Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $106.5600 (0.06%) ($106.2000 - $107.1900) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $106.5600(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IWM(68%)    EWG(65%)    QQQ(65%)    EEM(64%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.04(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.59(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.02(2.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2009	93.85	104.02	105.59	106.04			106.56(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-10000	5	57	0.36	62%	0.13	63.2	1.38%	0	1.2	76	0
2	Jun_10_2009	93.73	103.71	105.39	105.68			106.5(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	55	0.34	66%	0.16	57.3	1.4%	0	1.3	65	0
3	Jun_9_2009	93.58	103.49	105.07	105.26			106.13(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	2	47	0.32	66%	0.14	59.6	1.45%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Jun_8_2009	93.45	103.3	104.78	105.08			105.6(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-1	51	0.28	66%	0.1	69.5	1.48%	0	1.2	71	0
5	Jun_5_2009	93.36	103.04	104.62	105.16			105.42(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	1	73	0.27	61%	0.12	74.3	1.48%	0	1.2	75	0

6	Jun_4_2009	93.25	102.72	104.27	105.08			104.76(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	1	75	0.29	61%	0.12	69.3	1.52%	0	1	63	0
7	Jun_3_2009	93.14	102.5	104.11	105.04			104.4(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	3	87	0.25	61%	0.06	77.1	1.53%	0	0.9	64	0
8	Jun_2_2009	93.08	102.28	103.91	104.81			105.21(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	84	0.31	55%	0.09	82.3	1.53%	0	1.4	58	0
9	Jun_1_2009	93	101.95	103.47	104.41			106.02(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	5	67	0.57	55%	0.09	83.8	1.61%	0	2	59	0
10	May_29_2009	92.92	101.59	102.76	104			105(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	57	0.32	55%	0.09	91.6	1.62%	0	1.8	63	0

11	May_28_2009	92.84	101.3	102.33	103.34			104.58(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	3	48	0.29	55%	0.08	98.9	1.63%	0	1.8	65	0
12	May_27_2009	92.77	100.94	101.89	103.06			103.23(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.36	55%	0.02	99.4	1.64%	0	1.3	57	0
13	May_26_2009	92.75	100.6	101.78	102.87			103.23(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	6	49	0.28	55%	0.02	89.5	1.65%	0	1.3	59	0
14	May_22_2009	92.73	100.24	101.69	102.35			103.95(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	11	49	0.25	51%	0.12	79	1.83%	0	1.6	63	0
15	May_21_2009	92.62	99.85	101.31	101.33			101.73(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	31	0.28	49%	0.05	62.4	1.83%	0	0.8	58	0

16	May_20_2009	92.57	99.55	101.04	101.14			103.14(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	6	29	0.5	49%	0.11	56.5	1.83%	0	1.5	61	0
17	May_19_2009	92.47	99.16	100.75	101.14			102.3(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	0	26	0.48	49%	0.12	54.5	1.83%	0	1.4	65	0
18	May_18_2009	92.36	98.83	100.5	100.56			100.62(1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-5	36	0.32	49%	0.05	60.2	1.82%	0	0.7	65	0
19	May_15_2009	92.31	98.49	100.33	100.97			98.85(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-3	53	0.35	46%	0.08	69.5	1.86%	0	0.2	63	0
20	May_14_2009	92.24	98.46	100.37	101.25			100.8(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	4	71	0.22	48%	0.08	86.2	1.86%	0	1	67	0

21	May_13_2009	92.17	98.23	100.23	100.86			100.22(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-1	74	0.37	48%	0.13	91.1	1.88%	0	0.8	68	0
22	May_12_2009	92.05	97.92	99.98	100.92			102.33(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	5	86	0.34	50%	0.17	90.6	1.85%	0	1.6	76	0
23	May_11_2009	91.89	97.38	99.36	100.43			102.63(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	8	82	0.81	50%	0.19	88.9	1.86%	0	1.9	78	0
24	May_8_2009	91.72	96.86	98.67	99.65			100.26(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	3	76	0.76	47%	0.15	92.8	1.81%	0	1.3	79	0
25	May_7_2009	91.58	96.41	98.27	99.39			98.88(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-1	65	0.55	47%		91	1.82%	0	0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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