Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $135.5100 (0.4%) ($133.2000 - $135.5700) on Thu. Apr. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $135.5100(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(8%)    TIP(9%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $134.83(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.26(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.21(1.73%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2008	137.72	133.21	134.26	134.83			135.51(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	12	83	0.05	46%	-0.01	26.8	0.54%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Apr_9_2008	137.74	133.06	134.05	134.4			134.97(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	11	82	0.02	43%	-0.02	16.3	0.54%	0	1.4	78	0
3	Apr_8_2008	137.77	132.98	133.9	133.98			135.24(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	27	-10000	10	79	0.02	43%	-0.02	7.1	0.55%	0	1.7	76	0
4	Apr_7_2008	137.8	132.87	133.71	133.62			134.37(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	22	-10000	1	85	0.01	43%	-0.03	-4.4	0.55%	0	1.2	78	0
5	Apr_4_2008	137.84	132.82	133.55	133.59			134.07(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	-10000	-1	101	0.04	40%	-0.04	-7.9	0.55%	0	1.1	71	0

6	Apr_3_2008	137.89	132.81	133.33	133.63			133.33(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	-0	104	0.02	37%	-0.04	-11.2	0.55%	0	0.4	57	0
7	Apr_2_2008	137.95	132.84	133.12	133.64			132.87(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-4	89	0.02	37%	-0.04	-14.3	0.56%	0	0	49	0
8	Apr_1_2008	138.01	132.88	132.98	133.64			133.44(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	0	83	0.03	37%	-0.04	-17.2	0.56%	0	0.5	48	0
9	Mar_31_2008	138.07	132.88	132.67	133.78			134.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	22	-10000	8	64	0.03	39%	-0.03	-20.8	0.56%	0	1	53	0
10	Mar_28_2008	138.11	132.92	132.32	133.48			134.25(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	13	33	0.02	39%	-0.04	-30.9	0.56%	0	1	50	0

11	Mar_27_2008	138.16	132.94	132.08	133			133.41(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	-10000	13	-5	0.07	36%	-0.04	-40.6	0.55%	0	0.4	43	0
12	Mar_26_2008	138.22	133.01	132	132.51			133.56(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	13	-36	0.02	36%	-0.05	-50.5	0.55%	0	0.4	44	0
13	Mar_25_2008	138.29	133.1	131.96	132.04			133.44(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	18	-60	0.04	36%	-0.04	-57.9	0.55%	0	0.2	45	0
14	Mar_24_2008	138.35	133.18	131.92	131.4			132.76(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	11	-101	0.01	36%	-0.06	-68.1	0.55%	0	-0.3	38	0
15	Mar_20_2008	138.43	133.31	131.98	131			131.82(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-35	-10000	-1	-136	0.01	33%	-0.06	-73	0.54%	0	-0.9	30	0

16	Mar_19_2008	138.52	133.49	132.19	131.03			130.95(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-46	-10000	-11	-150	0.02	31%	-0.07	-72.7	0.53%	0	-1.5	19	0
17	Mar_18_2008	138.62	133.74	132.51	131.42			131.25(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-13	-144	0.01	32%	-0.08	-68.8	0.53%	0	-1.5	20	0
18	Mar_17_2008	138.73	133.99	132.78	131.87			130.2(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-19	-145	0.02	28%	-0.09	-64.7	0.51%	0	-2.4	6	0
19	Mar_14_2008	138.85	134.27	133.21	132.5			130.77(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-44	-10000	-17	-124	0.01	28%	-0.08	-67	0.51%	0	-2.6	12	0
20	Mar_13_2008	138.96	134.54	133.61	133.09			132(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-35	-10000	-12	-104	0	30%	-0.08	-67.5	0.51%	0	-2.3	14	0

21	Mar_12_2008	139.07	134.75	133.93	133.5			132.9(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-10000	-8	-88	0.01	31%	-0.06	-72.2	0.5%	0	-1.9	19	0
22	Mar_11_2008	139.16	134.91	134.15	133.75			133.5(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-3	-82	0.01	31%	-0.06	-79.1	0.5%	0	-1.6	19	0
23	Mar_10_2008	139.25	135.02	134.35	133.84			133.35(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-26	-10000	-6	-85	0.01	33%	-0.06	-93.7	0.5%	0	-2	15	0
24	Mar_7_2008	139.34	135.17	134.55	134.04			133.7(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0.01	33%	-0.06	-119	0.5%	0	-1.9	31	0
25	Mar_6_2008	139.42	135.3	134.74	134.21			134.07(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-74	0.01	33%		-143.6	0.5%	0	-1.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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