Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $86.2800 (-0.31%) ($85.8300 - $87.4200) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $86.2800(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(71%)    IWM(67%)    EWG(65%)    EEM(64%)    QQQ(64%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.6(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.23(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.71(3.07%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2009	89.67	83.71	83.23	85.6			86.28(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	73	0.17	44%	-0.1	-32	2.3%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Mar_18_2009	89.76	83.81	82.49	85.08			86.55(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	9	47	0.36	47%	-0.09	-41.1	2.3%	0	0.8	50	0
3	Mar_17_2009	89.84	83.87	81.89	84.17			85.71(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	11	15	0.27	47%	-0.1	-51.3	2.35%	0	0.5	44	0
4	Mar_16_2009	89.93	84.06	81.44	83.1			85.08(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	16	-22	0.27	50%	-0.09	-62.9	2.35%	0	0.3	37	0
5	Mar_13_2009	90.01	84.42	81.04	81.6			84.39(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	12	-61	0.24	50%	-0.12	-66.3	2.37%	0	-0	46	0

6	Mar_12_2009	90.12	84.82	81.02	80.49			83.67(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	10	-92	0.27	50%	-0.13	-67.1	2.39%	0	-0.2	37	0
7	Mar_11_2009	90.24	85.29	81.13	79.53			81.98(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	2	-123	0.22	50%	-0.17	-67.7	2.38%	0	-0.7	35	0
8	Mar_10_2009	90.39	85.84	81.54	79.32			80.4(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-3	-135	0.42	50%	-0.19	-67	2.37%	0	-1	33	0
9	Mar_9_2009	90.56	86.52	82.35	79.57			77.55(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-10000	-9	-141	0.18	47%	-0.22	-64.1	2.32%	0	-1.7	22	0
10	Mar_6_2009	90.76	87.38	83.19	80.38			78.87(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-10000	-13	-152	0.17	47%	-0.22	-64.2	2.31%	0	-1.7	20	0

11	Mar_5_2009	90.96	88.1	84.25	81.59			78.84(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	-10000	-14	-143	0.34	47%	-0.3	-65.4	2.33%	0	-1.9	20	0
12	Mar_4_2009	91.23	88.85	85.31	82.94			80.94(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-43	-10000	-12	-135	0.21	49%	-0.28	-69	2.3%	0	-1.8	22	0
13	Mar_3_2009	91.49	89.51	86.1	84.09			81.63(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-44	-10000	-15	-132	0.26	49%	-0.16	-69.6	2.3%	0	-1.9	24	0
14	Mar_2_2009	91.64	90.09	86.98	85.58			81.63(-3.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-10000	-8	-118	0.27	49%	-0.05	-70.2	2.3%	0	-2.3	23	0
15	Feb_27_2009	91.69	90.82	88.16	86.38			84.93(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-10	-113	0.24	53%	-0.19	-71.7	2.23%	0	-1.8	26	0

16	Feb_26_2009	91.86	91.38	88.99	87.32			85.56(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0.16	53%	-0.16	-66	2.25%	0	-1.9	34	0
17	Feb_25_2009	92.01	91.99	89.8	88.04			86.7(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-4	-83	0.31	53%	-0.22	-56.2	2.27%	0	-1.7	35	0
18	Feb_24_2009	92.21	92.44	90.48	88.42			89.1(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0.28	55%	-0.24	-53	2.25%	0	-1.1	38	0
19	Feb_23_2009	92.43	92.76	90.98	88.66			85.59(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-16	-80	0.22	51%	-0.31	-54.5	2.2%	0	-2.5	28	0
20	Feb_20_2009	92.72	93.23	91.9	90.22			89.63(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.23	53%	-0.28	-49.4	2.13%	0	-1.6	29	0

21	Feb_19_2009	92.98	93.5	92.23	90.95			89.16(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-9	-54	0.18	49%	-0.32	-42.2	2.18%	0	-2	26	0
22	Feb_18_2009	93.28	93.77	92.66	91.86			88.61(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-20	-10000	-9	-51	0.42	49%	-0.31	-45.9	2.22%	0	-2.7	20	0
23	Feb_17_2009	93.57	94.01	93.2	92.83			90.3(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-7	-40	0.43	49%	-0.56	-55.8	2.24%	0	-2.4	36	0
24	Feb_13_2009	94.1	94.35	93.49	93.61			93.42(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.14	53%	-0.3	-52.1	2.19%	0	-0.7	43	0
25	Feb_12_2009	94.38	94.39	93.69	93.81			93.27(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-26	0.14	53%		-57.2	2.19%	0	-0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.