Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $87.9000 (-1.22%) ($87.4500 - $89.2200) on Tue. Mar. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $87.9000(-1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(71%)    IWM(67%)    EWG(65%)    EEM(63%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.49(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.95(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.87(4.81%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 4.02% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2009	89.47	83.87	85.95	87.49			87.9(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	5	143	0.17	44%	-0.09	0	2.11%	0	1.2	70	0
2	Mar_23_2009	89.55	83.88	85.23	87.06			88.99(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	8	124	0.31	44%	-0.06	-5.4	2.31%	0	1.6	70	0
3	Mar_20_2009	89.6	83.67	84.11	86.27			87.75(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	7	102	0.2	44%	-0.08	-22.4	2.29%	0	1.2	68	0
4	Mar_19_2009	89.67	83.71	83.23	85.6			86.28(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	73	0.17	44%	-0.1	-32	2.3%	0	0.8	51	0
5	Mar_18_2009	89.76	83.81	82.49	85.08			86.55(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	9	47	0.36	47%	-0.09	-41.1	2.3%	0	0.8	50	0

6	Mar_17_2009	89.84	83.87	81.89	84.17			85.71(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	11	15	0.27	47%	-0.1	-51.3	2.35%	0	0.5	44	0
7	Mar_16_2009	89.93	84.06	81.44	83.1			85.08(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	16	-22	0.27	50%	-0.09	-62.9	2.35%	0	0.3	37	0
8	Mar_13_2009	90.01	84.42	81.04	81.6			84.39(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	12	-61	0.24	50%	-0.12	-66.3	2.37%	0	-0	46	0
9	Mar_12_2009	90.12	84.82	81.02	80.49			83.67(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	10	-92	0.27	50%	-0.13	-67.1	2.39%	0	-0.2	37	0
10	Mar_11_2009	90.24	85.29	81.13	79.53			81.98(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	2	-123	0.22	50%	-0.17	-67.7	2.38%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Mar_10_2009	90.39	85.84	81.54	79.32			80.4(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-3	-135	0.42	50%	-0.19	-67	2.37%	0	-1	33	0
12	Mar_9_2009	90.56	86.52	82.35	79.57			77.55(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-10000	-9	-141	0.18	47%	-0.22	-64.1	2.32%	0	-1.7	22	0
13	Mar_6_2009	90.76	87.38	83.19	80.38			78.87(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-10000	-13	-152	0.17	47%	-0.22	-64.2	2.31%	0	-1.7	20	0
14	Mar_5_2009	90.96	88.1	84.25	81.59			78.84(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	-10000	-14	-143	0.34	47%	-0.3	-65.4	2.33%	0	-1.9	20	0
15	Mar_4_2009	91.23	88.85	85.31	82.94			80.94(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-43	-10000	-12	-135	0.21	49%	-0.28	-69	2.3%	0	-1.8	22	0

16	Mar_3_2009	91.49	89.51	86.1	84.09			81.63(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-44	-10000	-15	-132	0.26	49%	-0.16	-69.6	2.3%	0	-1.9	24	0
17	Mar_2_2009	91.64	90.09	86.98	85.58			81.63(-3.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-10000	-8	-118	0.27	49%	-0.05	-70.2	2.3%	0	-2.3	23	0
18	Feb_27_2009	91.69	90.82	88.16	86.38			84.93(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.24	53%	-0.19	-71.7	2.23%	0	-1.8	26	0
19	Feb_26_2009	91.86	91.38	88.99	87.32			85.56(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0.16	53%	-0.16	-66	2.25%	0	-1.9	34	0
20	Feb_25_2009	92.01	91.99	89.8	88.04			86.7(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-4	-83	0.31	53%	-0.22	-56.2	2.27%	0	-1.7	35	0

21	Feb_24_2009	92.21	92.44	90.48	88.42			89.1(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0.28	55%	-0.24	-53	2.25%	0	-1.1	38	0
22	Feb_23_2009	92.43	92.76	90.98	88.66			85.59(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-16	-80	0.22	51%	-0.31	-54.5	2.2%	0	-2.5	28	0
23	Feb_20_2009	92.72	93.23	91.9	90.22			89.63(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.23	53%	-0.28	-49.4	2.13%	0	-1.6	29	0
24	Feb_19_2009	92.98	93.5	92.23	90.95			89.16(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-9	-54	0.18	49%	-0.32	-42.2	2.18%	0	-2	26	0
25	Feb_18_2009	93.28	93.77	92.66	91.86			88.61(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-20	-10000	-9	-51	0.42	49%		-45.9	2.22%	0	-2.7	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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