Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $1988.0000 (13.34%) ($1847.0000 - $2089.0000) on Tue. Apr. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.5% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $1988.0000(13.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 6.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 13.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(14%)    TBT(9%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-2%)    DIA(-4%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -4.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-91%)    SIL(-87%)    GLD(-69%)    SLV(-60%)    XME(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.75% (StdDev 9.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $1728.4(15.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1561.52(27.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1494.42(33.03%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   59.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 11.14% (three month std-dev: 9.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 10.04%(33%) Average negative next day return: -5.94%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 14.69%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -11.86%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 15.81%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.74%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2017	2176.37	1494.42	1561.52	1728.4	1738	1844.38	1988(13.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	966	450	1112	529	0.13	59%	-0.66	56.6	9.5%	0	3	80	INF
2	Apr_24_2017	2190.77	1461.69	1497.53	1624.8	1650.19	1688.38	1754(6.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	466	210	530	272	0.12	56%	-0.78	52.3	9.37%	0	2.4	70	INF
3	Apr_21_2017	2208.06	1445.71	1460.69	1562.4	1581.81	1631.63	1644(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	244	260	275	152	0.12	56%	-1.01	45.4	9.31%	0	2	58	INF
4	Apr_20_2017	2230.65	1435.04	1433.98	1509	1531.44	1612	1645(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	577	410	672	292	0.12	56%	-0.99	39.7	9.38%	0	2.3	55	INF
5	Apr_19_2017	2252.86	1420.46	1404.82	1429.8	1458.5	1532	1611(9.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	581	410	683	273	0.18	56%	-0.9	21.2	9.39%	0	2.5	58	INF

6	Apr_18_2017	2273.41	1405.73	1377.6	1368.8	1382.75	1450.88	1470(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	398	380	474	168	0.14	54%	-0.94	-43.6	9.31%	0	1	47	INF
7	Apr_17_2017	2294.89	1400.5	1369.6	1351.8	1346.19	1385	1442(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	324	190	389	130	0.15	54%	-1.16	-72.2	9.37%	0	0.6	55	INF
8	Apr_13_2017	2321.76	1401.09	1371.81	1345.4	1342.26	1314.63	1377(10.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-150	11	-22	0.22	54%	-1.17	-104.5	9.43%	0	-0.4	46	INF
9	Apr_12_2017	2349.2	1399.94	1384.54	1348.8	1350.82	1307.38	1249(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-370	-220	-428	-195	0.22	51%	-0.97	-153.3	9.33%	0	-2.2	38	INF
10	Apr_11_2017	2372.29	1404.22	1405.9	1373.8	1378.38	1369.89	1306(-5.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-173	-30	-199	-95	0.24	51%	-1.01	-98.7	9.32%	0	-0.7	49	INF

11	Apr_10_2017	2396.6	1435.46	1425.82	1384.6	1399.01	1394.27	1385(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	10	71	23	0.13	51%	-1.06	-97.3	9.3%	0	-0.4	57	INF
12	Apr_7_2017	2422.32	1449.56	1426.33	1388.4	1389	1386.88	1410(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-123	-10	-143	-62	0.22	51%	-1.03	-90.4	9.27%	0	-0.2	55	INF
13	Apr_6_2017	2447.54	1473.53	1432.13	1403.2	1404.25	1403.75	1394(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-0	4	1	0.11	54%	-0.9	-63.9	9.34%	0	-0.3	47	INF
14	Apr_5_2017	2469.72	1514.07	1438.5	1428.2	1423	1391.13	1374(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-133	-170	-159	-53	0.24	48%	-0.79	-50.7	9.49%	0	-0.5	54	INF
15	Apr_4_2017	2489.28	1553.45	1439.68	1443.8	1449.75	1404.75	1360(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-283	-200	-337	-119	0.14	48%	-1.03	-39.3	10.03%	0	-0.6	56	INF

16	Apr_3_2017	2515.08	1590.71	1438.64	1472.2	1477.75	1454.88	1404(-5.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-188	-100	-220	-90	0.17	44%	-1.1	-30.2	10.04%	0	-0.6	36	INF
17	Mar_31_2017	2543.03	1628.51	1436.18	1467.4	1485.06	1494.75	1484(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	80	39	1	0.21	44%	-0.71	-26.6	10.27%	0	-0.4	48	INF
18	Mar_30_2017	2561.31	1648.31	1433.35	1464.6	1462.06	1500.63	1519(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	131	180	163	34	0.15	47%	-0.47	-21	10.35%	0	-0.4	43	INF
19	Mar_29_2017	2573.41	1673.37	1415.74	1451.8	1448.38	1475.38	1452(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	239	120	299	57	0.16	43%	-0.58	-13.7	10.53%	0	-0.7	36	INF
20	Mar_28_2017	2588.33	1684.06	1401.83	1435.6	1430.81	1423.5	1502(8.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	68	-50	106	-45	0.21	41%	-0.51	-11.8	11.05%	0	-0.6	38	INF

21	Mar_27_2017	2601.47	1696.63	1442.65	1401	1397.06	1421.38	1380(-6.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	110	-32	-109	0.14	39%	-0.43	-9.9	11.04%	0	-1	37	INF
22	Mar_24_2017	2612.82	1720.74	1471.79	1398.75	1381.19	1438.13	1470(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	250	250	326	23	0.16	39%	-0.35	-3.2	11.09%	0	-0.8	37	INF
23	Mar_23_2017	2622.02	1722.01	1513.86	1397.75	1369.74	1372.75	1455(6.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	161	-40	220	-17	0.22	39%	-0.43	-0.7	11.17%	0	-0.8	46	INF
24	Mar_22_2017	2633.35	1720.28	1589.63	1375.75	1369.68	1324.25	1371(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-170	-250	-170	-169	0.18	39%	-0.42	-1.7	11.13%	0	-1	41	INF
25	Mar_21_2017	2644.34	1724.03	1671.04	1362.95	1362.61	1366.72	1329(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-396	20	-439	-265	0.22	39%		-1.5	11.12%	0	-1.2	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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