Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $120.6900 (0.17%) ($120.3300 - $120.8100) on Mon. Dec. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $120.6900(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    IWM(71%)    EWG(67%)    QQQ(66%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(0%)    IGOV(6%)    TIP(8%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.1(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.06(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.87(0.68%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2010	119.43	119.87	120.06	120.1			120.69(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	9	23	0.78	58%	0.02	-17.1	0.47%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Dec_17_2010	119.41	119.89	119.99	119.84			120.48(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	4	9	0.76	58%	0.02	-23.9	0.47%	0	1.1	57	0
3	Dec_16_2010	119.39	119.91	119.95	119.72			119.85(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-1	10	0.46	57%	0.02	-29.4	0.47%	0	-0.1	59	0
4	Dec_15_2010	119.37	119.91	119.92	119.75			119.43(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.6	57%	0.01	-41.2	0.47%	0	-0.8	50	0
5	Dec_14_2010	119.36	119.92	119.94	119.98			120.03(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-2	31	0.82	59%	0.02	-52.9	0.46%	0	0.2	62	0

6	Dec_13_2010	119.34	119.95	119.88	120.03			119.43(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-4	23	1.11	59%	0.02	-64.2	0.46%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Dec_10_2010	119.32	120.02	119.92	120.14			119.85(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-2	16	0.87	59%	0.02	-75.9	0.46%	0	-0.3	38	0
8	Dec_9_2010	119.3	120.09	119.85	120.2			120.03(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	3	1	0.89	59%	0.03	-84.5	0.46%	0	-0.1	39	0
9	Dec_8_2010	119.27	120.17	119.81	120.1			120.54(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	8	-6	1.39	59%	0.03	-83.3	0.46%	0	0.5	54	0
10	Dec_7_2010	119.23	120.25	119.65	119.89			120.3(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	6	-25	0.82	59%	0.03	-75.3	0.46%	0	0.1	56	0

11	Dec_6_2010	119.19	120.36	119.66	119.72			120(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	2	-38	1.1	59%	0.04	-63.3	0.46%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Dec_3_2010	119.14	120.52	119.77	119.67			120.12(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	7	-38	1.54	59%	0.03	-53.8	0.46%	0	-0.3	45	0
13	Dec_2_2010	119.11	120.68	119.85	119.47			119.52(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-10000	-0	-55	0.88	58%	0.03	-47.5	0.46%	0	-0.8	39	0
14	Dec_1_2010	119.08	120.83	119.85	119.48			119.52(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-10000	4	-71	1.17	58%	0.03	-47.1	0.46%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	Nov_30_2010	119.05	120.95	119.9	119.36			119.46(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-8	-114	1.26	58%	0.03	-51.3	0.46%	0	-1	33	0

16	Nov_29_2010	119.01	121.05	120.02	119.59			119.73(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-11	-124	0.57	58%	0.03	-51.3	0.46%	0	-1	33	0
17	Nov_26_2010	118.97	121.2	120.13	119.89			119.1(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-15	-134	0.26	58%	0.05	-42.5	0.46%	0	-1.5	26	0
18	Nov_24_2010	118.91	121.37	120.36	120.31			119.58(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-3	-129	0.84	58%	0.04	-33.3	0.46%	0	-1.4	26	0
19	Nov_23_2010	118.86	121.51	120.57	120.38			118.92(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-10000	-3	-136	1.68	56%	0	-30	0.46%	0	-2.1	33	0
20	Nov_22_2010	118.86	121.69	120.93	120.48			120.6(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-1	-138	0.62	62%	0.06	-24.4	0.42%	0	-1	43	0

21	Nov_19_2010	118.79	121.76	121.13	120.5			121.26(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-28	-10000	3	-122	0.59	65%	0.07	-20.2	0.42%	0	-0.5	51	0
22	Nov_18_2010	118.71	121.78	121.32	120.43			121.2(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-32	-10000	-1	-123	0.84	65%	0.07	-17.6	0.42%	0	-0.6	43	0
23	Nov_17_2010	118.63	121.79	121.55	120.45			119.91(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-16	-122	1.34	62%	0.04	-13.1	0.4%	0	-1.8	37	0
24	Nov_16_2010	118.58	121.87	121.82	120.82			119.43(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-44	-10000	-25	-99	1.73	60%	0.04	-3.8	0.4%	0	-2.5	36	0
25	Nov_15_2010	118.53	121.94	122.1	121.43			120.69(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10000	-18	-62	1.09	66%		15.7	0.38%	0	-1.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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