Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $131.2500 (0.81%) ($130.0500 - $131.9700) on Tue. Mar. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $131.2500(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    EWI(54%)    IWM(54%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(7%)    TIP(9%)    USO(29%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $133.74
5 Day Moving Average   $131.42(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $132.51(-0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.74(-1.86%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2008	138.62	133.74	132.51	131.42			131.25(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-13	-144	0.01	32%	-0.08	-68.8	0.53%	0	-1.5	20	0
2	Mar_17_2008	138.73	133.99	132.78	131.87			130.2(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-19	-145	0.02	28%	-0.09	-64.7	0.51%	0	-2.4	6	0
3	Mar_14_2008	138.85	134.27	133.21	132.5			130.77(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-44	-10000	-17	-124	0.01	28%	-0.08	-67	0.51%	0	-2.6	12	0
4	Mar_13_2008	138.96	134.54	133.61	133.09			132(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-35	-10000	-12	-104	0	30%	-0.08	-67.5	0.51%	0	-2.3	14	0
5	Mar_12_2008	139.07	134.75	133.93	133.5			132.9(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-10000	-8	-88	0.01	31%	-0.06	-72.2	0.5%	0	-1.9	19	0

6	Mar_11_2008	139.16	134.91	134.15	133.75			133.5(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-3	-82	0.01	31%	-0.06	-79.1	0.5%	0	-1.6	19	0
7	Mar_10_2008	139.25	135.02	134.35	133.84			133.35(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-26	-10000	-6	-85	0.01	33%	-0.06	-93.7	0.5%	0	-2	15	0
8	Mar_7_2008	139.34	135.17	134.55	134.04			133.7(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0.01	33%	-0.06	-119	0.5%	0	-1.9	31	0
9	Mar_6_2008	139.42	135.3	134.74	134.21			134.07(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-74	0.01	33%	-0.06	-143.6	0.5%	0	-1.7	29	0
10	Mar_5_2008	139.51	135.46	134.88	134.42			134.13(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-6	-68	0.01	33%	-0.06	-144.8	0.5%	0	-1.7	32	0

11	Mar_4_2008	139.6	135.63	135.06	134.62			133.93(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-10	-63	0.01	33%	-0.06	-129	0.5%	0	-2	28	0
12	Mar_3_2008	139.69	135.83	135.28	134.95			134.37(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-5	-42	0.03	33%	-0.06	-107.6	0.51%	0	-1.6	37	0
13	Feb_29_2008	139.78	136.1	135.4	135.14			134.55(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-6	-39	0.01	33%	-0.06	-61.8	0.51%	0	-1.3	34	0
14	Feb_28_2008	139.87	136.37	135.55	135.34			135.12(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-2	-30	0.02	33%	-0.06	-40.6	0.51%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	Feb_27_2008	139.95	136.6	135.63	135.41			135.15(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-4	-39	0.01	33%	-0.06	-31	0.52%	0	-0.9	29	0

16	Feb_26_2008	140.03	136.71	135.73	135.56			135.57(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.01	33%	-0.06	-31	0.52%	0	-0.7	29	0
17	Feb_25_2008	140.11	136.8	135.74	135.67			135.3(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0.02	33%	-0.06	-31.3	0.52%	0	-1	23	0
18	Feb_22_2008	140.2	136.86	135.83	135.7			135.57(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-85	0.47	33%	-0.06	-36.4	0.53%	0	-0.9	17	0
19	Feb_21_2008	140.28	136.96	135.9	135.8			135.48(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-10000	-2	-111	0	33%	-0.07	-43	0.53%	0	-1	15	0
20	Feb_20_2008	140.38	137.09	136.07	135.88			135.9(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-32	-10000	-1	-126	0.01	33%	-0.06	-45.7	0.54%	0	-0.8	22	0

21	Feb_19_2008	140.46	137.2	136.23	135.91			136.11(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	2	-125	0.02	33%	-0.06	-52.4	0.54%	0	-0.8	44	0
22	Feb_15_2008	140.55	137.29	136.4	135.83			135.45(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-4	-127	0.02	33%	-0.07	-61.8	0.54%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Feb_14_2008	140.65	137.41	136.84	135.97			136.05(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-1	-92	0.01	33%	-0.06	-71.1	0.55%	0	-1	52	0
24	Feb_13_2008	140.74	137.59	137.24	136.02			135.9(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0.01	33%	-0.07	-71.3	0.55%	0	-1.2	44	0
25	Feb_12_2008	140.84	137.76	137.62	136.29			136.05(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0	33%		-78.8	0.56%	0	-1.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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