Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $128.0100 (-0.09%) ($127.5600 - $128.0700) on Tue. Aug. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $128.0100(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(54%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    TIP(10%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $128.38
5 Day Moving Average   $127.86(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.63(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.38(-0.29%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2008	133.47	128.38		127.86			128.01(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	3	-23	0.02	35%	-0.04	-24.7	0.52%	0	-0.3	36	0
2	Aug_18_2008	133.53	128.47	127.63	127.74			128.13(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	7	-41	0.01	35%	-0.04	-23.3	0.52%	0	-0.3	36	0
3	Aug_15_2008	133.59	128.54	127.52	127.51			127.92(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	2	-79	0.02	35%	-0.04	-30.3	0.52%	0	-0.5	34	0
4	Aug_14_2008	133.65	128.58	127.56	127.44			127.83(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	3	-93	0.02	35%	-0.04	-39.3	0.53%	0	-0.7	34	0
5	Aug_13_2008	133.71	128.63	127.69	127.33			127.41(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-110	0.01	35%	-0.04	-47.2	0.52%	0	-1.1	28	0

6	Aug_12_2008	133.77	128.66	127.9	127.37			127.41(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-4	-117	0.02	36%	-0.04	-55.3	0.52%	0	-1.1	27	0
7	Aug_11_2008	133.82	128.75	128.12	127.37			126.99(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	0	-114	0.02	36%	-0.05	-55.3	0.52%	0	-1.6	27	0
8	Aug_8_2008	133.89	128.89	128.4	127.51			127.56(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-6	-115	0.02	36%	-0.03	-54.3	0.52%	0	-1.3	36	0
9	Aug_7_2008	133.93	129.03	128.62	127.7			127.29(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-12	-103	0.02	36%	-0.03	-50.6	0.52%	0	-1.7	43	0
10	Aug_6_2008	133.97	129.18	128.92	128.11			127.6(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-12	-72	0.02	35%	-0.03	-41.1	0.52%	0	-1.7	45	0

11	Aug_5_2008	134.01	129.27	129.2	128.52			128.1(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0.06	35%	-0.01	-40.3	0.52%	0	-1.3	55	0
12	Aug_4_2008	134.03	129.35	129.4	128.85			127.01(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-15	-10000	-17	-10	0.02	32%	-0.03	-42.2	0.51%	0	-2.8	39	0
13	Aug_1_2008	134.07	129.47	129.67	129.41			128.49(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-8	21	0.02	35%	-0.02	-48.1	0.5%	0	-1.5	41	0
14	Jul_31_2008	134.1	129.55	129.72	129.67			129.33(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-6	22	0.01	37%	-0.03	-46.9	0.5%	0	-0.3	42	0
15	Jul_30_2008	134.14	129.57	129.67	129.85			129.69(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-4	20	0.03	37%	-0.03	-55.1	0.51%	0	0.2	46	0

16	Jul_29_2008	134.18	129.61	129.5	129.98			129.72(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-2	17	0.01	37%	-0.03	-51.9	0.51%	0	0.2	54	0
17	Jul_28_2008	134.22	129.7	129.43	130.05			129.84(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	2	16	0.22	38%	-0.03	-50.8	0.51%	0	0.2	50	0
18	Jul_25_2008	134.26	129.78	129.42	129.98			129.75(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	6	21	0.01	38%	-0.03	-61.1	0.52%	0	-0	55	0
19	Jul_24_2008	134.3	129.85	129.46	129.77			130.26(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	10	15	0.03	38%	-0.03	-80.3	0.51%	0	0.4	49	0
20	Jul_23_2008	134.34	129.91	129.43	129.45			130.34(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	15	4	0.03	38%	-0.03	-96.3	0.51%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Jul_22_2008	134.38	129.97	129.3	128.95			130.05(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	6	-37	0.03	38%	-0.03	-120.7	0.52%	0	0.1	46	0
22	Jul_21_2008	134.42	130.14	129.26	128.74			129.48(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-2	-69	0.03	38%	-0.04	-108.3	0.51%	0	-0.5	38	0
23	Jul_18_2008	134.47	130.36	129.21	128.81			128.7(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-10	-92	0.02	39%	-0.05	-95.3	0.51%	0	-1	35	0
24	Jul_17_2008	134.54	130.64	129.35	129.13			128.69(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-8	-85	0.04	39%	-0.04	-85.7	0.52%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Jul_16_2008	134.6	130.95	129.45	129.41			127.83(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-8	-90	0.01	36%		-77.6	0.51%	0	-1.6	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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