Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $116.8800 (0.31%) ($116.3400 - $116.9300) on Tue. Dec. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $116.8800(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    IVE(74%)    VT(73%)    IWM(72%)    EMHY(71%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $115.98(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.83(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.24(0.55%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2014	120.33	116.24	114.83	115.98			116.88(0.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	15	-10000	28	-25	2.48	44%	-0.04	-37.1	0.55%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Dec_22_2014	120.38	116.36	114.73	115.08			116.52(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	21	-87	2.62	44%	-0.03	-46.3	0.55%	0	0.1	42	0
3	Dec_19_2014	120.42	116.5	114.7	114.42			116.67(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-14	-10000	24	-128	3.35	44%	-0.04	-52.3	0.55%	0	0.1	45	0
4	Dec_18_2014	120.47	116.6	114.73	113.66			115.32(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-44	-10000	7	-195	4.17	40%	-0.07	-62.4	0.53%	0	-0.5	32	0
5	Dec_17_2014	120.55	116.78	114.91	113.45			114.51(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-62	-10000	-3	-240	5.23	38%	-0.07	-67.6	0.52%	0	-1	24	0

6	Dec_16_2014	120.64	117.01	115.2	113.54			112.38(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-98	-10000	-30	-303	5.28	31%	-0.09	-70.8	0.46%	0	-2	9	0
7	Dec_15_2014	120.75	117.38	115.74	114.33			113.22(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-89	-10000	-26	-278	5.95	32%	-0.08	-71.4	0.46%	0	-1.9	12	0
8	Dec_12_2014	120.85	117.71	116.16	115.02			112.89(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-95	-10000	-35	-273	3.84	32%	-0.1	-72.1	0.45%	0	-2.5	10	0
9	Dec_11_2014	120.97	118.08	116.77	115.92			114.24(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-77	-10000	-26	-229	4.29	35%	-0.07	-73.2	0.43%	0	-2.4	20	0
10	Dec_10_2014	121.06	118.41	117.34	116.57			114.96(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-61	-10000	-21	-179	4	36%	-0.07	-69.7	0.43%	0	-2.4	22	0

11	Dec_9_2014	121.15	118.71	117.83	117.11			116.34(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-11	-145	4.26	38%	-0.06	-66.7	0.4%	0	-1.9	26	0
12	Dec_8_2014	121.22	118.92	118.16	117.37			116.67(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-5	-122	1.47	38%	-0.06	-65.7	0.41%	0	-1.9	26	0
13	Dec_5_2014	121.29	119.12	118.46	117.49			117.39(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-120	1.33	40%	-0.04	-70.5	0.4%	0	-1.5	28	0
14	Dec_4_2014	121.34	119.28	118.62	117.76			117.51(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-21	-119	2.2	39%	-0.06	-70.3	0.4%	0	-1.6	26	0
15	Dec_3_2014	121.41	119.42	118.78	118.24			117.63(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-41	-10000	-19	-105	2.13	38%	-0.05	-65.9	0.4%	0	-1.8	23	0

16	Dec_2_2014	121.47	119.57	118.95	118.68			117.63(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10000	-17	-94	2.95	37%	-0.06	-62.8	0.4%	0	-2.1	22	0
17	Dec_1_2014	121.54	119.73	119.13	119.08			117.27(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-36	-10000	-20	-82	5.17	37%	-0.06	-57.7	0.4%	0	-2.9	22	0
18	Nov_28_2014	121.61	119.93	119.38	119.55			118.74(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-2	-59	1.4	41%	-0.07	-55.4	0.37%	0	-1.8	29	0
19	Nov_26_2014	121.69	120.04	119.51	119.59			119.94(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	9	-63	0.91	45%	-0.04	-52.6	0.35%	0	-0.1	40	0
20	Nov_25_2014	121.74	120.1	119.56	119.41			119.82(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	7	-74	1.54	46%	-0.04	-56.9	0.35%	0	-0.4	43	0

21	Nov_24_2014	121.79	120.15	119.64	119.27			119.64(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	3	-83	1.52	46%	-0.02	-66.1	0.35%	0	-0.7	38	0
22	Nov_21_2014	121.81	120.22	119.72	119.27			119.61(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	0	-93	1.79	46%	-0.04	-67.2	0.35%	0	-0.8	33	0
23	Nov_20_2014	121.86	120.3	119.81	119.21			118.95(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-10000	-10	-107	1	43%	-0.05	-61.7	0.35%	0	-1.9	18	0
24	Nov_19_2014	121.92	120.4	119.97	119.41			119.01(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-10000	-15	-102	2.24	43%	-0.05	-45.5	0.35%	0	-2.1	18	0
25	Nov_18_2014	121.98	120.49	120.1	119.73			119.13(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-35	-10000	-16	-90	3.17	45%		-15.7	0.35%	0	-2.2	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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