Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $364000.0000 (-12.96%) ($349800.0000 - $421600.0000) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.07% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $364000.0000(-12.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 15.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(4%)    UUP(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    XLU(2%)    EWI(1%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -4.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-4%)    EWJ(-3%)    XOP(-2%)    VWO(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.035% (StdDev 8.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11%

5 Day Moving Average   $366679.99(-0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $340574.06(6.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $305063.98(19.32%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   96.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 15.23% (three month std-dev: 8.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.67%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -14.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.36%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2014	225747.88	305063.98	340574.06	366679.99	366951.25	391327.5	364000(-12.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	143347	470	168609	67560	0	78%	1.36	73.4	8.07%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Oct_3_2014	222720.36	300534.52	336973.18	358439.99	355138.75	371202.5	418200(18.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	217715	290	256096	102571	0	90%	1.64	78	7.94%	0	2.6	78	0
3	Oct_2_2014	219119.37	291330.77	323492.3	338399.99	335075	342575	352000(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48145	130	56607	22759	0	87%	1.48	84	7.73%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Oct_1_2014	215924.51	286708.34	314461.97	326919.99	326324.87	339075	346600(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	84288	270	99132	39757	0	87%	1.32	82.4	7.73%	0	1.6	69	0
5	Sep_30_2014	213110.46	280665.03	305958.68	320639.99	319949.87	327575	352599.97(9.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	99675	160	117236	46990	0	87%	1.43	81.9	7.75%	0	2.1	64	0

6	Sep_29_2014	210103.35	274390.78	294304.62	310800	312999.88	313574.75	322800(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16602	30	19508	7882	0	85%	1.22	81.5	7.84%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Sep_26_2014	207571.75	268548.46	286723.52	312280	309984.88	312324.75	318000(7.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2750	30	-3257	-1227	0	85%	1.26	78.2	7.86%	0	1.5	57	0
8	Sep_25_2014	204980.77	263168.51	281440	306440	310672.5	312425	294600(-6.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	57331	80	67426	27047	0	82%	1.17	71.9	7.81%	0	1	61	0
9	Sep_24_2014	202612.43	259544.76	277226.38	299320	301087.5	307645	315200(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34038	170	40026	16073	0	82%	1.55	66.6	7.82%	0	1.7	59	0
10	Sep_23_2014	199511.45	254659.69	272212.75	288360	288531.62	308920	303400(-8.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	122151	500	143690	57532	0	82%	1.57	61.6	7.98%	0	1.6	64	0

11	Sep_22_2014	196430.87	251025	266906.82	274680	274296.62	294530	330200(14.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	199916	510	235183	94114	0	100%	1.63	57.2	7.93%	0	2.8	67	0
12	Sep_19_2014	193274.78	245337.71	260792.19	257840	256112.13	268143.25	288800(11.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	93464	310	109947	44013	0	100%	1.26	55	7.84%	0	1.9	67	0
13	Sep_18_2014	190871.75	241722.36	255976.82	253560	250847.13	254063.25	259000(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49639	60	58388	23391	0	100%	1.28	57.4	8.16%	0	0.8	63	0
14	Sep_17_2014	188466.68	239498.61	256381.67	252040	251603	244081	260400.02(10.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-30958	-210	-36434	-14528	0	100%	1.42	57.9	8.31%	0	1	60	0
15	Sep_16_2014	185833.04	237001.71	253270.91	253800	255778.13	247631	235000(-4.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-79611	-200	-93675	-37417	0	0%	1.1	63.3	8.2%	0	-0.1	57	0

16	Sep_15_2014	183813.69	235572.1	253275.76	257280	262225.13	259125	246000(-8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34544	-30	-40657	-16203	0	0%	-1	65.8	8.21%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Sep_12_2014	185662.67	233501.94	249695.11	263681.2	265349.5	263925.25	267400(6.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8571	-20	-10104	-3973	0	0%	1.14	71.1	8.15%	0	1.4	61	0
18	Sep_11_2014	183561.68	230374.76	244147.97	258641.2	265762.38	265325.25	251400(-6.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1629	70	1899	817	0	100%	1.27	68.2	8.46%	0	0.9	60	0
19	Sep_10_2014	181260.69	227855.99	241295.69	261201.2	262812.13	266773.75	269200(6.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	120	4	2	0	100%	1.11	71.3	48553.07%	0	1.8	65	0
20	Sep_9_2014	179276.03	224226.38	236239.01	252721.2	257412.13	266199.5	252400(-9.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	290	14	6	0	100%	0.79	59.3	48553.28%	0	1.3	63	0

21	Sep_8_2014	177873	221602.63	234255.3	248361.2	247428.75	258850.5	278006(14.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	310	17	7	0	100%	0.58	48.6	48553.24%	0	2.7	71	0
22	Sep_5_2014	176840.7	217969.15	228317.07	233680	237253.5	248624.75	242200(-8.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	380	20	8	0	100%	0.71	36.6	48553.33%	0	1.5	66	0
23	Sep_4_2014	175592.31	215920.76	225910.93	227321.2	226328.5	236007	264200(16.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	14	290	16	6	0	100%	1.05	22.4	48553.37%	0	3.1	71	0
24	Sep_3_2014	173762.44	212676.56	220519.3	218841.2	217878.75	225882.25	226800(-1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	9	240	11	4	0	100%	0.86	11.6	48553.39%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Sep_2_2014	172283.09	212219.88	218866.56	217521.2	215962.75	216650	230600(12.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	0	7	3	0	100%		15.9	48553.41%	0	1.8	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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