Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JDST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $2217.0000 (3.5%) ($2078.0100 - $2264.0000) on Wed. Mar. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.4% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $2217.0000(3.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 5.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 27.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(16%)    TBT(10%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-2%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -5.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-91%)    SIL(-87%)    GLD(-68%)    SLV(-60%)    XME(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.2% (StdDev 10.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $2097.6(5.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1864.19(18.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1595.24(38.98%)
To recent high   -59.4%
To recent low   78.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 21.55% (three month std-dev: 10.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.92%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 11.37%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.33%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 29.14%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.52%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2017	2741.4	1595.24	1864.19	2097.6	2119.69	2200.5	2217(3.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	461	300	496	355	0.14	56%	-0.22	52.8	10.4%	0	1.8	77	0
2	Mar_7_2017	2747.45	1545.87	1779.47	1980.6	2043.94	2145.13	2142(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	741	440	830	473	0.21	56%	-0.43	36.3	10.39%	0	1.9	76	0
3	Mar_6_2017	2759.22	1499.21	1700.66	1899	1936.5	2038.88	2199(16.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	666	430	745	429	0.2	56%	-0.46	18.8	10.4%	0	2.4	75	0
4	Mar_3_2017	2771.85	1465.18	1609.5	1826.6	1841.06	1942.75	1887(-7.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	727	410	817	455	0.27	53%	-0.48	7.2	10.09%	0	1.8	73	0
5	Mar_2_2017	2785.21	1450.55	1545.06	1735.8	1750.81	1834.13	2043(25.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	778	360	885	457	0.21	51%	-0.51	-12	10.13%	0	2.6	72	0

6	Mar_1_2017	2799.53	1432.38	1466.5	1596.8	1615.75	1739.38	1632(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	642	570	733	370	0.2	46%	-0.76	-35.5	9.65%	0	1	68	0
7	Feb_28_2017	2821.02	1438.93	1430.38	1543.8	1502.13	1667.5	1734(-5.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	1026	690	1188	541	0.26	44%	-0.6	-40.7	9.51%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Feb_27_2017	2838.02	1446.88	1386.27	1469	1421.19	1492.13	1837(28.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	880	250	1021	458	0.25	44%	-0.61	-42.2	9.6%	0	1.7	75	0
9	Feb_24_2017	2855.42	1448.18	1324.67	1364.2	1358.51	1336.75	1433(6.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-120	5	9	0.16	36%	-0.81	-51	8.85%	0	-0.1	42	0
10	Feb_23_2017	2878.78	1477.83	1315.56	1326.2	1336.42	1350.25	1348(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-101	100	-114	-63	0.15	41%	-0.69	-47.4	8.87%	0	-0.5	36	0

11	Feb_22_2017	2898.91	1505.06	1305.36	1315.8	1320.55	1380.28	1367(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	314	330	382	110	0.18	41%	-0.7	-47.9	9.13%	0	-0.5	33	0
12	Feb_21_2017	2919.25	1529.27	1295.42	1297.2	1301.48	1322.59	1360(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	330	120	409	94	0.18	41%	-0.23	-48.5	9.14%	0	-0.6	32	0
13	Feb_17_2017	2925.93	1552.05	1284.16	1289.4	1280.39	1260.81	1313(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-145	-130	-141	-156	0.15	41%	-0.36	-51.1	9.07%	0	-0.8	26	0
14	Feb_16_2017	2936.38	1584.1	1310.73	1279.8	1290.92	1280.38	1243(-4.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-185	-30	-185	-186	0.15	41%	-0.36	-52.4	9.11%	0	-1.1	22	0
15	Feb_15_2017	2946.96	1623.37	1350.5	1303	1313.23	1299.96	1296(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	-50	3	-118	0.15	38%	-0.42	-51.4	9.19%	0	-1	21	0

16	Feb_14_2017	2959.3	1659.31	1395.89	1292.4	1310.29	1301.46	1274(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-10	-87	-156	0.18	38%	-0.37	-54.5	9.35%	0	-1.3	29	0
17	Feb_13_2017	2970.28	1689.81	1448.69	1292	1295.81	1326.5	1321(4.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	35	170	76	-90	0.14	38%	-0.33	-60.5	9.37%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Feb_10_2017	2979.98	1726.56	1511.5	1278	1284.94	1319.13	1265(-6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	156	200	216	-24	0.23	48%	-0.27	-66.1	9.96%	0	-1.6	32	0
19	Feb_9_2017	2988.01	1767.72	1579.97	1348	1299.69	1265.13	1359(9.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-186	-290	-191	-171	0.21	48%	-0.21	-64	10.3%	0	-1.5	31	0
20	Feb_8_2017	2994.23	1801.94	1650.97	1409.6	1386.44	1250.75	1243(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-646	-730	-735	-377	0.22	48%	-0.45	-72.5	10.26%	0	-2.1	23	0

21	Feb_7_2017	3007.65	1843.98	1721.44	1518	1493.81	1334.25	1272(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1161	-800	-1346	-606	0.21	50%	-0.44	-85.2	10.28%	0	-2.4	25	0
22	Feb_6_2017	3020.88	1891.15	1785.55	1629.2	1637.31	1522.13	1251(-22.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-840	-480	-973	-439	0.22	50%	-0.47	-110.5	10.39%	0	-3.1	33	0
23	Feb_3_2017	3035.25	1944.65	1849.1	1775.8	1750.13	1653.38	1615(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-622	-430	-722	-322	0.14	54%	-0.3	-140.7	10.03%	0	-2.1	36	0
24	Feb_2_2017	3044.26	1966.59	1885.99	1845	1823.75	1752.5	1667(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-640	-310	-746	-323	0.11	54%	-0.29	-205.3	10.06%	0	-2.2	37	0
25	Feb_1_2017	3053.02	2017.59	1923.76	1929.4	1913.75	1846.88	1785(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-349	-270	-407	-173	0.15	54%		-165.8	10.05%	0	-1.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.