Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 6, 2019

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $1308.0000 (-1.13%) ($1279.7500 - $1340.0000) on Mon. May. 6, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.14% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $1308.0000(-1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(8%)    TBT(7%)    UUP(7%)    VIXM(3%)    SHY(-1%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -2.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDXJ(-95%)    GDX(-91%)    SIL(-87%)    GLD(-67%)    SLV(-59%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.57% (StdDev 5.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1290.45(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1254.49(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1160.99(12.66%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   61.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 11.58% (three month std-dev: 5.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.4%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 6.52%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -6.67%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.47%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.27%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2019	1095.72	1160.99	1254.49	1290.45	1301.78	1313.36	1308(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	90	62	96	0.01	58%	-0.4	55.5	5.14%	0	1.1	71	-2.5
2	May_3_2019	1100.12	1144.18	1249.32	1269.85	1272.34	1325.27	1323(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	487	300	548	303	0.03	58%	-0.29	50.8	5.12%	0	1.3	73	-3.1
3	May_2_2019	1103.34	1126.62	1235.83	1230.2	1239.42	1290.19	1349.75(6.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	843	310	968	467	0.03	58%	-0.26	43.1	5.15%	0	1.7	77	-4.6
4	May_1_2019	1106.23	1110.18	1213.03	1207.15	1192.45	1219.4	1266(5.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	309	120	337	223	0.04	56%	-0.41	47.7	5.14%	0	1.3	77	0.4
5	Apr_30_2019	1110.79	1098.65	1197.54	1197.45	1186.42	1188.65	1205.5(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	153	-10	149	165	0.01	54%	-0.49	56.8	5.14%	0	0.9	77	0.9

6	Apr_29_2019	1116.27	1090.81	1182.77	1214.35	1198.5	1165.5	1205(7.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-266	-230	-352	-7	0.04	52%	-0.45	73.3	5.16%	0	1	75	1
7	Apr_26_2019	1121.3	1079.43	1166.05	1226.2	1227.24	1184.19	1124.75(-8.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-442	-240	-565	-73	0.04	49%	-0.67	82.1	5.17%	0	0.4	65	1.3
8	Apr_25_2019	1128.9	1072.33	1156.14	1239.55	1244.98	1231.5	1234.5(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-206	-60	-294	57	0.02	48%	0.1	91.2	5.09%	0	1.4	74	0.9
9	Apr_24_2019	1127.79	1054.82	1127.89	1217.6	1231.32	1270.3	1217.5(-5.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	293	260	300	270	0.04	48%	-0.6	86.6	5.27%	0	1.4	64	1.1
10	Apr_23_2019	1134.62	1036.08	1098.15	1195.55	1199.61	1258.46	1290(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	823	350	931	500	0.03	50%	-0.55	75.1	5.22%	0	2.2	69	1.6

11	Apr_22_2019	1140.9	1013.23	1060.99	1146.3	1150.7	1192.34	1264.25(6.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	663	260	755	386	0.02	50%	-1.36	61.7	5.22%	0	2.4	66	1.6
12	Apr_18_2019	1156.62	994.13	1029.9	1098.55	1108.17	1140.75	1191.5(5.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	470	230	537	269	0.04	51%	-0.6	53.2	5.16%	0	2.1	69	1.9
13	Apr_17_2019	1163.56	977.59	1006.88	1061.35	1070.96	1109.06	1124.75(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	445	280	515	236	0.03	49%	-0.8	41.1	5.24%	0	1.8	65	1.8
14	Apr_16_2019	1172.9	964.73	996.51	1024.7	1039.22	1075.59	1107.25(6.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	575	290	669	291	0.04	49%	-0.71	30	5.24%	0	1.9	72	2.1
15	Apr_15_2019	1181.3	956.02	988.74	985.45	996.25	1032.85	1043.75(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	434	290	504	222	0.04	47%	-0.71	18.6	5.18%	0	1.3	73	2.1

16	Apr_12_2019	1189.77	951.8	988.84	961.95	960.94	1002.84	1025.5(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	464	300	537	243	0.03	47%	-0.15	8.8	5.18%	0	1.2	72	2.4
17	Apr_11_2019	1191.5	947.51	983.99	950.95	940.92	959.64	1005.5(6.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	355	110	409	194	0.06	47%	-0.62	3.7	5.21%	0	0.9	61	1.6
18	Apr_10_2019	1198.96	944.96	981.13	945.2	937.9	919.05	941.5(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-150	-160	-188	-36	0.06	47%	-0.79	-7.9	5.14%	0	-0.1	60	1.3
19	Apr_9_2019	1208.56	942.91	976.93	964.75	963.54	922.2	911(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-438	-300	-532	-157	0.03	47%	-0.77	-16	5.17%	0	-0.5	58	0.6
20	Apr_8_2019	1217.95	943.73	972.01	992.25	995.8	956.75	926.25(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-532	-260	-645	-193	0.04	47%	-0.78	-12.9	5.19%	0	-0.3	50	1.2

21	Apr_5_2019	1227.51	946.19	965.52	1018.65	1025.42	1004.88	970.5(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-275	-120	-344	-66	0.02	47%	-0.79	-6.5	5.15%	0	0.4	51	1.3
22	Apr_4_2019	1237.33	945.2	959.05	1020.6	1034.36	1034.84	976.75(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	40	-12	64	0.06	47%	-0.88	-11.1	5.19%	0	0.5	54	1.2
23	Apr_3_2019	1248.35	949.79	949.11	1020.95	1017.83	1045.97	1039.25(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	235	180	258	164	0.03	45%	-0.91	-2.6	5.14%	0	1.1	57	1
24	Apr_2_2019	1259.87	952.8	932.19	990.05	995.78	1033.88	1048.5(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	598	290	693	313	0.03	45%	-0.83	-2.3	5.31%	0	1.2	64	1.2
25	Apr_1_2019	1270.39	951.71	920.55	948.4	949.74	989.69	1058.25(7.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	475	300	556	232	0.05	45%		-7.2	5.31%	0	1.4	61	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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