Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $122.8800 (-0.1%) ($122.8500 - $123.2400) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $122.8800(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    IWM(71%)    EMHY(70%)    PCY(67%)    EWG(66%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    DIA(0%)    SHY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.77(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.4(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.23(0.53%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2014	121.63	122.23	122.4	122.77			122.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	94	1.63	48%	0.03	8.9	0.25%	0	1.2	58	0
2	Feb_18_2014	121.59	122.22	122.24	122.69			123(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	10	72	2.01	48%	0.05	8.9	0.24%	0	1.4	55	0
3	Feb_14_2014	121.53	122.21	122.06	122.54			122.88(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	9	44	0.67	48%	0.02	4.7	0.25%	0	1.3	63	0
4	Feb_13_2014	121.5	122.21	122	122.4			122.64(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	13	45	1.02	51%	0.02	2.3	0.24%	0	0.9	60	0
5	Feb_12_2014	121.47	122.21	121.97	122.2			122.43(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	15	18	0.74	51%	0.02	-2.3	0.25%	0	0.5	46	0

6	Feb_11_2014	121.45	122.19	121.93	121.97			122.52(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	17	-17	1.98	48%	0.02	-9.3	0.25%	0	0.6	45	0
7	Feb_10_2014	121.43	122.19	121.91	121.71			122.22(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	13	-57	1.72	46%	0.02	-18.6	0.25%	0	0.1	41	0
8	Feb_7_2014	121.41	122.19	121.85	121.52			122.19(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-28	-10000	-2	-104	2.5	46%	0.02	-23.3	0.25%	0	0	41	0
9	Feb_6_2014	121.39	122.18	121.81	121.55			121.65(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-10	-122	0.95	41%	0.01	-18.6	0.25%	0	-1	37	0
10	Feb_5_2014	121.38	122.19	121.91	121.71			121.26(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-12	-108	2.25	38%	0.02	-7.1	0.25%	0	-1.8	32	0

11	Feb_4_2014	121.36	122.24	122.06	121.89			121.23(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-10000	-15	-88	2.06	38%	0.02	5.3	0.25%	0	-2.1	36	0
12	Feb_3_2014	121.34	122.28	122.22	122.12			121.26(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-6	-50	2.4	38%	0.02	26.5	0.25%	0	-2.4	38	0
13	Jan_31_2014	121.32	122.31	122.38	122.21			122.37(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	9	-30	2.82	41%	0.03	33.3	0.23%	0	0.2	51	0
14	Jan_30_2014	121.28	122.27	122.41	122.09			122.43(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-38	2.33	41%	0.03	15.2	0.23%	0	0.4	57	0
15	Jan_29_2014	121.24	122.24	122.43	122.14			122.16(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-9	-22	1.86	41%	0.02	17.6	0.23%	0	-0.2	56	0

16	Jan_28_2014	121.21	122.21	122.47	122.26			122.4(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-10000	-6	5	2.06	41%	0.03	20	0.23%	0	0.4	60	0
17	Jan_27_2014	121.17	122.17	122.46	122.35			121.71(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-16	21	2.33	34%	0.03	23.7	0.22%	0	-1	50	0
18	Jan_24_2014	121.13	122.19	122.54	122.57			121.77(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	6	-10000	-14	65	2.43	34%	0.03	39.5	0.22%	0	-0.9	57	0
19	Jan_23_2014	121.09	122.21	122.58	122.57			122.67(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	0	114	1.06	40%	0.03	52.6	0.2%	0	1	87	0
20	Jan_22_2014	121.05	122.17	122.51	122.76			122.76(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	5	125	1.5	40%	0.04	55.3	0.2%	0	1.3	86	0

21	Jan_21_2014	121	122.12	122.43	122.7			122.85(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	8	129	0.64	40%	0.03	58.3	0.2%	0	1.7	91	0
22	Jan_17_2014	120.96	122.06	122.34	122.6			122.82(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	-10000	7	126	0.93	47%	0.03	62.5	0.2%	0	1.9	91	0
23	Jan_16_2014	120.92	122.01	122.23	122.51			122.7(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	10	104	0.89	47%	0.03	65.5	0.21%	0	2	61	0
24	Jan_15_2014	120.88	121.97	122.12	122.38			122.67(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	11	82	1.23	47%	0.04	68	0.21%	0	2.3	62	0
25	Jan_14_2014	120.83	121.92	122.01	122.23			122.46(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	8	55	1.52	47%		59.1	0.21%	0	2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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