Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $106.3800 (10.81%) ($99.7500 - $108.8400) on Tue. Oct. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $106.3800(10.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(54%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(10%)    GLD(10%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $86.07(-19.09%)
Resistance Level   $112.03
5 Day Moving Average   $97.95(8.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.69(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.03(-5.04%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 8.83% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2008	126.67	112.03	104.69	97.95			106.38(10.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-46	-10000	1	-185	0.14	41%	-0.17	-64.6	3.01%	0	-0.6	38	0
2	Oct_13_2008	126.88	112.63	105.65	97.8			96(11.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-10000	-22	-230	0.12	32%	-0.32	-68.7	2.68%	0	-1.7	26	0
3	Oct_10_2008	127.29	114	107.56	100.72			86.28(-14.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-100	-10000	-45	-266	0.17	20%	-0.41	-67.7	2.24%	0	-2.9	8	0
4	Oct_9_2008	127.81	116.08	111.06	106.02			100.92(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-107	-10000	-37	-316	0.14	26%	-0.3	-70.9	1.42%	0	-2.1	14	0
5	Oct_8_2008	128.19	117.4	113.05	108.92			100.16(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-98	-10000	-43	-262	0.1	27%	-0.3	-67.6	1.42%	0	-2.6	23	0

6	Oct_7_2008	128.58	118.8	115.4	112.31			105.63(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-10000	-32	-190	0.04	30%	-0.26	-66	1.29%	0	-2.4	37	0
7	Oct_6_2008	128.92	119.93	117.23	114.65			110.61(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-12	-126	0.07	33%	-0.21	-63.3	1.18%	0	-1.9	39	0
8	Oct_3_2008	129.19	120.8	118.53	115.46			112.8(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-21	-109	0.04	35%	-0.2	-65.2	1.17%	0	-1.8	36	0
9	Oct_2_2008	129.45	121.49	119.58	116.87			115.41(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.04	36%	-0.17	-62.1	1.14%	0	-1.4	34	0
10	Oct_1_2008	129.67	122.09	120.02	117.88			117.12(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-17	-94	0.2	37%	-0.16	-58.1	1.14%	0	-1.2	35	0

11	Sep_30_2008	129.88	122.61	119.95	119.05			117.3(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-18	-112	0.05	37%	-0.16	-51.6	1.14%	0	-1.3	34	0
12	Sep_29_2008	130.09	123.14	120.09	120.29			114.69(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-52	-10000	-26	-128	0.05	33%	-0.18	-45.3	1.1%	0	-2.1	28	0
13	Sep_26_2008	130.32	123.84	120.9	122.03			119.85(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-11	-116	0.02	38%	-0.14	-37.3	0.97%	0	-1.1	33	0
14	Sep_25_2008	130.5	124.22	121.46	122.65			120.42(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.05	38%	-0.14	-33.9	0.97%	0	-1.1	39	0
15	Sep_24_2008	130.68	124.58	122.04	122.41			123(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	26	-103	0.1	38%	-0.11	-37.1	0.94%	0	-0.4	40	0

16	Sep_23_2008	130.83	124.8	122.39	120.95			123.48(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	-10000	18	-147	0.05	38%	-0.11	-49.1	0.96%	0	-0.4	41	0
17	Sep_22_2008	130.98	125.01	122.73	119.89			123.42(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-44	-10000	4	-186	0.03	38%	-0.11	-57.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	40	0
18	Sep_19_2008	131.13	125.21	123.11	119.67			122.91(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-59	-10000	-10	-204	0.09	38%	-0.13	-60.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	0
19	Sep_18_2008	131.3	125.46	123.4	120.26			119.25(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-76	-10000	-27	-223	0.06	30%	-0.14	-56.6	0.87%	0	-1.7	30	0
20	Sep_17_2008	131.49	125.91	124.23	121.71			115.68(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-91	-10000	-49	-216	0.08	21%	-0.17	-50	0.76%	0	-3.1	16	0

21	Sep_16_2008	131.72	126.57	125.49	124.01			118.2(-3.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-66	-10000	-41	-142	0.05	23%	-0.15	-43.7	0.73%	0	-3.6	18	0
22	Sep_15_2008	131.92	127.11	126.52	125.87			122.3(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-43	-10000	-29	-84	0.1	27%	-0.11	-36.4	0.61%	0	-3.8	25	0
23	Sep_12_2008	132.07	127.42	127.13	126.97			125.85(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8	-10000	-1	-29	0.05	32%	-0.09	-22.9	0.51%	0	-2.6	39	0
24	Sep_11_2008	132.19	127.52	127.31	127.01			126.54(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-5	-31	0.03	34%	-0.08	-21.1	0.51%	0	-2	41	0
25	Sep_10_2008	132.3	127.57	127.41	127.17			127.17(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.04	34%		-14.7	0.51%	0	-0.9	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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