Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $118.4100 (0.03%) ($118.2900 - $118.7700) on Tue. Jan. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $118.4100(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(70%)    PCY(66%)    EWG(65%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    IGOV(1%)    SHY(2%)    GLD(12%)    TIP(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $118.48(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.76(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.79(1.39%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2012	114.12	116.79	117.76	118.48			118.41(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	5	95	1.46	46%	0.05	61.6	0.74%	0	1.4	83	0
2	Jan_30_2012	114.06	116.63	117.5	118.28			118.38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	5	91	1.47	46%	0.04	56.3	0.75%	0	1.6	85	0
3	Jan_27_2012	114.01	116.48	117.25	118.08			118.38(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	7	88	1.15	52%	0.04	52.2	0.75%	0	1.8	85	0
4	Jan_26_2012	113.97	116.31	116.99	117.78			118.74(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	26	-10000	9	78	3.45	52%	0.04	45.3	0.78%	0	2.4	89	0
5	Jan_25_2012	113.93	116.19	116.69	117.37			118.47(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	23	-10000	9	64	1.86	46%	0.04	53.3	0.78%	0	2.6	78	0

6	Jan_24_2012	113.88	116.08	116.42	116.95			117.45(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	47	1.57	51%	0.04	66.1	0.81%	0	2	70	0
7	Jan_23_2012	113.84	116.01	116.21	116.6			117.36(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	6	33	1.89	51%	0.03	75.5	0.89%	0	2.2	75	0
8	Jan_20_2012	113.81	115.93	116.01	116.29			116.88(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	4	22	1.57	54%	0.01	91.5	0.9%	0	1.8	69	0
9	Jan_19_2012	113.8	115.86	115.87	116.08			116.7(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	4	17	2.74	54%	0.01	107.1	0.91%	0	1.7	73	0
10	Jan_18_2012	113.79	115.73	115.78	115.9			116.37(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3	-10000	2	7	2	54%	0.01	105.1	0.91%	0	1.4	44	0

11	Jan_17_2012	113.78	115.63	115.73	115.82			115.71(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1	-10000	1	1	1.88	54%	0.01	105.4	0.91%	0	0.2	41	0
12	Jan_13_2012	113.77	115.55	115.7	115.76			115.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	2	-4	1.31	54%	0.03	70.9	0.91%	0	0.4	47	0
13	Jan_12_2012	113.74	115.44	115.67	115.68			115.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.43	59%	0.03	53.8	0.91%	0	0.5	49	0
14	Jan_11_2012	113.71	115.33	115.59	115.62			115.8(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-0	-14	1.49	56%	0.02	38.2	0.96%	0	0.5	53	0
15	Jan_10_2012	113.69	115.26	115.67	115.62			115.98(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-0	-10000	0	-1	2.33	60%	0.03	34.9	0.97%	0	0.7	64	0

16	Jan_9_2012	113.66	115.18	115.72	115.64			115.41(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	0	10	1.39	60%	0.01	39.3	1.01%	0	0.2	60	0
17	Jan_6_2012	113.65	115.1	115.78	115.63			115.41(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	-0	20	1.25	62%	0.02	41.2	1.01%	0	0.3	63	0
18	Jan_5_2012	113.63	115.04	115.84	115.65			115.5(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	2	33	1.94	62%	0	41.1	1.03%	0	0.4	66	0
19	Jan_4_2012	113.63	115	115.85	115.53			115.92(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-3	37	1.88	62%	0.02	51.6	1.03%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Jan_3_2012	113.61	114.92	115.69	115.71			115.98(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-2	43	1.57	59%	0.02	70.8	1.04%	0	1	62	0

21	Dec_30_2011	113.59	114.81	115.53	115.82			115.35(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	45	0.69	55%	0.02	97.7	1.05%	0	0.5	56	0
22	Dec_29_2011	113.57	114.7	115.4	115.97			115.5(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-1	50	1.14	55%	0.04	113	1.09%	0	0.8	63	0
23	Dec_28_2011	113.53	114.61	115.2	116.06			114.9(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	-10000	-2	51	0.83	53%	0.02	128.3	1.08%	0	0.3	56	0
24	Dec_27_2011	113.51	114.46	115.1	116.18			116.82(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	9	55	1.03	56%	0.04	115	1.08%	0	1.9	61	0
25	Dec_23_2011	113.46	114.2	114.82	115.64			116.55(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	7	40	1	56%		75.5	1.07%	0	1.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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