Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $117.8700 (0.2%) ($117.7100 - $118.1100) on Fri. Apr. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $117.8700(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(70%)    EMHY(68%)    PCY(66%)    EWG(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    IGOV(0%)    SHY(3%)    GLD(12%)    TIP(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.77(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.33(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.69(0.15%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2012	117.31	117.69	117.33	117.77			117.87(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	6	23	1.55	62%	0.04	-28.8	0.38%	0	0.2	46	0
2	Apr_19_2012	117.26	117.72	117.23	117.77			117.63(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	0	-8	0.93	62%	0.03	-35.3	0.38%	0	-0.1	40	0
3	Apr_18_2012	117.22	117.77	117.21	117.63			117.96(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	11	-16	1.81	62%	0.05	-37.1	0.38%	0	0.2	42	0
4	Apr_17_2012	117.16	117.81	117.16	117.39			117.98(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	17	-52	1.27	62%	0.06	-47.9	0.38%	0	0.2	36	0
5	Apr_16_2012	117.09	117.85	117.11	117.01			117.39(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	8	-103	1.43	59%	0.07	-55.3	0.38%	0	-0.5	32	0

6	Apr_13_2012	117.01	117.92	117.17	116.83			117.21(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	3	-122	1.41	59%	0.01	-61.8	0.38%	0	-0.8	41	0
7	Apr_12_2012	117	118	117.29	116.77			117.6(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-31	-10000	2	-130	1.33	59%	0.07	-63.6	0.38%	0	-0.4	40	0
8	Apr_11_2012	116.92	118.08	117.36	116.74			116.76(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-8	-144	1.97	56%	0.06	-57	0.37%	0	-1.4	32	0
9	Apr_10_2012	116.85	118.22	117.6	116.92			116.07(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-45	-10000	-14	-136	2.66	52%	0.03	-43	0.36%	0	-2.3	22	0
10	Apr_9_2012	116.81	118.35	117.9	117.23			116.49(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-39	-10000	-15	-111	3.33	55%	0.07	-42.4	0.37%	0	-2.4	23	0

11	Apr_5_2012	116.73	118.48	118.09	117.56			116.91(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-15	-96	1.63	55%	0.03	-41.5	0.36%	0	-2.5	32	0
12	Apr_4_2012	116.7	118.58	118.27	117.88			117.48(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-9	-74	1.7	59%	0.03	-39.1	0.36%	0	-2	34	0
13	Apr_3_2012	116.66	118.58	118.4	118.08			117.63(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-14	-69	1.6	59%	0.03	-50	0.36%	0	-1.8	32	0
14	Apr_2_2012	116.63	118.61	118.53	118.39			117.66(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-13	-54	3.18	59%	0.02	-61.9	0.36%	0	-1.9	29	0
15	Mar_30_2012	116.61	118.68	118.67	118.67			118.11(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-2	-22	2.33	63%	0.04	-57.5	0.36%	0	-1.2	47	0

16	Mar_29_2012	116.56	118.74	118.74	118.7			118.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	-1	-20	1.23	63%	0.03	-61	0.36%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Mar_28_2012	116.52	118.8	118.77	118.72			118.5(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-19	1.2	49%	0.03	-51	0.36%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	Mar_27_2012	116.49	118.88	118.85	118.76			119.19(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	3	1.92	53%	0.03	-37	0.41%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Mar_26_2012	116.45	118.92	118.87	118.76			119.07(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	0	19	1.58	53%	0.02	-29.1	0.42%	0	0.2	66	0
20	Mar_23_2012	116.43	118.96	118.82	118.69			118.23(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-4	13	2.24	48%	0.02	-19	0.41%	0	-1.1	44	0

21	Mar_22_2012	116.41	119.04	118.88	118.78			118.62(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	15	1.43	48%	0.03	-3.4	0.41%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Mar_21_2012	116.37	119.09	118.9	118.83			118.68(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	9	1	48%	0.03	10.5	0.41%	0	-0.6	41	0
23	Mar_20_2012	116.33	119.09	118.83	118.94			118.86(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-6	-11	1.62	57%	0.02	21.1	0.41%	0	-0.4	38	0
24	Mar_19_2012	116.31	119.11	118.72	119.08			119.04(0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	4	-26	1.1	57%	0.02	27.6	0.44%	0	-0.1	39	0
25	Mar_16_2012	116.29	119.08	118.7	118.99			118.71(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-0	-42	1.49	57%		23.3	0.44%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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