Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $295400.0000 (-10.7%) ($276000.0000 - $314800.0000) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.1% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $295400.0000(-10.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 7.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 19.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(13%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-3%)    DIA(-4%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -3.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-93%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.55% (StdDev 7.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $260480.01(13.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $236803.52(24.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $205609.84(43.67%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   121.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 21.77% (three month std-dev: 7.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -31.9%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.71%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2015	187053.53	205609.84	236803.52	260480.01	264607.88	303300.25	295400(-10.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	276085	1070	324757	130070	0	68%	0.6	74.4	7.1%	0	2	76	INF
2	Jul_20_2015	185933.12	198253.71	227345.94	242080.01	242795.38	270275.25	330800.03(35.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	367825	800	432692	173224	0	72%	0.85	65.6	6.97%	0	3.3	83	INF
3	Jul_17_2015	184365.78	188485.97	211307.25	215360	216207.75	225915.5	245000(12.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110578	330	130057	52142	0	64%	0.35	60.9	5.5%	0	2	78	INF
4	Jul_16_2015	183718.84	183188.95	204424.62	208880	210032.75	215315.5	217000(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77988	190	91715	36806	0	60%	0.17	54.6	5.28%	0	1.3	76	INF
5	Jul_15_2015	183400.47	179710.17	201810.55	208120	208583.62	206500	214200(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21335	-60	25057	10167	0	54%	0.12	54.8	5.28%	0	1.3	75	INF

6	Jul_14_2015	183188.22	176967.07	197777.58	209320	207089.88	204750	203400(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57751	-110	-67990	-27035	0	51%	0.05	61.1	5.51%	0	1.1	74	INF
7	Jul_13_2015	183103.33	174752.93	194214.95	209680	209715.13	210667.25	197200(-7.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	21547	30	25297	10297	0	51%	0.03	66.1	5.5%	0	0.9	73	INF
8	Jul_10_2015	183055.92	172852.27	190542.86	205920	207141.13	209429.75	212600(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41920	100	49264	19886	0	55%	0.16	63.5	5.46%	0	1.7	83	INF
9	Jul_9_2015	182760	169893.04	184912.97	198800	199288.63	208763	213200(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57212	340	67259	27070	0	55%	0.22	59.4	5.57%	0	2	85	INF
10	Jul_8_2015	182351.86	166529.28	179072.97	194400	193319.88	204852.51	220200(7.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	146855	400	172723	69252	0	55%	0.18	60.5	5.57%	0	2.7	81	INF

11	Jul_7_2015	182021.24	163016.91	172303.74	184880	186318.13	189814.25	205200(15.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	95604	150	112438	45102	0	52%	0.13	63.8	5.53%	0	2.8	67	INF
12	Jul_6_2015	181782.29	160126.63	166929.23	176920.01	178973.37	181787.25	178400(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15577	140	18297	7418	0	37%	0.04	63.4	5.26%	0	1.5	60	INF
13	Jul_2_2015	181706.96	159051.05	163724.84	172720.01	174042.25	182822	177000(-7.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	79445	380	93444	37448	0	37%	-0.05	63.7	5.56%	0	1.7	59	INF
14	Jul_1_2015	181798.8	157819.12	160173.19	168480.01	167829.75	176159.5	191200.02(10.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	115518	340	135890	54401	0	34%	0.08	58.8	5.5%	0	3.2	69	INF
15	Jun_30_2015	181660.02	155397.24	155581.54	161360	161081.25	165262.5	172600(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	58365	180	68660	27481	0	33%	0.02	49.9	5.72%	0	2.3	67	INF

16	Jun_29_2015	181617.16	153791.05	154223.3	157920	157595.63	159500.01	165400.02(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25450	80	29939	11983	0	33%	-0.08	34.1	5.85%	0	1.8	57	INF
17	Jun_26_2015	181764.1	152927.18	153558.24	155600	156091.88	156900	157400(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15788	50	18573	7434	0	33%	0	31.1	5.84%	0	0.7	56	INF
18	Jun_25_2015	181764.1	152411.16	153761.76	153280	154491.88	155691.25	155800(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14324	80	16853	6738	0	33%	-0.07	23.6	5.91%	0	0.6	48	INF
19	Jun_24_2015	181882.47	151942.87	153791.21	150320	151852.38	155283.75	155600(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30432	190	35806	14310	0	33%	-0.14	15.8	5.93%	0	0.6	52	INF
20	Jun_23_2015	182141.65	151677.35	153160	148800	148094.25	153292.5	155400(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33813	230	39785	15898	0	33%	-0.07	13.3	5.94%	0	0.6	58	INF

21	Jun_22_2015	182272.26	151590.28	153095.38	150080	148335.5	148421	153800(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27724	-30	32617	13044	0	33%	-0.07	34.6	6.02%	0	0.4	60	INF
22	Jun_19_2015	182394.71	151054.92	152849.23	151480	150998.12	142896	145800(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52439	-390	-61694	-24674	0	30%	-0.24	46.2	6.14%	0	-0.8	50	INF
23	Jun_18_2015	182829.41	150977.57	154196.92	154440	154700.12	148250	141000(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-94620	-290	-111324	-44508	0	25%	-0.16	64.2	6.12%	0	-1.5	49	INF
24	Jun_17_2015	183121.24	150987.4	155661.1	157560	159325.12	159100.25	148000(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12098	20	-14243	-5662	0	25%	0.02	79.7	6.67%	0	-0.4	54	INF
25	Jun_16_2015	183092.67	150882.87	155594.29	157760	159075.13	161150.25	161800(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23397	120	27516	11040	0	27%		78.9	6.67%	0	1.6	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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