Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Nov. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $85.1700 (-1.53%) ($83.7700 - $86.5200) on Sat. Nov. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.28% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $85.1700(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.64% (StdDev 3.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $74.99(-11.95%)
Resistance Level   $90.2
5 Day Moving Average   $84.16(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.96(-0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.2(-5.58%)
To recent high   -33.5%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 5.59% (three month std-dev: 3.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2008	113.36	90.2	85.96	84.16			85.17(-1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	4	-102	0.05	34%	-0.53	-50.4	3.28%	0	-1	25	0
2	Nov_26_2008	113.96	90.69	86.73	83.62			86.49(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	1	-114	0.08	34%	-0.38	-55.9	3.26%	0	-0.9	26	0
3	Nov_25_2008	114.4	91.09	87.4	83.43			84.18(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-124	0.08	34%	-0.38	-58.7	3.23%	0	-1.4	20	0
4	Nov_24_2008	114.84	91.62	88.49	84.29			83.34(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-11	-118	0.07	34%	-0.28	-59.6	3.23%	0	-1.8	18	0
5	Nov_21_2008	115.16	92.21	89.66	85.88			81.6(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-38	-10000	-15	-105	0.09	34%	-0.42	-59.3	3.21%	0	-2.6	10	0

6	Nov_20_2008	115.65	92.82	91.1	88.04			82.5(-3.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-31	-10000	-15	-80	0.1	34%	-0.41	-61.4	3.21%	0	-3	17	0
7	Nov_19_2008	116.13	93.52	92.5	90.23			85.53(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-22	-10000	-11	-54	0.06	35%	-0.39	-66	3.19%	0	-3.2	20	0
8	Nov_18_2008	116.58	94.02	93.54	91.89			88.5(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-9	-34	0.08	37%	-0.38	-91.5	3.17%	0	-3.1	27	0
9	Nov_17_2008	117.02	94.44	94.23	93.29			91.29(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-10000	-5	-16	0.04	37%	-0.35	-123.6	3.15%	0	-2.3	36	0
10	Nov_14_2008	117.43	94.74	94.64	94.03			92.4(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-5	-10000	-4	-7	0.05	37%	-0.33	-119.4	3.15%	0	-1.9	40	0

11	Nov_13_2008	117.82	94.96	94.84	94.66			93.45(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-3	4	0.07	37%	-0.33	-66.4	3.15%	0	-1.2	59	0
12	Nov_12_2008	118.21	95.18	95	95.14			93.81(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-2	8	0.07	37%	-0.32	-37.1	3.15%	0	-0.6	43	0
13	Nov_11_2008	118.59	95.67	95.08	95.44			95.52(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	1	12	0.08	37%	-0.33	-18.6	3.15%	0	-0	54	0
14	Nov_10_2008	118.98	96.16	94.95	95.33			94.95(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	7	0.05	37%	-0.34	-18.7	3.15%	0	-0.4	43	0
15	Nov_7_2008	119.38	96.22	94.91	95.36			95.55(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	2	3	0.05	37%	-0.33	-32.4	3.15%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Nov_6_2008	119.77	95.81	94.61	95.06			95.85(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	1	-9	0.06	37%	-0.33	-62.2	3.15%	0	0	45	0
17	Nov_5_2008	120.17	96.04	94.55	94.85			95.34(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-16	0.1	37%	-0.34	-77.8	3.15%	0	-0.2	39	0
18	Nov_4_2008	120.58	96.26	94.48	94.66			94.95(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.15	37%	-0.34	-87.4	3.15%	0	-0.3	25	0
19	Nov_3_2008	120.99	96.76	94.62	94.53			95.1(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.08	37%	-0.34	-84.1	3.15%	0	-0.3	22	0
20	Oct_31_2008	121.4	97.47	94.8	94.4			94.05(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	2	-54	0.07	36%	-0.34	-76.5	3.14%	0	-0.5	49	0

21	Oct_30_2008	121.82	98.35	95.06	94.07			94.8(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.06	36%	-0.34	-72.8	3.14%	0	-0.5	65	0
22	Oct_29_2008	122.24	99.32	95.36	94.22			94.41(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-0	-46	0.12	36%	-0.33	-68	3.14%	0	-0.6	47	0
23	Oct_28_2008	122.65	100.39	96.27	94.27			94.29(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.06	36%	-0.35	-66.2	3.14%	0	-0.7	47	0
24	Oct_27_2008	123.08	101.49	97.41	94.75			94.44(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.07	36%	-0.34	-66.4	3.14%	0	-0.8	43	0
25	Oct_24_2008	123.5	102.48	97.62	95.29			92.4(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-55	0.07	36%		-65.5	3.13%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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