Trading Signals: IYT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 2, 2020

Trading Signals: IYT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Aug. 18, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Transportation Average ETF)
IYT latest price $162.2800 (1.91%) ($160.1700 - $162.8400) on Tue. Jun. 2, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $162.2800(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IYT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IYT advances 6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IYT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLC(51%)    BOTZ(17%)    JETS(16%)    XLF(16%)    BWX(15%)
Factors Impacting IYT price   IYT will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-5%)    VXX(-2%)    TBT(-2%)    KWEB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $160.63(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $156.08(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.52(8.53%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   35.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IYT price fluctuates within 5.46% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -3.57%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.83%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2020	160.87	149.52	156.08	160.63	160.49	160.64	162.28(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	0	18	102	0.2	50%	-0.24	44.1	4.25%	0	1.6	75	1.3
2	Jun_1_2020	161.25	148.43	154.6	159.74	160.46	159.33	159.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-40	-2	94	0.11	50%	-0.24	39.2	4.24%	0	1.4	65	1
3	May_29_2020	161.63	147.66	152.54	157.95	159.75	160.34	159.35(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	60	7	80	0.14	50%	-0.25	34.7	4.28%	0	1.6	62	1.3
4	May_28_2020	162.03	147.11	150.57	156.07	157.44	161.59	159.91(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	210	53	87	0.21	50%	-0.23	35	4.31%	0	1.9	67	0.9
5	May_27_2020	162.41	146.72	148.44	154.17	154.64	159.16	162.36(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	96	210	97	94	0.24	49%	-0.21	39.4	4.31%	0	2.5	71	1.5

6	May_26_2020	162.75	146	146.26	150.89	151.85	153.3	157.84(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	61	90	60	62	0.34	48%	-0.43	38.6	4.31%	0	2.2	65	1.3
7	May_22_2020	163.46	145.47	144.93	148.83	149.44	150.11	150.3(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	40	13	37	0.11	43%	-0.29	39.1	4.25%	0	1.1	61	1.2
8	May_21_2020	163.94	145.17	144.56	146.28	148.31	150.4	149.93(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	140	48	40	0.15	43%	-0.09	21.5	4.29%	0	1.1	55	1.1
9	May_20_2020	164.08	144.77	143.79	144.15	145.11	148.77	150.42(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	52	200	60	27	0.43	43%	-0.29	7.5	4.29%	0	1.3	49	1.5
10	May_19_2020	164.55	144.25	142.75	141.79	141.88	146.22	145.96(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	56	220	72	7	0.2	43%	-0.31	-10.7	4.27%	0	0.4	40	0.9

11	May_18_2020	165.06	143.98	142.37	140.94	140	141.44	147.53(7.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	33	50	48	-14	0.16	43%	-0.3	-22	4.27%	0	0.8	46	1.4
12	May_15_2020	165.56	143.72	141.69	140.61	139.75	137.55	137.56(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-130	-33	-57	0.14	39%	-0.36	-26	4.16%	0	-1.4	37	1
13	May_14_2020	166.16	144.22	142.44	142.62	141.74	138.57	139.26(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-180	-58	-57	0.18	39%	-0.17	-14.1	4.19%	0	-1.2	45	0.8
14	May_13_2020	166.44	144.44	143.47	143.32	143.85	141.96	138.63(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-80	-42	-40	0.16	39%	-0.36	-13.2	4.19%	0	-1.5	48	0.1
15	May_12_2020	167.04	144.7	145	143.69	144.66	144.91	141.73(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	30	-6	-12	0.18	39%	-0.33	-8.5	4.19%	0	-0.8	54	1.2

16	May_11_2020	167.6	144.94	145.84	143.84	144.1	145.73	145.89(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	80	23	9	0.36	39%	-0.31	-0.4	4.18%	0	0.3	59	2.3
17	May_8_2020	168.12	144.84	146.12	142.93	143.55	144.42	147.61(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	60	34	14	0.19	39%	-0.28	8.8	4.15%	0	0.7	57	2
18	May_7_2020	168.6	144.81	145.83	142.36	142.39	142.46	142.72(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	0	-12	-9	0.18	39%	-0.31	21.6	4.15%	0	-0.6	45	1.4
19	May_6_2020	169.13	144.96	145.85	143.8	143.05	142.67	140.48(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-22	-6	0.25	39%	-0.34	50.6	4.14%	0	-1.2	49	0.8
20	May_5_2020	169.7	145.03	145.94	146.59	145.47	142.31	142.51(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-28	-170	-38	1	0.22	40%	-0.32	76.2	4.14%	0	-0.7	51	1.1

21	May_4_2020	170.25	144.95	145.82	148.14	148.23	143.42	141.33(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-67	-230	-85	-14	0.28	41%	-0.32	88.2	4.14%	0	-1	45	0.5
22	May_1_2020	170.8	144.51	146.03	148.14	150.61	148.63	144.78(-3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-42	-70	-58	5	0.21	41%	-0.3	72.1	4.11%	0	0.1	52	0.4
23	Apr_30_2020	171.31	143.99	146.28	149.65	151.23	153.04	149.92(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	120	25	38	0.21	40%	-0.26	56.2	4.1%	0	1.1	52	1.3
24	Apr_29_2020	171.75	143.1	145.55	148.09	149.28	152.59	154.4(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	180	70	45	0.46	40%	-0.22	39.5	4.09%	0	1.9	60	1.7
25	Apr_28_2020	172.13	142.25	144.34	145.24	146.33	149.41	150.27(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	170	65	29	0.24	40%		30.7	4.07%	0	1.5	62	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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