Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $95.3400 (0.41%) ($94.5000 - $95.6400) on Wed. Nov. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $95.3400(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IWM(63%)    EWG(60%)    PEJ(59%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(6%)    GLD(8%)    USO(31%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $96.04
5 Day Moving Average   $94.85(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.55(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.04(-0.73%)
To recent high   -25.6%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 4.24% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2008	120.17	96.04	94.55	94.85			95.34(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-16	0.1	37%	-0.34	-77.8	3.15%	0	-0.2	39	0
2	Nov_4_2008	120.58	96.26	94.48	94.66			94.95(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.15	37%	-0.34	-87.4	3.15%	0	-0.3	25	0
3	Nov_3_2008	120.99	96.76	94.62	94.53			95.1(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.08	37%	-0.34	-84.1	3.15%	0	-0.3	22	0
4	Oct_31_2008	121.4	97.47	94.8	94.4			94.05(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	2	-54	0.07	36%	-0.34	-76.5	3.14%	0	-0.5	49	0
5	Oct_30_2008	121.82	98.35	95.06	94.07			94.8(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.06	36%	-0.34	-72.8	3.14%	0	-0.5	65	0

6	Oct_29_2008	122.24	99.32	95.36	94.22			94.41(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-0	-46	0.12	36%	-0.33	-68	3.14%	0	-0.6	47	0
7	Oct_28_2008	122.65	100.39	96.27	94.27			94.29(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.06	36%	-0.35	-66.2	3.14%	0	-0.7	47	0
8	Oct_27_2008	123.08	101.49	97.41	94.75			94.44(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.07	36%	-0.34	-66.4	3.14%	0	-0.8	43	0
9	Oct_24_2008	123.5	102.48	97.62	95.29			92.4(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-55	0.07	36%	-0.36	-65.5	3.13%	0	-1.1	38	0
10	Oct_23_2008	123.94	103.83	97.19	96.16			95.55(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-3	-90	0.11	38%	-0.32	-63.4	3.11%	0	-0.9	38	0

11	Oct_22_2008	124.34	105.04	97.71	96.66			94.69(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-13	-114	0.06	38%	-0.34	-59.5	3.1%	0	-1	36	0
12	Oct_21_2008	124.76	106.42	98.27	98.59			96.65(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-12	-124	0.12	38%	-0.32	-51.2	3.1%	0	-0.9	36	0
13	Oct_20_2008	125.16	107.74	99.11	100.53			97.16(0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-29	-10000	1	-119	0.07	38%	-0.33	-44.1	3.1%	0	-1	36	0
14	Oct_17_2008	125.57	109.04	100.37	100.3			96.75(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-10000	14	-124	0.09	39%	-0.32	-44.5	3.1%	0	-1.2	38	0
15	Oct_16_2008	125.97	110.35	101.9	98.21			98.07(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-10000	-4	-161	0.08	38%	-0.3	-52.6	3.1%	0	-1.2	36	0

16	Oct_15_2008	126.35	111.44	103.55	98.78			104.3(-1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-37	-10000	6	-165	0.21	41%	-0.25	-56.8	3.02%	0	-0.7	39	0
17	Oct_14_2008	126.67	112.03	104.69	97.95			106.38(10.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-46	-10000	1	-185	0.14	41%	-0.17	-64.6	3.01%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Oct_13_2008	126.88	112.63	105.65	97.8			96(11.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-10000	-22	-230	0.12	32%	-0.32	-68.7	2.68%	0	-1.7	26	0
19	Oct_10_2008	127.29	114	107.56	100.72			86.28(-14.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-100	-10000	-45	-266	0.17	20%	-0.41	-67.7	2.24%	0	-2.9	8	0
20	Oct_9_2008	127.81	116.08	111.06	106.02			100.92(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-107	-10000	-37	-316	0.14	26%	-0.3	-70.9	1.42%	0	-2.1	14	0

21	Oct_8_2008	128.19	117.4	113.05	108.92			100.16(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-98	-10000	-43	-262	0.1	27%	-0.3	-67.6	1.42%	0	-2.6	23	0
22	Oct_7_2008	128.58	118.8	115.4	112.31			105.63(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-10000	-32	-190	0.04	30%	-0.26	-66	1.29%	0	-2.4	37	0
23	Oct_6_2008	128.92	119.93	117.23	114.65			110.61(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-12	-126	0.07	33%	-0.21	-63.3	1.18%	0	-1.9	39	0
24	Oct_3_2008	129.19	120.8	118.53	115.46			112.8(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-21	-109	0.04	35%	-0.2	-65.2	1.17%	0	-1.8	36	0
25	Oct_2_2008	129.45	121.49	119.58	116.87			115.41(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.04	36%		-62.1	1.14%	0	-1.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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