Trading Signals: JD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: JD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. May. 22, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JD.com)
JD latest price $34.7000 (-1.92%) ($33.9150 - $35.4500) on Thu. Jul. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $34.7000(-1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JD advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(72%)    EEM(62%)    VWO(55%)    QQQ(50%)    EWY(46%)
Factors Impacting JD price   JD will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.15(-1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.27(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.46(3.71%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $52.05b

JD.com, Inc. is a technology driven E-commerce company. It engages in the sale of electronics products and general merchandise products, including audio, video products, and books. The company operates through the following business segments: JD Mall, and New Businesses. The JD Mall segment represents its core e-commerce business. The New Businesses segment includes logistic services provided to third parties, technology services, overseas business, insurance and O2O. It also provides an online marketplace, whereby third-party sellers sell products to customers primarily through its websites and mobile apps. The company offers advertising, logistics and other value-added services. JD com was founded on June 18, 1998 by Qiang Dong Liu and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. JD price fluctuates within 4.24% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2015	32.92	33.46	34.27	35.15			34.7(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	4	126	7.82	54%	0.24	12	2.55%	0	0.9	56	0
2	Jul_22_2015	32.84	33.45	34.09	34.98			35.38(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	14	123	5.07	54%	0.24	6.6	2.53%	0	1.4	58	0
3	Jul_21_2015	32.76	33.39	33.61	34.38			35.31(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	73	4.79	56%	0.21	-11.4	2.53%	0	1.4	53	0
4	Jul_20_2015	32.69	33.34	33.14	34.11			35.06(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	6	51	5.82	56%	0.21	-24.6	2.55%	0	1.3	59	0
5	Jul_17_2015	32.62	33.3	32.81	33.87			35.32(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	14	35	10.09	54%	0.25	-41.2	2.55%	0	1.5	55	0

6	Jul_16_2015	32.54	33.29	32.56	33.29			33.84(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	5	2	7.12	52%	0.22	-57	2.5%	0	0.4	49	0
7	Jul_15_2015	32.47	33.35	32.48	33.08			32.39(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	5	-10000	11	-15	7.34	50%	0.15	-61.2	2.44%	0	-0.7	42	0
8	Jul_14_2015	32.42	33.55	32.63	32.66			33.92(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	17	-34	5.3	51%	0.15	-63.8	2.38%	0	0.2	47	0
9	Jul_13_2015	32.37	33.67	32.48	32			33.9(4.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-10000	11	-78	8.6	52%	0.19	-68.3	2.4%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Jul_10_2015	32.31	33.85	32.4	31.6			32.4(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-31	-10000	-4	-111	9.78	50%	0.15	-61.3	2.36%	0	-0.8	40	0

11	Jul_9_2015	32.26	34.06	32.55	31.75			32.78(8.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	-10000	-2	-116	14.26	50%	0.16	-51.9	2.36%	0	-0.6	37	0
12	Jul_8_2015	32.21	34.23	32.73	31.84			30.32(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-52	-10000	-22	-140	13.75	48%	0.09	-47.5	2.13%	0	-2	22	0
13	Jul_7_2015	32.18	34.55	33.17	32.6			30.61(-4.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-35	-10000	-10	-111	25.43	50%	-0.06	-37.8	2.23%	0	-2.2	20	0
14	Jul_6_2015	32.2	34.85	33.58	32.97			31.89(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-35	-10000	-9	-111	9.62	52%	0.37	-33.3	2.21%	0	-1.9	22	0
15	Jul_2_2015	32.08	35.05	33.87	33.29			33.13(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-10000	-5	-123	4.68	55%	0.22	-25.8	2.16%	0	-1.4	22	0

16	Jul_1_2015	32.01	35.12	34.1	33.47			33.25(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-127	7.86	55%	0.22	-23	2.16%	0	-1.4	32	0
17	Jun_30_2015	31.94	35.21	34.32	33.77			34.1(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-10000	-3	-121	9.32	57%	0.22	-16.1	2.13%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Jun_29_2015	31.87	35.25	34.54	33.87			32.5(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-12	-126	9.35	54%	0.22	-12.4	2.05%	0	-2.2	27	0
19	Jun_26_2015	31.8	35.38	34.96	34.29			33.46(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-7	-106	10.69	56%	0.19	-3.7	2.02%	0	-1.7	33	0
20	Jun_25_2015	31.74	35.41	35.4	34.52			34.02(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-9	-82	5.55	56%	0.25	1.3	2%	0	-1.3	41	0

21	Jun_24_2015	31.66	35.43	35.69	34.83			34.78(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-4	-47	4.97	60%	0.25	10.3	1.98%	0	-0.6	58	0
22	Jun_23_2015	31.58	35.43	35.84	34.96			34.59(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-17	-10000	-11	-33	6.17	60%	0.32	13.9	2%	0	-0.7	52	0
23	Jun_22_2015	31.48	35.41	36.04	35.34			34.59(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-12	-4	6.62	60%	0.32	24.8	2%	0	-0.7	52	0
24	Jun_19_2015	31.38	35.43	36.22	35.75			34.61(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-10000	-18	24	10.46	60%	0.32	41.8	2%	0	-0.7	52	0
25	Jun_18_2015	31.28	35.4	36.35	36.42			35.57(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-7	78	8.54	62%		59.5	1.97%	0	0.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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