Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $187800.0000 (8.81%) ($180400.0200 - $189400.0000) on Tue. Feb. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   51.28% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $187800.0000(8.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    TBT(13%)    VIXM(3%)    UNG(-3%)    XHB(-4%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -25.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-93%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-46%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -25.64% (StdDev 51.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $180840(3.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176083.08(6.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169060(11.08%)
To recent high   -56.3%
To recent low   284%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -2.63%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 2.63% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 8.47% (three month std-dev: 51.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2015	260335.07	169060	176083.08	180840	179000	178150	187800(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4042	-60	4754	1906	0	100%	-0.76	18.8	51.28%	0	1.3	65	INF
2	Feb_13_2015	262321.31	167566.08	174053.63	176960	176500	174775	172600(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-80	-91	-36	0	100%	-0.48	0.5	2737.22%	0	0.4	55	INF
3	Feb_12_2015	263579.04	167235.69	173468.57	178400	176325	179850	180200(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	110	39	16	0	100%	-0.53	-14.3	2737.05%	0	0.9	53	INF
4	Feb_11_2015	264970.79	167641.44	174053.19	173840	175491.25	178225	186000(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	124	140	146	58	0	100%	-0.45	-26.2	2737.04%	0	1.3	60	INF
5	Feb_10_2015	266181.1	167175.47	172311.65	170120	171190	172800	177600(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	80	16	6	0	100%	-0.59	-37.8	2737.2%	0	0.7	61	INF

6	Feb_9_2015	267754.3	166414.25	169276.92	170800	169840	172757.5	168400(-6.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	100	42	17	0	100%	-0.46	-57.6	2737.01%	0	0.1	61	INF
7	Feb_6_2015	268995.54	167500.99	168770.11	170760	171327.5	169580	179800(14.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	-60	62	25	0	99%	-0.3	-75.1	2737.17%	0	0.8	57	INF
8	Feb_5_2015	269812.03	169209.39	168126.15	167960	170123.75	166922.5	157400(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-123	-90	-145	-58	0	99%	-0.39	-82.7	2737.24%	0	-0.6	50	INF
9	Feb_4_2015	270873.89	171528.18	167928.79	174160	173137.5	173075	167400(-7.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-20	-51	-20	0	99%	-0.26	-89.4	2737.11%	0	-0.2	46	INF
10	Feb_3_2015	271570.79	172716.24	165825.05	174600	177337.5	173325	181000(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-110	43	17	0	99%	-0.25	-116	2736.98%	0	0.4	52	INF

11	Feb_2_2015	272240.9	174895.8	161658.9	167440	173587.62	173200	168200(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-83	90	-98	-39	0	99%	-0.37	-121.2	2737.1%	0	-0.3	54	INF
12	Jan_30_2015	273263.58	179732.93	160690.55	166320	168912.62	181350	165800(-12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	116	560	136	54	0	99%	-0.32	-103.6	2736.95%	0	-0.4	47	INF
13	Jan_29_2015	274146.05	186534.81	160638.24	168240	168787.62	173975.25	188400(11.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	320	220	376	150	0	99%	-0.3	-112.4	2736.59%	0	0.1	45	INF
14	Jan_28_2015	274979.04	191915.8	160397.36	161080	163650.13	156475.25	169599.98(16.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-76	-260	-89	-36	0	99%	-0.31	-94	2736.84%	0	-0.5	45	INF
15	Jan_27_2015	275832.65	200801.99	161155.61	155960	159887.5	163600	145200(-10.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-85	240	-100	-40	0	99%	-0.49	-82.7	2736.89%	0	-1.1	43	INF

16	Jan_26_2015	277201.78	210440	163140.22	154640	156937.5	170825	162600(-7.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	303	660	356	142	0	99%	-0.3	-69	2736.85%	0	-0.8	39	INF
17	Jan_23_2015	278022.4	220972.27	165917.36	153960	148875	156175	175400.02(14.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	224	240	264	105	0	99%	-0.33	-65.4	2736.82%	0	-0.7	36	INF
18	Jan_22_2015	278937.87	232891.27	169832.09	152200	146700	143050	152600(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-280	-26	-11	0	99%	-0.27	-51	2736.86%	0	-1.2	27	INF
19	Jan_21_2015	279702.82	245095.14	175069.01	160200	151562.5	141575	144000(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-234	-620	-275	-110	0	99%	-0.32	-28.4	2736.84%	0	-1.3	26	INF
20	Jan_20_2015	280595.6	254821.1	180180.22	167440	161987.5	150350	138600(-12.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-230	-600	-270	-109	0	99%	-0.24	-25.9	2736.85%	0	-1.4	21	INF

21	Jan_16_2015	281276.01	264085.75	189500.22	172360	167962.5	161550	159200(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-225	-340	-264	-106	0	99%	-0.19	-26.2	2715.39%	0	-1.2	26	INF
22	Jan_15_2015	281803.91	276827.51	200572.31	179160	171775	173625	166600(-13.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-90	-50	-106	-43	0	99%	-0.2	-22.6	2715.38%	0	-1.3	24	INF
23	Jan_14_2015	282372.98	274589.04	214636.49	190040	180150	174375	192600(6.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-380	-2	-1	0	99%	-0.1	-29.6	2715.35%	0	-1	24	INF
24	Jan_13_2015	282657.52	269102.12	225623.74	192760	187712.62	169925	180200(10.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-336	-740	-395	-159	0	99%	-0.2	-38.3	2715.36%	0	-0.9	25	INF
25	Jan_12_2015	283218.34	279187.98	243067.69	195280	196800.13	185925	163200(-15.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-389	-360	-457	-183	0	99%		-34.2	2715.4%	0	-1.1	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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