Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 23, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $123.4800 (0.05%) ($121.5600 - $124.6200) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $123.4800(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(54%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    TIP(10%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $116.72(-5.47%)
Resistance Level   $124.8
5 Day Moving Average   $120.95(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.39(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.8(-1.06%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2008	130.83	124.8	122.39	120.95			123.48(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	-10000	18	-147	0.05	38%	-0.11	-49.1	0.96%	0	-0.4	41	0
2	Sep_22_2008	130.98	125.01	122.73	119.89			123.42(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-44	-10000	4	-186	0.03	38%	-0.11	-57.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	40	0
3	Sep_19_2008	131.13	125.21	123.11	119.67			122.91(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-59	-10000	-10	-204	0.09	38%	-0.13	-60.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	0
4	Sep_18_2008	131.3	125.46	123.4	120.26			119.25(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-76	-10000	-27	-223	0.06	30%	-0.14	-56.6	0.87%	0	-1.7	30	0
5	Sep_17_2008	131.49	125.91	124.23	121.71			115.68(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-91	-10000	-49	-216	0.08	21%	-0.17	-50	0.76%	0	-3.1	16	0

6	Sep_16_2008	131.72	126.57	125.49	124.01			118.2(-3.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-66	-10000	-41	-142	0.05	23%	-0.15	-43.7	0.73%	0	-3.6	18	0
7	Sep_15_2008	131.92	127.11	126.52	125.87			122.3(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-43	-10000	-29	-84	0.1	27%	-0.11	-36.4	0.61%	0	-3.8	25	0
8	Sep_12_2008	132.07	127.42	127.13	126.97			125.85(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8	-10000	-1	-29	0.05	32%	-0.09	-22.9	0.51%	0	-2.6	39	0
9	Sep_11_2008	132.19	127.52	127.31	127.01			126.54(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-5	-31	0.03	34%	-0.08	-21.1	0.51%	0	-2	41	0
10	Sep_10_2008	132.3	127.57	127.41	127.17			127.17(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.04	34%	-0.08	-14.7	0.51%	0	-0.9	46	0

11	Sep_9_2008	132.41	127.59	127.44	127.25			127.5(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.04	34%	-0.07	-18.2	0.51%	0	-0.2	45	0
12	Sep_8_2008	132.5	127.57	127.46	127.31			127.8(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-7	-10000	-1	-25	0.03	34%	-0.07	-14.7	0.51%	0	0.5	46	0
13	Sep_5_2008	132.59	127.55	127.43	127.35			126.03(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0.02	30%	-0.08	-20.6	0.47%	0	-3.5	29	0
14	Sep_4_2008	132.69	127.63	127.62	127.64			127.35(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-1	-13	0.01	32%	-0.06	-36.4	0.46%	0	-1	43	0
15	Sep_3_2008	132.77	127.64	127.66	127.66			127.56(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	0	-9	0.05	32%	-0.06	-71.4	0.46%	0	-0.3	54	0

16	Sep_2_2008	132.85	127.67	127.7	127.65			127.8(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1	-10000	0	-5	0.03	30%	-0.07	-91.3	0.46%	0	0.4	57	0
17	Aug_29_2008	132.94	127.63	127.73	127.64			128.01(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	3	6	0.05	37%	-0.05	-110.7	0.48%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Aug_28_2008	133.01	127.65	127.71	127.54			127.5(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-2	2	0.04	37%	-0.06	-97.4	0.49%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Aug_27_2008	133.09	127.73	127.71	127.6			127.44(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-2	10	0.08	37%	-0.06	-80.4	0.49%	0	-0.4	53	0
20	Aug_26_2008	133.17	127.83	127.71	127.65			127.5(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	11	0.27	37%	-0.05	-71.2	0.49%	0	-0.4	49	0

21	Aug_25_2008	133.24	127.94	127.75	127.75			127.77(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10000	-2	10	0.03	37%	-0.05	-63.6	0.49%	0	-0.2	45	0
22	Aug_22_2008	133.3	128.03	127.68	127.82			127.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-3	14	0.02	33%	-0.04	-55.6	0.51%	0	-0.6	56	0
23	Aug_21_2008	133.36	128.14	127.69	127.82			127.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	12	0.02	33%	-0.04	-43	0.52%	0	-0.3	43	0
24	Aug_20_2008	133.41	128.25	127.64	127.91			127.68(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	2	-4	0.02	33%	-0.04	-33.7	0.52%	0	-0.5	37	0
25	Aug_19_2008	133.47	128.38	127.63	127.86			128.01(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	3	-23	0.02	35%		-24.7	0.52%	0	-0.3	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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