Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JDST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $296400.0000 (0.82%) ($265800.0000 - $302200.0000) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.25% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $296400.0000(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(13%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-3%)    DIA(-4%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -3.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-92%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.625% (StdDev 7.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $301800(-1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $296116.48(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $280958.12(5.5%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   122.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 14.92% (three month std-dev: 7.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.26%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.77%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2015	192426.51	280958.12	296116.48	301800	298262.5	295725	296400(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44859	-90	-52773	-21118	0	68%	0.33	60.3	7.25%	0	0.4	46	0
2	Aug_6_2015	191799.98	277019.12	295133.19	298800	299975	302350	294000(-7.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28562	70	33603	13438	0	68%	0.31	60.6	7.25%	0	0.4	62	0
3	Aug_5_2015	191204.06	273194.59	298702.42	299520	294437.5	300800	318000(6.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30721	100	36134	14481	0	71%	0.08	63.2	7.18%	0	1	68	0
4	Aug_4_2015	191055.08	268299.45	297090.99	290240	291125	297600	297400(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69948	160	82281	32950	0	71%	0.07	62.2	7.15%	0	0.6	67	0
5	Aug_3_2015	190920.39	263828.51	296912.53	288760	287390	288075	303200(7.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23741	0	27912	11227	0	71%	0.17	63	7.23%	0	0.8	70	0

6	Jul_31_2015	190589.78	257783.65	299269.45	290080	286371.25	284650	281400(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21292	-80	-25080	-9926	0	70%	-0.04	67.3	7.24%	0	0.5	69	0
7	Jul_30_2015	190667.33	252823.65	296399.12	290920	288998.63	286705	297600(9.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32781	-80	-38602	-15318	0	70%	0.12	68	7.19%	0	0.9	67	0
8	Jul_29_2015	190432.63	247537.46	289109.89	298080	295936.13	288092.5	271600(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46445	-210	-54684	-21726	0	68%	-0.28	77.9	7.17%	0	0.5	65	0
9	Jul_28_2015	190959.16	242810.94	284305.5	304720	303671.13	291292.25	290000(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89912	-300	-105829	-42162	0	64%	0	83.1	7.11%	0	0.9	66	0
10	Jul_27_2015	190951	236680.78	276339.34	305800	307939.88	303779.75	309800(8.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-81827	-70	-96320	-38349	0	64%	0.32	85.1	7.21%	0	1.4	71	0

11	Jul_24_2015	190340.8	229018.9	265404.84	310000.01	310637.5	316050	285600(-14.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33546	130	39403	15973	0	62%	0.44	92.3	7.25%	0	1.1	73	0
12	Jul_23_2015	189514.27	222551.61	258323.08	301880.01	307700.13	312100	333400(9.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	114005	160	134057	53848	0	68%	0.69	89.2	7.03%	0	2.1	81	0
13	Jul_22_2015	188210.18	213336.36	245777.15	278600.01	287750.13	305225	304800(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	95644	520	112467	45173	0	68%	0.62	82.4	7.03%	0	1.9	74	0
14	Jul_21_2015	187053.53	205609.84	236803.52	260480.01	264607.88	303300.25	295400(-10.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	276085	1070	324757	130070	0	68%	0.6	74.4	7.1%	0	2	76	0
15	Jul_20_2015	185933.12	198253.71	227345.94	242080.01	242795.38	270275.25	330800.03(35.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	367825	800	432692	173224	0	72%	0.85	65.6	6.97%	0	3.3	83	0

16	Jul_17_2015	184365.78	188485.97	211307.25	215360	216207.75	225915.5	245000(12.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110578	330	130057	52142	0	64%	0.35	60.9	5.5%	0	2	78	0
17	Jul_16_2015	183718.84	183188.95	204424.62	208880	210032.75	215315.5	217000(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77988	190	91715	36806	0	60%	0.17	54.6	5.28%	0	1.3	76	0
18	Jul_15_2015	183400.47	179710.17	201810.55	208120	208583.62	206500	214200(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21335	-60	25057	10167	0	54%	0.12	54.8	5.28%	0	1.3	75	0
19	Jul_14_2015	183188.22	176967.07	197777.58	209320	207089.88	204750	203400(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57751	-110	-67990	-27035	0	51%	0.05	61.1	5.51%	0	1.1	74	0
20	Jul_13_2015	183103.33	174752.93	194214.95	209680	209715.13	210667.25	197200(-7.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	21547	30	25297	10297	0	51%	0.03	66.1	5.5%	0	0.9	73	0

21	Jul_10_2015	183055.92	172852.27	190542.86	205920	207141.13	209429.75	212600(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41920	100	49264	19886	0	55%	0.16	63.5	5.46%	0	1.7	83	0
22	Jul_9_2015	182760	169893.04	184912.97	198800	199288.63	208763	213200(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57212	340	67259	27070	0	55%	0.22	59.4	5.57%	0	2	85	0
23	Jul_8_2015	182351.86	166529.28	179072.97	194400	193319.88	204852.51	220200(7.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	146855	400	172723	69252	0	55%	0.18	60.5	5.57%	0	2.7	81	0
24	Jul_7_2015	182021.24	163016.91	172303.74	184880	186318.13	189814.25	205200(15.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	95604	150	112438	45102	0	52%	0.13	63.8	5.53%	0	2.8	67	0
25	Jul_6_2015	181782.29	160126.63	166929.23	176920.01	178973.37	181787.25	178400(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15577	140	18297	7418	0	37%		63.4	5.26%	0	1.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.