Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $115.0200 (0.42%) ($114.5100 - $115.3800) on Wed. Sep. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $115.0200(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IWM(69%)    EWG(66%)    EEM(65%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.33(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.25(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.01(3.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2009	106.4	111.01	113.25	114.33			115.02(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	3	189	0.37	62%	0.14	53.3	0.92%	0	1.5	90	0
2	Sep_22_2009	106.25	110.7	112.64	114.17			114.54(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	6	191	0.28	62%	0.15	56.8	0.93%	0	1.5	75	0
3	Sep_21_2009	106.09	110.41	112.13	113.84			114(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	10	181	0.26	62%	0.15	61.2	0.94%	0	1.5	63	0
4	Sep_18_2009	105.93	110.16	111.55	113.3			114.12(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	12	159	0.43	62%	0.14	58.7	0.94%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Sep_17_2009	105.78	109.88	110.83	112.68			113.97(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	13	130	0.43	62%	0.16	56.3	0.95%	0	2	66	0

6	Sep_16_2009	105.61	109.61	110.08	112			114.24(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	-10000	21	97	0.56	62%	0.17	49.4	0.96%	0	2.6	65	0
7	Sep_15_2009	105.43	109.29	109.45	110.89			112.86(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	-10000	13	55	0.43	54%	0.17	32.8	0.95%	0	2.5	62	0
8	Sep_14_2009	105.25	108.98	109.1	110.18			111.33(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	12	37	0.33	52%	0.14	8.5	0.98%	0	1.9	59	0
9	Sep_11_2009	105.1	108.88	108.92	109.53			111(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	16	20	0.35	52%	0.15	-13.1	0.98%	0	1.8	55	0
10	Sep_10_2009	104.94	108.76	108.69	108.69			110.55(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	11	-10000	16	-5	0.38	52%	0.14	-36.1	0.98%	0	1.7	56	0

11	Sep_9_2009	104.79	108.74	108.55	107.87			108.69(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	2	-35	0.27	48%	0.13	-56.3	0.96%	0	-0	50	0
12	Sep_8_2009	104.65	108.82	108.59	107.78			109.35(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-10	-10000	-2	-35	0.32	48%	0.21	-52.5	0.96%	0	0.5	56	0
13	Sep_4_2009	104.43	108.87	108.53	107.89			108.06(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-7	-24	0.35	45%	0.12	-42.2	0.94%	0	-0.6	59	0
14	Sep_3_2009	104.31	109.03	108.67	108.24			106.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0.44	42%	0.12	-35.1	0.93%	0	-1.8	39	0
15	Sep_2_2009	104.18	109.15	108.9	108.68			106.44(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-10	-10000	-12	-2	0.46	42%	0.14	-32.7	0.94%	0	-2.4	41	0

16	Sep_1_2009	104.03	109.33	109.17	109.28			108.24(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-3	12	0.5	46%	0.15	-17.2	0.92%	0	-1.1	41	0
17	Aug_31_2009	103.87	109.4	109.19	109.46			109.92(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	11	0.33	50%	0.07	-8.1	0.9%	0	0.6	46	0
18	Aug_28_2009	103.8	109.41	108.89	109.26			109.8(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	1	-19	0.42	50%	0.17	-4.3	0.9%	0	0.4	44	0
19	Aug_27_2009	103.62	109.47	108.89	109.19			109.02(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.59	50%	0.19	8.6	0.91%	0	-0.4	37	0
20	Aug_26_2009	103.42	109.53	108.86	109.17			109.41(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	2	-32	0.26	50%	0.19	21.3	0.91%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Aug_25_2009	103.22	109.5	108.93	109.05			109.17(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	4	-32	0.35	50%	0.19	28.1	0.92%	0	-0.3	48	0
22	Aug_24_2009	103.02	109.47	109.04	108.87			108.9(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	8	-31	0.47	50%	0.18	32.3	0.92%	0	-0.5	49	0
23	Aug_21_2009	102.83	109.45	109.21	108.45			109.44(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-1	-45	0.31	56%	0.2	29.4	0.96%	0	-0	47	0
24	Aug_20_2009	102.62	109.38	109.38	108.49			108.92(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-1	-44	0.4	56%	0.21	40.2	0.97%	0	-0.4	41	0
25	Aug_19_2009	102.4	109.31	109.4	108.52			108.81(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-6	-52	0.39	56%		46.8	0.98%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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