Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $116.0700 (0.1%) ($115.6200 - $116.2800) on Thu. Dec. 22, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $116.0700(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(70%)    EWG(65%)    PCY(65%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    IGOV(1%)    SHY(2%)    GLD(12%)    TIP(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $115.19(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.59(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.85(1.95%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2011	113.45	113.85	114.59	115.19			116.07(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	31	1.13	54%	-0.03	60.4	1.07%	0	1.5	65	0
2	Dec_21_2011	113.48	113.52	114.34	114.74			115.95(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	8	23	1.89	54%	-0.03	35.8	1.08%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Dec_20_2011	113.51	113.27	114.14	114.23			115.53(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	6	10	2.1	54%	-0.04	20.1	1.09%	0	1.3	61	0
4	Dec_19_2011	113.56	113.07	114.05	113.86			114.12(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	-0	11	1.32	52%	-0.05	7	1.08%	0	0.6	65	0
5	Dec_16_2011	113.62	113.01	114.07	113.87			114.27(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	24	0.87	52%	-0.06	0	1.08%	0	0.8	67	0

6	Dec_15_2011	113.69	112.93	114.01	113.92			113.85(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	1	47	0.94	52%	-0.06	-2.2	1.08%	0	0.6	74	0
7	Dec_14_2011	113.76	112.9	113.94	113.87			113.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-2	62	1.44	52%	-0.06	-5.1	1.08%	0	0.3	73	0
8	Dec_13_2011	113.83	112.93	113.98	114.01			113.64(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-4	78	1.01	52%	-0.07	-7.9	1.08%	0	0.4	62	0
9	Dec_12_2011	113.91	112.96	113.82	114.26			114.18(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	-10000	-1	89	0.87	52%	-0.06	-6.3	1.08%	0	0.8	60	0
10	Dec_9_2011	113.98	113	113.56	114.29			114.51(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	3	87	0.87	50%	-0.06	-8.7	1.08%	0	0.9	55	0

11	Dec_8_2011	114.05	112.96	113.07	114.13			113.61(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	2	67	1.14	50%	-0.06	-18.4	1.09%	0	0.4	52	0
12	Dec_7_2011	114.12	112.98	112.67	114.02			114.09(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	1	47	0.98	50%	-0.06	-23.5	1.09%	0	0.7	51	0
13	Dec_6_2011	114.19	113.05	112.36	113.93			114.9(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	10	34	1.71	49%	-0.04	-19	1.09%	0	1	50	0
14	Dec_5_2011	114.24	113.07	112.02	113.31			114.33(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	9	5	2.06	49%	-0.05	-30.7	1.1%	0	0.7	46	0
15	Dec_2_2011	114.3	113.15	111.84	112.73			113.73(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	14	-19	1.92	49%	-0.05	-40.5	1.1%	0	0.3	40	0

16	Dec_1_2011	114.36	113.26	111.84	111.85			113.04(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	12	-49	1.91	49%	-0.07	-53.3	1.1%	0	-0.1	45	0
17	Nov_30_2011	114.44	113.37	111.73	111.1			113.64(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-12	-10000	9	-74	1.75	50%	-0.05	-64.2	1.11%	0	0.1	46	0
18	Nov_29_2011	114.5	113.39	111.74	110.57			111.81(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	0	-102	1.08	50%	-0.07	-75.9	1.09%	0	-0.7	32	0
19	Nov_28_2011	114.58	113.64	111.98	110.56			111.45(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-10000	-5	-111	1.11	50%	-0.09	-76.8	1.1%	0	-1	32	0
20	Nov_25_2011	114.68	113.94	112.35	110.87			109.29(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-38	-10000	-12	-114	0.79	47%	-0.15	-66.7	1.08%	0	-2	18	0

21	Nov_23_2011	114.85	114.39	112.84	111.59			109.29(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-37	-10000	-13	-107	1.96	47%	-0.1	-53.7	1.08%	0	-2.4	18	0
22	Nov_22_2011	114.97	114.75	113.36	112.4			111(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-11	-94	2.53	49%	-0.03	-44	1.06%	0	-2.1	31	0
23	Nov_21_2011	115.01	115.02	113.86	113.05			111.78(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-9	-69	1.77	49%	-0.08	-28.9	1.06%	0	-1.9	41	0
24	Nov_18_2011	115.1	115.36	114.26	113.6			112.98(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-8	-60	1.16	49%	-0.07	-5.1	1.06%	0	-1.5	35	0
25	Nov_17_2011	115.18	115.49	114.6	114.08			112.89(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-3	-51	1.9	51%		10.6	1.06%	0	-1.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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