Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $138.1500 (0.07%) ($137.5800 - $138.2100) on Tue. Apr. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $138.1500(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(8%)    TIP(9%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.73(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.07(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $135.85(1.69%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2008	137.25	135.85	137.07	137.73			138.15(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	6	129	0.06	61%	-0.04	65.2	0.48%	0	1.5	80	0
2	Apr_28_2008	137.31	135.61	136.76	137.52			138.06(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	8	118	0.07	64%	-0.04	66.1	0.48%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Apr_25_2008	137.36	135.41	136.44	137.24			137.4(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	4	107	0.03	57%	-0.05	70.6	0.49%	0	1.4	77	0
4	Apr_24_2008	137.43	135.25	136.18	137.11			137.46(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	10	108	0.06	57%	-0.04	78	0.51%	0	1.6	79	0
5	Apr_23_2008	137.49	135.04	135.98	136.77			137.58(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	13	111	0.04	57%	-0.04	84.2	0.51%	0	2	83	0

6	Apr_22_2008	137.55	134.83	135.7	136.31			137.1(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	13	108	0.26	57%	-0.01	90.8	0.51%	0	1.9	84	0
7	Apr_21_2008	137.56	134.65	135.5	135.88			136.68(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	11	102	0.07	57%	-0.01	100	0.51%	0	1.8	74	0
8	Apr_18_2008	137.57	134.45	135.27	135.51			136.74(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	11	87	0.04	57%	-0.01	107.9	0.51%	0	2.2	65	0
9	Apr_17_2008	137.58	134.2	135	135.12			135.75(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	2	67	0.02	48%	-0.01	98.7	0.5%	0	1.5	61	0
10	Apr_16_2008	137.6	133.97	134.76	135.07			135.27(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	1	59	0.01	50%	-0.01	78.2	0.54%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Apr_15_2008	137.62	133.77	134.53	135.01			134.94(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-1	52	0.01	49%	-0.02	63.8	0.54%	0	0.9	61	0
12	Apr_14_2008	137.65	133.55	134.39	135.07			134.85(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	3	58	0.04	49%	-0.02	47.7	0.54%	0	0.9	61	0
13	Apr_11_2008	137.68	133.35	134.32	134.98			134.79(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	4	66	0.04	47%	-0.03	35.4	0.54%	0	1	65	0
14	Apr_10_2008	137.72	133.21	134.26	134.83			135.51(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	12	83	0.05	46%	-0.01	26.8	0.54%	0	1.5	76	0
15	Apr_9_2008	137.74	133.06	134.05	134.4			134.97(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	11	82	0.02	43%	-0.02	16.3	0.54%	0	1.4	78	0

16	Apr_8_2008	137.77	132.98	133.9	133.98			135.24(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	27	-10000	10	79	0.02	43%	-0.02	7.1	0.55%	0	1.7	76	0
17	Apr_7_2008	137.8	132.87	133.71	133.62			134.37(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	22	-10000	1	85	0.01	43%	-0.03	-4.4	0.55%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Apr_4_2008	137.84	132.82	133.55	133.59			134.07(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	-10000	-1	101	0.04	40%	-0.04	-7.9	0.55%	0	1.1	71	0
19	Apr_3_2008	137.89	132.81	133.33	133.63			133.33(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	-0	104	0.02	37%	-0.04	-11.2	0.55%	0	0.4	57	0
20	Apr_2_2008	137.95	132.84	133.12	133.64			132.87(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-4	89	0.02	37%	-0.04	-14.3	0.56%	0	0	49	0

21	Apr_1_2008	138.01	132.88	132.98	133.64			133.44(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	0	83	0.03	37%	-0.04	-17.2	0.56%	0	0.5	48	0
22	Mar_31_2008	138.07	132.88	132.67	133.78			134.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	22	-10000	8	64	0.03	39%	-0.03	-20.8	0.56%	0	1	53	0
23	Mar_28_2008	138.11	132.92	132.32	133.48			134.25(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	13	33	0.02	39%	-0.04	-30.9	0.56%	0	1	50	0
24	Mar_27_2008	138.16	132.94	132.08	133			133.41(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	-10000	13	-5	0.07	36%	-0.04	-40.6	0.55%	0	0.4	43	0
25	Mar_26_2008	138.22	133.01	132	132.51			133.56(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	13	-36	0.02	36%		-50.5	0.55%	0	0.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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