Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $130.1100 (0.74%) ($129.2100 - $130.1400) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $130.1100(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(54%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    TIP(10%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $127.52(-1.99%)
Resistance Level   $132.23
5 Day Moving Average   $129.62(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.27(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.23(-1.6%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2008	134.86	132.23	130.27	129.62			130.11(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	3	-158	0.03	40%	-0.04	-65.8	0.5%	0	-0.9	27	0
2	Jul_9_2008	134.92	132.52	130.42	129.53			129.15(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-57	-10000	-9	-202	0.01	37%	-0.05	-65.8	0.49%	0	-1.4	19	0
3	Jul_8_2008	134.99	132.86	130.67	129.83			129.78(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	-10000	-13	-228	0.02	41%	-0.04	-63.6	0.49%	0	-1.3	18	0
4	Jul_7_2008	135.04	133.17	131.06	130.24			128.94(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-10000	-18	-229	0.01	38%	-0.06	-61.3	0.49%	0	-1.8	13	0
5	Jul_3_2008	135.12	133.55	131.59	130.8			130.14(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-10000	-7	-215	0	43%	-0.04	-61.4	0.48%	0	-1.5	18	0

6	Jul_2_2008	135.18	133.86	132.03	131.02			129.65(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-65	-10000	-13	-221	0.02	43%	-0.04	-64	0.48%	0	-2	13	0
7	Jul_1_2008	135.24	134.17	132.57	131.43			130.65(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-58	-10000	-6	-213	0.27	44%	-0.04	-66.7	0.47%	0	-1.8	17	0
8	Jun_30_2008	135.29	134.43	133.09	131.62			131.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-10000	-13	-213	0.01	47%	-0.04	-69.9	0.46%	0	-1.4	19	0
9	Jun_27_2008	135.34	134.67	133.48	132.03			131.7(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-61	-10000	-16	-194	0.01	49%	-0.04	-63.2	0.47%	0	-1.7	17	0
10	Jun_26_2008	135.39	134.97	133.87	132.54			131.25(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-10000	-22	-179	0.02	49%	-0.04	-60.5	0.47%	0	-2.2	12	0

11	Jun_25_2008	135.45	135.25	134.35	133.22			131.7(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-10000	-21	-148	0.01	49%	-0.04	-63.2	0.47%	0	-2.5	12	0
12	Jun_24_2008	135.51	135.46	134.79	133.89			131.63(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-49	-10000	-27	-114	0.09	52%	-0.04	-72.4	0.47%	0	-3.2	24	0
13	Jun_23_2008	135.57	135.7	135.24	134.75			133.86(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.02	58%	-0.05	-91.7	0.43%	0	-2.3	32	0
14	Jun_20_2008	135.64	135.81	135.47	135.14			134.28(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.03	60%	-0.04	-106	0.43%	0	-2.3	30	0
15	Jun_19_2008	135.7	135.98	135.67	135.39			134.61(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-20	-10000	-10	-49	0.01	60%	-0.04	-98	0.44%	0	-2	24	0

16	Jun_18_2008	135.75	136.17	135.84	135.67			135.06(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-36	0.01	63%	-0.01	-69.5	0.44%	0	-1.4	39	0
17	Jun_17_2008	135.77	136.32	135.89	135.83			135.96(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.01	66%	-0.01	-53.8	0.44%	0	-0.4	53	0
18	Jun_16_2008	135.79	136.44	135.87	135.81			135.81(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.01	66%	0	-46.6	0.44%	0	-0.6	50	0
19	Jun_13_2008	135.79	136.54	135.92	135.86			135.51(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.01	59%	-0.01	-42.7	0.46%	0	-1	48	0
20	Jun_12_2008	135.81	136.66	136.13	136			136.02(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-1	-17	0.01	59%	-0.01	-38.7	0.46%	0	-0.6	38	0

21	Jun_11_2008	135.83	136.73	136.18	136.04			135.84(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	2	-29	0.01	59%	-0.01	-38.7	0.47%	0	-0.9	33	0
22	Jun_10_2008	135.85	136.81	136.17	135.97			135.87(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	1	-57	0.01	59%	0	-43.2	0.47%	0	-0.9	34	0
23	Jun_9_2008	135.85	136.91	136.18	135.94			136.08(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-2	-83	0.01	59%	-0.01	-45.9	0.47%	0	-0.8	34	0
24	Jun_6_2008	135.87	136.97	136.17	136			136.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-9	-99	0.01	59%	-0.01	-48.6	0.47%	0	-0.8	41	0
25	Jun_5_2008	135.89	137.05	136.3	136.28			136.23(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-87	0.02	59%		-47.2	0.47%	0	-0.8	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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