Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $303400.0000 (-8.12%) ($284400.0000 - $323960.0000) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.98% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $303400.0000(-8.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(3%)    UUP(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    XLU(2%)    EWI(1%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -3.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-4%)    EWJ(-3%)    XOP(-2%)    VWO(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.99% (StdDev 7.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $288360(5.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $272212.75(11.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $254659.69(19.14%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   63.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 12.1% (three month std-dev: 7.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(14%) Average negative next day return: -6.89%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 13.22%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -4.55%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 13.31%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.84%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2014	199511.45	254659.69	272212.75	288360	288531.62	308920	303400(-8.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	122151	500	143690	57532	0	82%	1.57	61.6	7.98%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Sep_22_2014	196430.87	251025	266906.82	274680	274296.62	294530	330200(14.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	199916	510	235183	94114	0	100%	1.63	57.2	7.93%	0	2.8	67	0
3	Sep_19_2014	193274.78	245337.71	260792.19	257840	256112.13	268143.25	288800(11.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	93464	310	109947	44013	0	100%	1.26	55	7.84%	0	1.9	67	0
4	Sep_18_2014	190871.75	241722.36	255976.82	253560	250847.13	254063.25	259000(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49639	60	58388	23391	0	100%	1.28	57.4	8.16%	0	0.8	63	0
5	Sep_17_2014	188466.68	239498.61	256381.67	252040	251603	244081	260400.02(10.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-30958	-210	-36434	-14528	0	100%	1.42	57.9	8.31%	0	1	60	0

6	Sep_16_2014	185833.04	237001.71	253270.91	253800	255778.13	247631	235000(-4.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-79611	-200	-93675	-37417	0	0%	1.1	63.3	8.2%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Sep_15_2014	183813.69	235572.1	253275.76	257280	262225.13	259125	246000(-8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34544	-30	-40657	-16203	0	0%	-1	65.8	8.21%	0	0.5	55	0
8	Sep_12_2014	185662.67	233501.94	249695.11	263681.2	265349.5	263925.25	267400(6.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8571	-20	-10104	-3973	0	0%	1.14	71.1	8.15%	0	1.4	61	0
9	Sep_11_2014	183561.68	230374.76	244147.97	258641.2	265762.38	265325.25	251400(-6.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1629	70	1899	817	0	100%	1.27	68.2	8.46%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Sep_10_2014	181260.69	227855.99	241295.69	261201.2	262812.13	266773.75	269200(6.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	120	4	2	0	100%	1.11	71.3	48553.07%	0	1.8	65	0

11	Sep_9_2014	179276.03	224226.38	236239.01	252721.2	257412.13	266199.5	252400(-9.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	290	14	6	0	100%	0.79	59.3	48553.28%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Sep_8_2014	177873	221602.63	234255.3	248361.2	247428.75	258850.5	278006(14.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	310	17	7	0	100%	0.58	48.6	48553.24%	0	2.7	71	0
13	Sep_5_2014	176840.7	217969.15	228317.07	233680	237253.5	248624.75	242200(-8.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	380	20	8	0	100%	0.71	36.6	48553.33%	0	1.5	66	0
14	Sep_4_2014	175592.31	215920.76	225910.93	227321.2	226328.5	236007	264200(16.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	14	290	16	6	0	100%	1.05	22.4	48553.37%	0	3.1	71	0
15	Sep_3_2014	173762.44	212676.56	220519.3	218841.2	217878.75	225882.25	226800(-1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	9	240	11	4	0	100%	0.86	11.6	48553.39%	0	1.3	65	0

16	Sep_2_2014	172283.09	212219.88	218866.56	217521.2	215962.75	216650	230600(12.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	0	7	3	0	100%	1.95	15.9	48553.41%	0	1.8	68	0
17	Aug_29_2014	168984.35	211932.37	216102.18	218321.19	215604.62	209875.25	204599.98(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-220	-9	-4	0	100%	1.18	35.8	48184.37%	0	-0.7	55	0
18	Aug_28_2014	167005.82	212226.52	216172.96	222001.2	220929.75	215275.5	210406(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-190	-8	-3	0	100%	-1.23	50.3	48184.38%	0	-0.2	51	0
19	Aug_27_2014	169081.26	212537.21	215912.96	223720	223146.12	221334	221800(0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-60	-6	-2	0	100%	-1.21	46.9	48184.36%	0	0.9	63	0
20	Aug_26_2014	171158.82	211457.18	213861.98	222119.99	224021.12	226583.99	220200(-6.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	110	4	2	0	100%	1.02	37.7	48184.19%	0	0.9	61	0

21	Aug_25_2014	169427.22	210606.54	211763.51	220079.99	220541.62	224958.25	234599.98(5.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	150	7	3	0	100%	1.28	30.3	48553.23%	0	2.3	55	0
22	Aug_22_2014	167289.5	208450.83	208219.78	213720	214318.75	221458.25	223000(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	7	240	8	3	0	100%	1.09	17.1	48553.2%	0	1.6	44	0
23	Aug_21_2014	165480.34	207393.45	206803.52	209640	210589.62	216124.99	219000(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	200	11	4	0	100%	1.26	7.9	48553.21%	0	1.2	55	0
24	Aug_20_2014	163418.13	207881.82	205052.31	207080	207277.12	207179.25	213799.98(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	3	-0	3	1	0	100%	0.72	22.4	48553.25%	0	0.6	49	0
25	Aug_19_2014	162249.8	207746.1	203956.04	204440	205289.63	205054.25	210000(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	0	-1	-0	0	100%		3.9	48553.23%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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