Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $96.7500 (-1.35%) ($95.1900 - $99.1800) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $96.7500(-1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(55%)    IWM(54%)    EWI(53%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(10%)    GLD(10%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.93(-13.25%)
Resistance Level   $109.04
5 Day Moving Average   $100.3(-3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.37(-3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.04(-11.27%)
To recent high   -25.8%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 9.78% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2008	125.57	109.04	100.37	100.3			96.75(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-10000	14	-124	0.09	39%	-0.32	-44.5	3.1%	0	-1.2	38	0
2	Oct_16_2008	125.97	110.35	101.9	98.21			98.07(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-10000	-4	-161	0.08	38%	-0.3	-52.6	3.1%	0	-1.2	36	0
3	Oct_15_2008	126.35	111.44	103.55	98.78			104.3(-1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-37	-10000	6	-165	0.21	41%	-0.25	-56.8	3.02%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	Oct_14_2008	126.67	112.03	104.69	97.95			106.38(10.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-46	-10000	1	-185	0.14	41%	-0.17	-64.6	3.01%	0	-0.6	38	0
5	Oct_13_2008	126.88	112.63	105.65	97.8			96(11.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-10000	-22	-230	0.12	32%	-0.32	-68.7	2.68%	0	-1.7	26	0

6	Oct_10_2008	127.29	114	107.56	100.72			86.28(-14.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-100	-10000	-45	-266	0.17	20%	-0.41	-67.7	2.24%	0	-2.9	8	0
7	Oct_9_2008	127.81	116.08	111.06	106.02			100.92(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-107	-10000	-37	-316	0.14	26%	-0.3	-70.9	1.42%	0	-2.1	14	0
8	Oct_8_2008	128.19	117.4	113.05	108.92			100.16(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-98	-10000	-43	-262	0.1	27%	-0.3	-67.6	1.42%	0	-2.6	23	0
9	Oct_7_2008	128.58	118.8	115.4	112.31			105.63(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-10000	-32	-190	0.04	30%	-0.26	-66	1.29%	0	-2.4	37	0
10	Oct_6_2008	128.92	119.93	117.23	114.65			110.61(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-12	-126	0.07	33%	-0.21	-63.3	1.18%	0	-1.9	39	0

11	Oct_3_2008	129.19	120.8	118.53	115.46			112.8(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-21	-109	0.04	35%	-0.2	-65.2	1.17%	0	-1.8	36	0
12	Oct_2_2008	129.45	121.49	119.58	116.87			115.41(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.04	36%	-0.17	-62.1	1.14%	0	-1.4	34	0
13	Oct_1_2008	129.67	122.09	120.02	117.88			117.12(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-17	-94	0.2	37%	-0.16	-58.1	1.14%	0	-1.2	35	0
14	Sep_30_2008	129.88	122.61	119.95	119.05			117.3(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-18	-112	0.05	37%	-0.16	-51.6	1.14%	0	-1.3	34	0
15	Sep_29_2008	130.09	123.14	120.09	120.29			114.69(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-52	-10000	-26	-128	0.05	33%	-0.18	-45.3	1.1%	0	-2.1	28	0

16	Sep_26_2008	130.32	123.84	120.9	122.03			119.85(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-11	-116	0.02	38%	-0.14	-37.3	0.97%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Sep_25_2008	130.5	124.22	121.46	122.65			120.42(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.05	38%	-0.14	-33.9	0.97%	0	-1.1	39	0
18	Sep_24_2008	130.68	124.58	122.04	122.41			123(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	26	-103	0.1	38%	-0.11	-37.1	0.94%	0	-0.4	40	0
19	Sep_23_2008	130.83	124.8	122.39	120.95			123.48(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	-10000	18	-147	0.05	38%	-0.11	-49.1	0.96%	0	-0.4	41	0
20	Sep_22_2008	130.98	125.01	122.73	119.89			123.42(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-44	-10000	4	-186	0.03	38%	-0.11	-57.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	40	0

21	Sep_19_2008	131.13	125.21	123.11	119.67			122.91(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-59	-10000	-10	-204	0.09	38%	-0.13	-60.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	0
22	Sep_18_2008	131.3	125.46	123.4	120.26			119.25(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-76	-10000	-27	-223	0.06	30%	-0.14	-56.6	0.87%	0	-1.7	30	0
23	Sep_17_2008	131.49	125.91	124.23	121.71			115.68(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-91	-10000	-49	-216	0.08	21%	-0.17	-50	0.76%	0	-3.1	16	0
24	Sep_16_2008	131.72	126.57	125.49	124.01			118.2(-3.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-66	-10000	-41	-142	0.05	23%	-0.15	-43.7	0.73%	0	-3.6	18	0
25	Sep_15_2008	131.92	127.11	126.52	125.87			122.3(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-43	-10000	-29	-84	0.1	27%		-36.4	0.61%	0	-3.8	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.