )
JPM latest price $50.8745 (-0.6%) ($50.7843 - $51.4971) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $50.8745(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JPM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JPM declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JPM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(88%)    IVE(82%)    VYM(76%)    SPY(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting JPM price   JPM will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    VIXM(-28%)    GLD(-13%)    IGOV(-12%)    UUP(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.61(-10.35%)
Resistance Level   $51.21
5 Day Moving Average   $50.28(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.57(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.21(-0.66%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $155.045b

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company, which provides financial and investment banking services. It offers a range of investment banking products and services in all capital markets, including advising on corporate strategy and structure; capital raising in equity and debt markets; sophisticated risk management; market making in cash securities and derivative instruments; and prime brokerage and research. It operates its business through the following segments: Consumer and Community Banking; Corporate and Investment Bank; Commercial Banking; and Asset and Wealth Management. The Consumer and Community Banking segment serves consumers and businesses through personal service at bank branches and through automated teller machine, online, mobile, and telephone banking. The Corporate and Investment Bank segment offers a suite of investment banking, market-making, prime brokerage, and treasury and securities products and services to a global client base of corporations, investors, financial institutions, government and municipal entities. The Commercial Banking segment delivers services to U.S. and its multinational clients, including corporations, municipalities, financial institutions, and non profit entities. It also provides financing to real estate investors and owners as well as financial solutions, including lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management. The Asset and Wealth Management segment provides asset and wealth management services. It offers investment management across all major asset services, including equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. JPM price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2015	53.44	51.21	50.57	50.28			50.87(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-10000	8	-4	14.93	46%	-0.04	-81.2	1.48%	0	-0.2	48	0
2	Feb_3_2015	53.46	51.32	50.52	49.99			51.18(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	3	-37	18.81	46%	-0.04	-93	1.49%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Feb_2_2015	53.48	51.47	50.42	49.89			50.05(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-7	-68	20.31	43%	-0.07	-90.8	1.46%	0	-0.8	37	0
4	Jan_30_2015	53.52	51.77	50.47	50.13			49.07(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-11	-82	26.94	43%	-0.07	-75.2	1.46%	0	-1.4	31	0
5	Jan_29_2015	53.56	52.12	50.55	50.54			50.23(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-10	-101	20.39	45%	-0.06	-72.6	1.43%	0	-1	30	0

6	Jan_28_2015	53.59	52.43	50.65	50.89			49.4(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-6	-102	24.35	45%	-0.06	-60.9	1.41%	0	-1.5	34	0
7	Jan_27_2015	53.62	52.78	51.01	51.1			50.71(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-93	15.22	48%	-0.06	-54.5	1.39%	0	-1	38	0
8	Jan_26_2015	53.65	53.04	51.23	51.01			51.23(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	4	-110	12.58	48%	-0.04	-52	1.39%	0	-0.8	34	0
9	Jan_23_2015	53.67	53.28	51.44	50.86			51.15(-1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10000	9	-136	15.46	49%	-0.04	-48.4	1.4%	0	-0.9	29	0
10	Jan_22_2015	53.69	53.52	51.75	50.55			51.97(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-38	-10000	4	-165	31.42	51%	-0.02	-45.6	1.39%	0	-0.7	32	0

11	Jan_21_2015	53.7	53.7	51.87	50.41			50.43(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-10000	-16	-213	21.84	50%	-0.06	-42	1.34%	0	-1.4	23	0
12	Jan_20_2015	53.73	53.96	52.15	50.94			50.27(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-65	-10000	-16	-211	23.48	50%	-0.06	-34.4	1.37%	0	-1.6	23	0
13	Jan_16_2015	53.76	54.22	52.59	51.51			50.47(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-10000	-17	-199	29.37	52%	-0.04	-29.8	1.38%	0	-1.8	26	0
14	Jan_15_2015	53.78	54.41	53.17	52.12			49.62(-3.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-65	-10000	-27	-177	42.46	46%	-0.07	-26.2	1.37%	0	-2.6	21	0
15	Jan_14_2015	53.82	54.58	53.83	53.1			51.26(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-10000	-11	-126	49.6	49%	-0.04	-26	1.42%	0	-2.2	25	0

16	Jan_13_2015	53.84	54.7	54.38	53.5			53.09(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-1	-104	21.64	53%	0	-30.4	1.35%	0	-1.2	36	0
17	Jan_12_2015	53.84	54.75	54.71	53.53			53.09(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-9	-101	15.46	53%	0.04	-37.6	1.35%	0	-1.2	36	0
18	Jan_9_2015	53.82	54.85	55.01	53.84			53.55(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-16	-86	15.4	51%	0.02	-33.9	1.35%	0	-1	42	0
19	Jan_8_2015	53.81	54.9	55.27	54.41			54.49(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-9	-42	16.97	55%	0.06	-25.3	1.36%	0	-0.3	59	0
20	Jan_7_2015	53.78	54.97	55.43	54.73			53.3(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-18	-5	23.84	51%	0.04	-14.4	1.35%	0	-1.3	61	0

21	Jan_6_2015	53.76	55.12	55.68	55.39			53.22(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-2	-10000	-17	43	29.07	51%	0.06	7.9	1.37%	0	-1.5	56	0
22	Jan_5_2015	53.73	55.27	55.94	56.04			54.64(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	17	-10000	-8	92	20.1	54%	0.07	32.4	1.33%	0	-0.5	57	0
23	Jan_2_2015	53.69	55.3	56.01	56.33			56.39(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	2	116	12.6	61%	0.17	42.5	1.3%	0	0.9	59	0
24	Dec_31_2014	53.6	55.23	55.75	56.26			56.11(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	1	108	18.53	61%	0.11	47.6	1.31%	0	0.8	60	0
25	Dec_30_2014	53.54	55.16	55.41	56.24			56.62(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	6	85	7.52	61%		49	1.31%	0	1.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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