Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $114.3000 (0.58%) ($113.1000 - $114.3900) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $114.3000(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(69%)    EWG(66%)    EEM(65%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $114.48
5 Day Moving Average   $113.54(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.8(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $114.48(-0.16%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2009	109.96	114.48	113.8	113.54			114.3(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	4	-65	0.26	45%	0.08	-10	0.85%	0	-0.2	42	0
2	Nov_6_2009	109.87	114.47	113.91	113.33			113.64(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.2	50%	0.08	-11.1	0.89%	0	-0.9	38	0
3	Nov_5_2009	109.78	114.49	114.13	113.4			113.25(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.25	50%	0.09	0	0.9%	0	-1.3	42	0
4	Nov_4_2009	109.68	114.53	114.4	113.66			113.16(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.3	50%	0.08	17.7	0.9%	0	-1.5	41	0
5	Nov_3_2009	109.59	114.56	114.66	113.74			113.37(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-7	-41	0.24	50%	0.08	11.4	0.91%	0	-1.3	42	0

6	Nov_2_2009	109.5	114.57	114.88	114.09			113.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-9	-25	0.48	50%	0.05	11.3	0.91%	0	-1.4	47	0
7	Oct_30_2009	109.44	114.58	115.09	114.56			113.97(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0.54	52%	0.07	12.1	0.92%	0	-0.6	52	0
8	Oct_29_2009	109.36	114.49	115.17	114.97			114.57(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-6	14	0.46	52%	0.07	7.7	0.93%	0	0.1	58	0
9	Oct_28_2009	109.28	114.36	115.2	115.27			113.55(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	1	-10000	-8	28	0.75	52%	0.06	7.5	0.92%	0	-0.7	53	0
10	Oct_27_2009	109.21	114.36	115.33	115.71			115.11(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-1	53	0.36	55%	0.09	18.7	0.9%	0	0.5	74	0

11	Oct_26_2009	109.11	114.46	115.24	115.76			115.62(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	1	60	0.32	55%	0.09	24.1	0.9%	0	0.9	85	0
12	Oct_23_2009	109.01	114.45	115.1	115.69			115.98(-0.08%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	21	-10000	5	67	0.31	55%	0.1	29	0.9%	0	1.3	93	0
13	Oct_22_2009	108.9	114.4	114.89	115.41			116.07(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	5	69	0.27	55%	0.11	27.2	0.9%	0	1.4	97	0
14	Oct_21_2009	108.78	114.27	114.65	115.13			115.77(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	4	72	0.29	55%	0.1	20.2	0.9%	0	1.3	97	0
15	Oct_20_2009	108.67	114.22	114.42	114.91			115.38(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	56	0.33	57%	0.08	18.9	0.9%	0	1.1	47	0

16	Oct_19_2009	108.58	114.17	114.21	114.65			115.26(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	5	37	0.27	57%	0.1	20.7	0.92%	0	1	46	0
17	Oct_16_2009	108.47	114.1	113.99	114.41			114.57(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	15	0.28	57%	0.09	27	0.92%	0	0.5	40	0
18	Oct_15_2009	108.37	114.08	113.74	114.28			114.69(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	4	-5	0.29	60%	0.1	37.1	0.92%	0	0.6	46	0
19	Oct_14_2009	108.26	114.04	113.45	114.08			114.66(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.37	60%	0.11	47.2	0.94%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Oct_13_2009	108.14	114.01	113.5	113.85			114.06(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-27	0.17	60%	0.06	65.6	0.94%	0	0	45	0

21	Oct_12_2009	108.08	113.96	113.61	113.71			114.09(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	4	-27	0.22	60%	0.09	67.3	0.94%	0	0.1	48	0
22	Oct_9_2009	107.98	113.83	113.75	113.51			113.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	7	-24	0.27	60%	0.12	68.1	0.95%	0	0	50	0
23	Oct_8_2009	107.85	113.7	113.85	113.11			113.7(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	7	-32	0.35	60%	0.1	66.9	0.96%	0	0	48	0
24	Oct_7_2009	107.74	113.56	113.86	112.72			113.52(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-7	-51	0.25	60%	0.1	59.7	0.96%	0	-0	49	0
25	Oct_6_2009	107.63	113.35	114	113.11			113.34(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-8	-37	0.48	60%		61.4	0.96%	0	-0	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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