Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $119.9400 (0.1%) ($119.7900 - $120.0000) on Wed. Nov. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $119.9400(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    VT(73%)    IWM(72%)    EMHY(71%)    PCY(68%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    BND(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $120.04
5 Day Moving Average   $119.59(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.51(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.04(-0.08%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2014	121.69	120.04	119.51	119.59			119.94(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	9	-63	0.91	45%	-0.04	-52.6	0.35%	0	-0.1	40	0
2	Nov_25_2014	121.74	120.1	119.56	119.41			119.82(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	7	-74	1.54	46%	-0.04	-56.9	0.35%	0	-0.4	43	0
3	Nov_24_2014	121.79	120.15	119.64	119.27			119.64(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	3	-83	1.52	46%	-0.02	-66.1	0.35%	0	-0.7	38	0
4	Nov_21_2014	121.81	120.22	119.72	119.27			119.61(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	0	-93	1.79	46%	-0.04	-67.2	0.35%	0	-0.8	33	0
5	Nov_20_2014	121.86	120.3	119.81	119.21			118.95(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-10000	-10	-107	1	43%	-0.05	-61.7	0.35%	0	-1.9	18	0

6	Nov_19_2014	121.92	120.4	119.97	119.41			119.01(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-10000	-15	-102	2.24	43%	-0.05	-45.5	0.35%	0	-2.1	18	0
7	Nov_18_2014	121.98	120.49	120.1	119.73			119.13(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-35	-10000	-16	-90	3.17	45%	-0.05	-15.7	0.35%	0	-2.2	19	0
8	Nov_17_2014	122.04	120.62	120.23	120.07			119.37(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-10000	-11	-71	1.97	45%	-0.05	25	0.35%	0	-2.4	26	0
9	Nov_14_2014	122.1	120.71	120.38	120.31			119.58(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10000	-9	-55	2.59	46%	-0.04	71.8	0.35%	0	-2.4	28	0
10	Nov_13_2014	122.15	120.74	120.53	120.5			119.97(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-5	-41	3.06	48%	-0.05	84.8	0.35%	0	-1.4	27	0

11	Nov_12_2014	122.21	120.7	120.64	120.6			120.6(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	3	-28	2.45	50%	-0.04	63.5	0.35%	0	-0.1	46	0
12	Nov_11_2014	122.26	120.59	120.69	120.53			120.81(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	4	-29	1.69	52%	-0.03	37.3	0.35%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Nov_10_2014	122.3	120.48	120.7	120.44			120.57(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-48	0.71	52%	-0.04	22.4	0.35%	0	0.1	34	0
14	Nov_7_2014	122.35	120.37	120.74	120.47			120.54(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-5	-49	1.55	54%	-0.04	11	0.36%	0	0.2	43	0
15	Nov_6_2014	122.4	120.27	120.81	120.58			120.48(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-6	-24	1.54	54%	-0.03	4.3	0.36%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Nov_5_2014	122.44	120.23	120.85	120.7			120.24(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-8	7	2.16	54%	-0.04	4.3	0.36%	0	0	65	0
17	Nov_4_2014	122.49	120.23	120.91	120.88			120.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-6	54	2.59	56%	-0.03	11.8	0.36%	0	0.1	71	0
18	Nov_3_2014	122.53	120.23	121.04	121			120.75(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-1	108	2.45	56%	-0.04	14	0.36%	0	0.4	72	0
19	Oct_31_2014	122.58	120.25	121.07	121.03			121.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	-10000	-2	147	1.9	50%	-0.02	18.3	0.37%	0	0.7	76	0
20	Oct_30_2014	122.61	120.22	120.97	121.08			121.08(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	2	165	1.3	48%	-0.03	21.7	0.39%	0	0.8	71	0

21	Oct_29_2014	122.65	120.18	120.78	121.03			121.14(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	4	160	2.35	48%	-0.02	19.8	0.39%	0	0.9	60	0
22	Oct_28_2014	122.68	120.12	120.5	120.95			120.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-10000	-6	124	2.35	48%	-0.03	15.7	0.39%	0	0.8	49	0
23	Oct_27_2014	122.72	120.1	120.26	121.09			120.93(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-1	113	1.86	48%	-0.03	14.8	0.39%	0	0.8	52	0
24	Oct_24_2014	122.76	120.04	119.98	121.12			121.32(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	11	91	1.56	48%	-0.02	6.9	0.39%	0	1.2	51	0
25	Oct_23_2014	122.79	119.98	119.69	120.85			120.84(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	16	49	3.52	47%		-8.3	0.39%	0	0.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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