Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $118.3800 (0.25%) ($117.6600 - $118.5000) on Tue. Aug. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $118.3800(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(70%)    EWG(67%)    QQQ(66%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(0%)    IGOV(7%)    TIP(8%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $118.21(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.99(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.14(1.06%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2010	116.37	117.14	117.99	118.21			118.38(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	0	46	1.22	37%	0.01	95.8	1.02%	0	1.1	71	0
2	Aug_2_2010	116.36	116.96	117.85	118.2			118.08(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	47	0.76	37%	-0.01	95.7	1.03%	0	1	62	0
3	Jul_30_2010	116.37	116.76	117.67	118.22			118.25(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	1	51	0.81	37%	0	81.7	1.03%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Jul_29_2010	116.37	116.52	117.43	118.16			118.25(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	3	50	0.46	37%	0	68.6	1.03%	0	1.3	69	0
5	Jul_28_2010	116.37	116.29	117.26	117.97			118.08(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	4	47	0.54	37%	0	57.6	1.04%	0	1.2	64	0

6	Jul_27_2010	116.37	116.08	117.07	117.73			118.32(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	45	0.79	36%	0	49.2	1.04%	0	1.5	70	0
7	Jul_26_2010	116.37	115.93	116.91	117.45			118.2(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	48	0.75	36%	0.01	45.3	1.05%	0	1.7	74	0
8	Jul_23_2010	116.36	115.77	116.66	117.05			117.95(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	17	-10000	7	46	0.63	37%	0.01	38.9	1.05%	0	1.7	76	0
9	Jul_22_2010	116.35	115.58	116.45	116.59			117.3(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	13	-10000	2	45	0.75	36%	0.01	26.5	1.05%	0	1.5	77	0
10	Jul_21_2010	116.34	115.45	116.34	116.44			116.88(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	2	54	0.87	36%	0.01	26	1.05%	0	1.3	73	0

11	Jul_20_2010	116.33	115.37	116.21	116.32			116.91(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	1	59	1.34	39%	0.01	30.4	1.05%	0	1.5	67	0
12	Jul_19_2010	116.32	115.32	115.98	116.29			116.19(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	55	0.54	39%	0	45.5	1.06%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Jul_16_2010	116.32	115.29	115.78	116.21			115.65(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-1	48	0.75	38%	-0.01	59.8	1.06%	0	0.4	52	0
14	Jul_15_2010	116.33	115.26	115.56	116.27			116.58(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	1	47	0.57	38%	0.01	74.7	1.06%	0	1.3	63	0
15	Jul_14_2010	116.32	115.16	115.26	116.21			116.28(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	2	40	0.73	38%	0.01	91.6	1.06%	0	1.2	57	0

16	Jul_13_2010	116.31	115.05	115.04	116.07			116.75(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	7	33	0.88	38%	0	103.6	1.06%	0	1.8	55	0
17	Jul_12_2010	116.31	114.86	114.88	115.63			115.8(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	6	18	1.01	38%	0	100	1.05%	0	1	46	0
18	Jul_9_2010	116.31	114.68	114.81	115.27			115.95(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	9	7	0.86	38%	0.01	82.3	1.05%	0	1.2	50	0
19	Jul_8_2010	116.3	114.52	114.63	114.73			116.25(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	9	-12	0.96	38%	0.02	69	1.05%	0	1.5	54	0
20	Jul_7_2010	116.28	114.29	114.46	114.18			115.62(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	5	-28	0.8	38%	0.03	50	1.05%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Jul_6_2010	116.25	114.07	114.42	113.87			114.54(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-3	-35	0.69	38%	0.02	36.1	1.05%	0	0.3	54	0
22	Jul_2_2010	116.23	113.9	114.57	114.04			114(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-4	-17	0.69	38%	0.03	28.1	1.04%	0	0.1	58	0
23	Jul_1_2010	116.2	113.79	114.73	114.29			113.25(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-3	6	1.17	37%	0.01	29.6	1.04%	0	-0.3	60	0
24	Jun_30_2010	116.19	113.74	114.95	114.49			113.49(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-5	23	0.96	37%	0.01	36.6	1.04%	0	-0.2	58	0
25	Jun_29_2010	116.18	113.68	115.08	114.76			114.06(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-5	46	0.6	37%		39.3	1.04%	0	0.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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